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◆QUANTLOGIX STARTUP DAILY
WEDNESDAY · 10/07/2026 SILICON VALLEY
Displayed Rounds
12
Past 7 days
Disclosed Capital
$803M
Past 7 days
Tracked Startups
2,635
QL private book
Mega-Round Board
8
$100M+ recent
Markdown Watch
100
names flagged

◆ Vinci Series B ($250M) leads the startup tape

Twelve tracked deals, $803M disclosed. Largest: Vinci's $250M Series B at a reported $1.5B post-money (Advent, Temasek & Xora Innovation) and Valon's $150M Series D at $2.3B (Ribbit Capital). Type One Energy raised $200M (Breakthrough Energy Ventures, Clutterbuck Capital); Spiko $90M Series B (NEA); Hadrian $40M growth (Forgepoint Capital International & SmartFin); RobCo a $40M secondary pairing partial employee liquidity with new money at a reported $1.0B post-money. Andreessen Horowitz led Ghost's $11M seed; General Catalyst led Minerva Humanoids' $10M pre-seed; Polygrade ($6M) and Zeroset ($5M) also raised. Reactor's expanded Series A and Armada's Series B are undisclosed. Lead figures are total round sizes, not individual checks. Last-24h deals outside the tracked tape: Vest $13M, Melius $20M, Siena $17M Series A.

◆ Daily Startup News

Last 24h: Pentagon joined a $134M raise for a rare-earth-magnet iron startup (WSJ); Oura delayed its IPO (Fortune); Skyrora pushed its orbital launch timeline to 2030 — a slip, not acceleration. Funding: Vest raised $13M (Fortune exclusive); ex-Ramp engineers raised $20M for Melius after scrapping their first product (TechCrunch); Siena closed a $17M Series A led by York IE; Pandektes raised €13.5M for AI legal research; Desible.ai raised Rs 32 Cr led by Prime Venture Partners. Conway Research launched transaction-monetized AI assistant Underdog; 247VC partnered with Chandigarh University on quantum startup investment.

◆ Valuations & Secondary Transactions

New reported post-money marks: Vinci $1.5B (Series B), Valon $2.3B (Series D), RobCo $1.0B — RobCo's mark doubled from $500M on 2026-01-01 per tracked data. Markdown ledger: 100 names on watch; recent cuts Unacademy -5.5%, Abridge -6.8%, Kling AI -10%. Watch board top: Linktree, Replit, Kajabi each 86/100, implying +151% to +773% gaps vs public comps. Recent context: Groq raised $350M at $3.5B while pivoting to neocloud; Veeda Lifesciences explores a majority stake sale at up to $400M. Coverage is thin: 125 of 2,635 scored; 22 weekly valuations missing.

Company / Round DateReported Post-MoneyPrior Post-Money / DateMark ChangeEvidence
Vinci
2026-10-06
$1.5BUnavailableNot comparableTracked roster; source link unavailable
RobCo
2026-10-05
$1.0B$500M
2026-01-01
+100.0%Tracked roster; source link unavailable
Valon
2026-10-05
$2.3BUnavailableNot comparableTracked roster; source link unavailable

Historical round marks are not replaced with today's company valuation. Mark changes compare disclosed post-money levels, not investor returns; dilution and financing terms may differ. Secondary indications, fund marks and enterprise values in linked reporting are separate evidence, not interchangeable round valuations.

◆ Capital by Sector

Enterprise SoftwareEnterprise Software · $262M disclosed in window$262MFintechFintech · $240M disclosed in window$240MEnergyEnergy · $200M disclosed in window$200MIndustrial TechIndustrial Tech · $50M disclosed in window$50MCybersecurityCybersecurity · $40M disclosed in window$40MAIAI · $11M disclosed in window$11M

Disclosed round capital in the window. Undisclosed amounts count as zero.

◆ The Funding Tape — Past 7 days

Twelve tracked deals, $803M disclosed. Largest: Vinci's $250M Series B at a reported $1.5B post-money (Advent, Temasek & Xora Innovation) and Valon's $150M Series D at $2.3B (Ribbit Capital). Type One Energy raised $200M (Breakthrough Energy Ventures, Clutterbuck Capital); Spiko $90M Series B (NEA); Hadrian $40M growth (Forgepoint Capital International & SmartFin); RobCo a $40M secondary pairing partial employee liquidity with new money at a reported $1.0B post-money. Andreessen Horowitz led Ghost's $11M seed; General Catalyst led Minerva Humanoids' $10M pre-seed; Polygrade ($6M) and Zeroset ($5M) also raised. Reactor's expanded Series A and Armada's Series B are undisclosed. Lead figures are total round sizes, not individual checks. Last-24h deals outside the tracked tape: Vest $13M, Melius $20M, Siena $17M Series A.

DateCompanyRoundAmountReported Post-MoneyLeadSector
2026-10-06 Hadrian (Offensive Security) Growth $40M — Forgepoint Capital International & SmartFin Cybersecurity
2026-10-06 Minerva Humanoids Pre-seed $10M — General Catalyst Industrial Tech
2026-10-06 Polygrade Seed $6M — Construct Capital Enterprise Software
2026-10-06 Spiko Series B $90M — New Enterprise Associates (NEA) Fintech
2026-10-06 Type One Energy Series B $200M — Breakthrough Energy Ventures, Clutterbuck Capital Energy
2026-10-06 Vinci Series B $250M $1.5B Advent, Temasek & Xora Innovation Enterprise Software
2026-10-06 Zeroset Pre-seed $5M — Gradient & 2048 Ventures Enterprise Software
2026-10-05 Ghost Seed $11M — Andreessen Horowitz AI
2026-10-05 Reactor Series A (expanded) — — Lightspeed Venture Partners Enterprise Software
2026-10-05 RobCo Secondary (partial employee liquidity + new investment) $40M $1.0B — Industrial Tech
2026-10-05 Valon Series D $150M $2.3B Ribbit Capital Fintech
2026-10-01 Armada Series B — — — Defense

◆ Stage Mix — Deals & Capital by Stage

Where the window's activity sits on the funding ladder: deal count (solid) against disclosed capital (faded) per stage, with the companies behind each cluster. Stages come from the reported round labels; undisclosed amounts count as zero capital.

Seed: 4Series A: 1Series B: 4Series C–D: 1Late / Growth: 2
Seed · 4 deals · $33MSeries A · 1 dealSeries B · 4 deals · $540MSeries C–D · 1 deal · $150MLate / Growth · 2 deals · $80M
SeedSeed: 4 deals4 dealsSeed: $33M$33MSeries ASeries A: 1 deal1 dealSeries A: no disclosed capital—Series BSeries B: 4 deals4 dealsSeries B: $540M$540MSeries C–DSeries C–D: 1 deal1 dealSeries C–D: $150M$150MLate / GrowthLate / Growth: 2 deals2 dealsLate / Growth: $80M$80M
Seed
4 deals · $33M disclosed · 4% of window capital
Series A
1 deal · — disclosed
Series B
4 deals · $540M disclosed · 67% of window capital
Series C–D
1 deal · $150M disclosed · 19% of window capital
Late / Growth
2 deals · $80M disclosed · 10% of window capital

◆ VC Activity & Lead Investors

The Pentagon joined a $134M raise for a startup producing U.S. iron for rare-earth magnets (WSJ, last 24h) — strategic/government capital continuing to enter venture rounds. Oura delayed its IPO (Fortune), a liquidity-timing data point. Forbion closed $2.6B across two biotech venture funds. The Information reports Lightspeed's top fundraiser decamping to a firm that buys seed funds' pro rata — secondary/pro-rata economics remain contested. Note: fund closes are commitments, not startup deployments.

Lead InvestorDisplayed DealsAssociated Round Sizes
Advent, Temasek & Xora Innovation1$250M
Breakthrough Energy Ventures, Clutterbuck Capital1$200M
Ribbit Capital1$150M
New Enterprise Associates (NEA)1$90M
Forgepoint Capital International & SmartFin1$40M
Andreessen Horowitz1$11M
General Catalyst1$10M
Construct Capital1$6M

Total sizes of associated rounds, not the lead investor's check sizes. Investor types are not inferred from their names.

◆ Private Equity & Growth Buyouts

Spectrum Equity invested in Symmetric Health Solutions to expand its healthcare data platform (terms undisclosed). East Africa Foods raised $40M. H.I.G. Capital acquired Rothschenk (Hogan Lovells and Cadwalader advising). Redhawk Federal Solutions secured Regions Bank financing to support its Geneva Software acquisition. South China Morning Post reports family offices broadening into PE, infrastructure and alternatives. SoundThinking is to be taken private by Transom Capital (WSJ) — a take-private announced, not closed. All items last 24h.

◆ Investment Funds & Capital Formation

Conversant Capital closed its inaugural opportunistic fund above $845M (PR Newswire, PERE). Forbion raised $2.6B across two biotech venture funds. Texas Teachers assigned over $500M across PE and real assets; Penn SERS backed a new PE manager despite losses in the asset class. IOI Properties and CapitaLand Investment moved closer to a joint acquisition of One Raffles Place. Fund closes and LP allocations are commitments — not startup investment and not deployment pace.

◆ M&A & Exits

Terms undisclosed on all items: SAP agreed to acquire skills-intelligence startup TechWolf to augment SuccessFactors HCM (multiple outlets, last 24h); Automation Anywhere agreed to acquire conversational-AI firm Boost.ai; Mitratech acquired BotDojo amid an Austin legal-tech merger; Temporal acquired an AI cybersecurity startup after its latest funding round. All are announcements, not closings. Context: The Recursive's 'silent M&A wave' piece argues a sale is beating the next raise for some companies — directionally consistent with today's print, but no disclosed deal values support size claims.

◆ Off-Book Wire

Funding headlines from outside the tracked book — sourced links, not QL data.

◆ Mega-Round Board

The largest recent private rounds ($100M+) across the tracked book — 2282 ranked. Full board: quantlogix.ai/mega-rounds.

OpenAIOpenAI · $142B · Late-stage primary142000WaymoWaymo · $16B · 2026 mega-round16000Scale AIScale AI · $14B · Series F + Meta investment14300PrometheusPrometheus · $12B · Funding12000SwitchSwitch · $11B · Buyout/LBO11000Blue OriginBlue Origin · $10B · Private (Bezos-funded)10000

🎯 QL Score Movers

Biggest overnight changes in the graded company score — scores only move when disclosed data moves, and every repricing grades the score that was standing.

CompanyScoreΔ
Valon 49 → 57 +8
Etched 63 → 67 +4

◆ Private Markets Weekday Digest · 10/07/2026

Display-only private-markets tape from the tracked roster — formations, priced fundraises, valuation marks, and U.S. VC lead activity. No inferred amounts; empty sections stay empty.

Window: 2026-10-07 · sources: private-companies.json, investors.json

New company formations

No rows in the report window.

Fund raises

No rows in the report window.

Valuation marks

No rows in the report window.

Top U.S. VC activity

No rows in the report window.

No in-tree private-market events matched the report window; amounts and valuations were not inferred.

◆ Private Market Desk — Evening Edition · 10/06/2026

The Silicon Valley Private Market Daily — the 8pm PT desk close: qualified raises, roster re-rates and sector velocity from the QL private-market pipeline.

💰 Notable Raises

  • Vinci — $250M Series Unknown at a $1.5B valuation (+ Advent, Temasek, Xora Innovation). AI-driven physics simulation for chip design Vinci secured $250M at a $1.5B valuation to apply AI-driven physics simulations to the chip design process. (Palo Alto, CA)
  • Spiko — $90M Series Unknown. Corporate cash yield platform Spiko raised $90M to provide programmable yield solutions for idle corporate cash.
  • Type One Energy — $200M Series Unknown led by Breakthrough Energy Ventures (+ Clutterbuck Capital, Lowercarbon Capital, Siemens Energy Ventures, SiteGround Capital). Fusion power plant developer Type One Energy raised $200M to advance its roadmap toward delivering a grid-ready fusion power plant by 2034. (Knoxville, TN)

🔍 Reported, not yet verified

  • Hadrian — reported $40M Series Unknown; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.

📊 Valuation re-rates (roster marks that moved)

  • Rightway — $1.1B (2021-Q1) → $1.8B (+59%) on Series E led by Francisco Partners.
  • OpenEvidence — $12B (2026-Q1) → $15B (+25%) on Unlabeled (reported).
  • Brahma AI — $1.4B (2025-Q1) → $2B (+40%) on Preferred equity round (unlabeled) led by Multiples Alternate Asset Management.
  • Impulse Space — $4.3B (2026-Q2) → $5.6B (+31%) on Series D extension.
  • Factory — $1.5B (2026-Q2) → $5B (+233%) on Growth round (series undisclosed).
  • Profound — $1B (2026-Q1) → $1.8B (+80%) on Series D led by Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led).
  • Temporal — $5B (2026-Q1) → $12.6B (+151%) on Series E led by Lightspeed.
  • The Boring Company — $5.7B (2022-Q2) → $23B (+305%) on Series D led by United Arab Emirates and affiliated investment entities.
  • Harvey — $11B (2026-Q1) → $15.5B (+41%) on Later Stage VC led by Diffusion / Lightspeed Venture Partners (co-led).
  • Cognition — $26B (2026-Q2) → $48B (+85%) on Later Stage VC led by Andreessen Horowitz / Accel / Founders Fund / General Catalyst / Avenir (co-led).
  • Upwind — $1.5B (2026-Q1) → $3.8B (+153%) on Series C led by Bessemer Venture Partners, TCV.
  • AfterQuery — $300M (2026-Q2) → $3.2B (+967%) on Growth round (reported).
  • Fluidstack — $7.5B (2026-Q1) → $18B (+140%) on Growth round (series undisclosed) led by Jane Street.
  • Instinct — $500M (2026-Q3) → $2.5B (+400%) on Series B led by Index Ventures / Benchmark (co-led).
  • Etched — $10.3B (2026-Q3) → $21B (+104%) on Series C extension / growth (unlabeled) led by Jane Street.
  • Firmus Technologies — $5.5B (2026-Q1) → $10.5B (+91%) on Growth Equity led by Nvidia & Coatue.
  • HappyRobot — $500M (2025-Q3) → $1.2B (+140%) on Series C led by Prysm Capital.
  • Owner — $1B (2025-Q2) → $2.3B (+130%) on Series D led by Growth Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives.
  • K2 Space — $3B (2025-Q4) → $6.8B (+127%) on Series D led by Kleiner Perkins / ICONIQ Capital.
  • Anthropic — $965B (2026-Q2) → $1000B (+4%) on Strategic Investment led by AMD.
  • Wonder — $7B (2025-Q2) → $9.7B (+38%) on Series D.
  • Baseten — $5B (2026-Q1) → $13B (+160%) on Series F led by Altimeter Capital, Conviction, Spark Capital.
  • Prometheus — $38B (2026-Q2) → $41B (+8%) on Funding led by Jeff Bezos.

⚡ Mega-round momentum (sector velocity, closed rounds)

  • ↑ AI — $19.7B across 25 rounds / 24 companies (accelerating, 25 vs. 10 prior rounds). Top: Anthropic $5B (Strategic Investment).
  • ↑ Energy — $3.6B across 6 rounds / 6 companies (accelerating, 6 vs. 2 prior rounds). Top: Valar Atomics $1B (Series B).
  • ↑ Defense — $3.4B across 5 rounds / 5 companies (accelerating, 5 vs. 1 prior round). Top: Helsing $1.8B (Late Stage).
  • → Transportation — $3B across 1 round / 1 company (steady, 1 vs. 1 prior round). Top: The Boring Company $3B (Series D).
  • ✦ Space / Defense — $1.9B across 4 rounds / 4 companies (new, new vs. a quiet prior window). Top: Stoke Space $1B (Series E).
  • ↑ Cybersecurity — $1.4B across 5 rounds / 5 companies (accelerating, 5 vs. 4 prior rounds). Top: Cyera $400M (Series G extension).

🚀 New / Stealth Companies

  • No fresh stealth intake surfaced this window.

🏦 Private-Market Fund Watch

  • No new fund registrations, launches, or portfolio changes cleared primary-source verification in this window.

📊 Robinhood Ventures Performance

  • RVI — market snapshot unavailable as of 2026-10-06 (Polygon HTTP 401).
  • RVII — market snapshot unavailable as of 2026-10-06 (Polygon HTTP 401).

🏛️ Institutional Ownership (13F)

  • RVI: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. The quarter-over-quarter read is BEARISH: 0 new, 0 increased, 0 decreased, and 1 exited (2026-03-31 → 2026-06-30). Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.
  • RVII: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.

🧭 Macro read

The private market exhibits strong concentration in capital-intensive AI and deep-tech sectors, exemplified by large raises for Vinci ($250M) and Type One Energy ($200M). Uncertainty remains regarding long-term valuations for capital-heavy infrastructure startups as investors shift focus toward deterministic, revenue-generating solutions, as noted in the BAG Ventures fund launch strategy.

🗂️ Dataset updated: no new closed rounds to add; list holds at 2,635.

🔗 Sources

  • [TechStartups](https://techstartups.com/)
  • [TechStartups](https://techstartups.com/2026/10/06/startup-funding-news-today-october-6-2026-reactor-vinci-spiko-hadrian-whitelab-genomics-more/)
  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/06/type-one-energy-raised-200m-to-build-a-fusion-power-plant-by-2034/)
  • [RVI market performance](https://polygon.io/)
  • [SEC Form 13F methodology](https://www.sec.gov/divisions/investment/13ffaq.htm)

◆ Markdown Watch

100 tracked names flagged for markdown risk — 125 scored nightly, 2510 left unscored (no comp bridge). Down rounds are recorded in the open ledger — receipts only work in public. Live boards: markdown-watch · down-round-ledger.

Click a column to sort · third click restores rank order
#CompanySectorRisk ScoreBandVs CompsLast MarkLast Round
1 Linktree SaaS 86 High +773% $1.3B 55 mo ago
2 Replit Data / Infra 86 High +246% $9.0B 41 mo ago
3 Kajabi SaaS 86 High +151% $2.0B 65 mo ago
4 Xendit Financial Services 80 High +1764% $2.7B 53 mo ago
5 Forter Fintech 80 High +907% $3.0B 65 mo ago
6 Greenlight Fintech 80 High +574% $2.3B 66 mo ago
7 Betterment Fintech 80 High +405% $1.1B 42 mo ago
8 Varo Fintech 80 High +288% $2.5B 61 mo ago

Nightly score: comp-bridge premium (45%) · round staleness (30%) · IPO-readiness drag (15%) · funding deceleration (10%). Companies without a computable public-comp bridge stay unscored — never guessed.

75 markdowns detected all-time · 16 flagged beforehand · 59 missed · hit rate 21.3%

CompanyDetectedEventMarkCalled?
Unacademy 2026-10-05 Mark cut −5.5% $218M → $206M ✗ Missed
Abridge 2026-10-05 Mark cut −6.8% $5.7B → $5.3B ✓ Flagged #38 · Elevated
Kling AI 2026-10-05 Mark cut −10.0% $20B → $18B ✓ Flagged #16 · Elevated
Guild Education 2026-10-05 Mark cut −14.8% $4.4B → $3.8B ✗ Missed
Harness 2026-10-05 Mark cut −14.8% $5.5B → $4.7B ✓ Flagged #60 · Elevated
OfBusiness 2026-10-05 Mark cut −20.0% $5.0B → $4.0B ✗ Missed
o9 Solutions 2026-10-05 Mark cut −27.0% $3.7B → $2.7B ✗ Missed
Houzz 2026-10-05 Mark cut −54.3% $4.0B → $1.8B ✗ Missed

Down-round & valuation headlines scraped at publication from Google News, Hacker News, CNBC, Yahoo Finance and the wider tech press.

◆ IPO Runway — Latest Deep Dives

◆ Founder & Investor Take

Employee liquidity is back on the board

RobCo's $40M round bundled partial employee liquidity with new money at a reported $1.0B post-money, double its January mark. Secondaries paired with primaries are becoming a retention tool through longer private holding periods — worth modeling before you need it, not after.

Strategic capital is setting terms in hardtech

The Pentagon's participation in a $134M rare-earth raise and Advent, Temasek and Xora leading Vinci's $250M Series B show non-traditional capital taking lead roles in defense, industrial and hardware-adjacent deals. Weigh speed and signaling against dilution and export-control constraints.

Marks are being cut, quietly

Unacademy (-5.5%), Abridge (-6.8%) and Kling AI (-10%) took recent markdowns and 100 names sit on the watch list. If your next raise leans on your last round's valuation, stress-test it against public comps — the board's 86/100 names imply +151% to +773% gaps.

◆ Outlook

A bifurcated tape: one mega-round inflates weekly totals while the core mid-market prints $803M across 12 deals, with fintech, energy and defense taking outsized slices. M&A is doing the liquidity work IPOs won't — Oura's delay is the caution flag. Watch mark discipline: cuts at Abridge and Kling AI signal repricing risk spreading beyond the watch list.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Private-market figures come from public reporting and the QuantLogix private-company dataset; amounts and valuations are as-reported, not audited. Markets carry risk of loss.