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◆QUANTLOGIX STARTUP DAILY
SATURDAY · 11/07/2026 SILICON VALLEY
Displayed Rounds
1
Past 7 days
Disclosed Capital
$800M
Past 7 days
Tracked Startups
2,699
QL private book
Mega-Round Board
8
$100M+ recent
Markdown Watch
100
names flagged

◆ Cyera Series G extension ($800M) leads the startup tape

Tracked tape showed a single disclosed round in the last 7 days: Cyera's $800M Series G extension at a reported $12B post-money, led by Goldman Sachs Alternatives (Growth Equity), dated 2026-11-05. Weekly capital is $800M versus $0 the prior week; the percentage change is undefined (null), not a growth rate. Cybersecurity was the only sector with disclosed capital. This covers 2,699 tracked companies and disclosed rounds only — not the whole market. Mega-round board marks (OpenAI $122B, DeepSeek $16B, Waymo $16B) are reported valuations, not fresh capital. Note the tape's prior week was also zero disclosed rounds; weekly reads are noisy at this sample size.

◆ Daily Startup News

Last-24h news is thinner on startup deals than on infrastructure and institutional plumbing: Brookfield and Qatar's $20B AI venture made its first deal (Drax data-center campus); IIT Bombay's SINE launched a national Hub-and-Spoke startup initiative in Nagpur; a Qatari super app linked with a global founder network; UEH joined Plug and Play as a university partner; and Geoffrey Church quit his role at AI startup Radical citing disputed conduct. Coverage of company-specific hard news is thin; most items are partnerships or programs rather than financing or exits.

◆ Valuations & Secondary Transactions

Valuation flow is two-directional. OpenAI's $11B first tranche reportedly lands at a $1.25T valuation — below its original target per one report, a markdown inside a headline raise. Groq is said to seek an $8B valuation, ~2.5x its August mark — a reported ask, not a signed round. Anthropic's IPO is under pressure: WSJ reports major investors are skeptical of a $1.5T valuation, one outlet cites a '$2.5T rout,' and Altimeter's Jamin Ball argues the reported $81B loss is mostly paper. Cyera's $12B post-money was flat vs its September 2026 mark. Indian AI startups face valuation scrutiny amid a tech-stock slide.

Company / Round DateReported Post-MoneyPrior Post-Money / DateMark ChangeEvidence
Cyera
2026-11-05
$12B$12B
2026-09-22
0.0%Tracked roster; source link unavailable

Historical round marks are not replaced with today's company valuation. Mark changes compare disclosed post-money levels, not investor returns; dilution and financing terms may differ. Secondary indications, fund marks and enterprise values in linked reporting are separate evidence, not interchangeable round valuations.

◆ Capital by Sector

CybersecurityCybersecurity · $800M disclosed in window$800M

Disclosed round capital in the window. Undisclosed amounts count as zero.

◆ Round Sizes

CyeraCyera · Series G extension · $800M — open the live company page$800M

Disclosed rounds in the window · every bar opens the company's live page.

◆ The Funding Tape — Past 7 days

Tracked tape showed a single disclosed round in the last 7 days: Cyera's $800M Series G extension at a reported $12B post-money, led by Goldman Sachs Alternatives (Growth Equity), dated 2026-11-05. Weekly capital is $800M versus $0 the prior week; the percentage change is undefined (null), not a growth rate. Cybersecurity was the only sector with disclosed capital. This covers 2,699 tracked companies and disclosed rounds only — not the whole market. Mega-round board marks (OpenAI $122B, DeepSeek $16B, Waymo $16B) are reported valuations, not fresh capital. Note the tape's prior week was also zero disclosed rounds; weekly reads are noisy at this sample size.

DateCompanyRoundAmountReported Post-MoneyLeadSector
2026-11-05 Cyera Series G extension $800M $12B Goldman Sachs Alternatives (Growth Equity) Cybersecurity

◆ Stage Mix — Deals & Capital by Stage

Where the window's activity sits on the funding ladder: deal count (solid) against disclosed capital (faded) per stage, with the companies behind each cluster. Stages come from the reported round labels; undisclosed amounts count as zero capital.

Late / Growth: 1
Late / Growth · 1 deal · $800M
Late / GrowthLate / Growth: 1 deal1 dealLate / Growth: $800M$800M
Late / Growth
1 deal · $800M disclosed · 100% of window capital

◆ VC Activity & Lead Investors

Fund formation news dominated. NSV raised nearly $55M in a first close of its inaugural biotech fund (WSJ, last 24h). IA Capital Group announced an initial close of Inter-Atlantic Opportunity Fund I with QBE Insurance as anchor. Gannet Natural Capital II held a first close at €25M toward a €100M target for Iberian sustainable agriculture. These are first/initial closes — final sizes are not yet set. Context: reporting on DACH VC pulling away from SaaS and a Crunchbase weekly roundup citing AI, defense and space as large-round leaders. Caveat: several other fund stories in this window are PE-side and counted under funds/PE below.

Lead InvestorDisplayed DealsAssociated Round Sizes
Goldman Sachs Alternatives (Growth Equity)1$800M

Total sizes of associated rounds, not the lead investor's check sizes. Investor types are not inferred from their names.

◆ Private Equity & Growth Buyouts

PE activity: Warburg Pincus is reported on the cusp of wrapping its 15th flagship growth fund (cusp — not confirmed closed). Main Capital signed its largest deal to date with a stake in Confirma Software; Keensight's cybersecurity portfolio company Nomios entered Iberia via Orbcom. Healthcare dealmaking continues with an $11B Chicago hospital merger reported. Unity remains an exploration target for PIF and Silver Lake per Reuters-sourced reporting. None of these amounts should be read as startup investment; fund sizes and healthcare M&A are separate lanes.

◆ Investment Funds & Capital Formation

Fund closes and allocations: Brookfield has raised $26bn for Fund VI and is eyeing an 'early 2027' final close — interim, not final. Seidler collected $2.3bn across three funds including its ninth flagship in 90 days. Sagard closed its third emerging-manager fund at €520M, exceeding its €400M target (this one is a stated close). A New Jersey investor is weighing a $1bn infrastructure allocation increase toward midmarket and co-investments. Brookfield and Qatar's $20B AI venture made its first deal (Drax data-center campus). Fund size ≠ startup deployment.

◆ M&A & Exits

Headline-adjacent deal flow, mostly at announcement stage: Palo Alto Networks is reported in talks to buy AI agent-security startup Clutch for $500M — reported as talks/announced intent, not a closed transaction. Shield AI's reported $5.3B acquisition of radar maker Echodyne appears in recent-context coverage, not last-24h. AutoStore's purchase of Dutch automation firm Logiqs for up to €30M is also recent-context. On the larger-screen side (PE evidence feed), Reuters reports PIF and Silver Lake exploring an acquisition of Unity — exploratory, not agreed. Treat all as unconfirmed until closing is explicit.

◆ Off-Book Wire

Funding headlines from outside the tracked book — sourced links, not QL data.

◆ Mega-Round Board

The largest recent private rounds ($100M+) across the tracked book — 2376 ranked. Full board: quantlogix.ai/mega-rounds.

OpenAIOpenAI · $122B · Late-stage primary122000DeepSeekDeepSeek · $16B · Series A16000WaymoWaymo · $16B · 2026 mega-round16000Scale AIScale AI · $14B · Series F + Meta investment14300PrometheusPrometheus · $12B · Funding12000SwitchSwitch · $11B · Buyout/LBO11000

🎯 QL Score Movers

Biggest overnight changes in the graded company score — scores only move when disclosed data moves, and every repricing grades the score that was standing.

CompanyScoreΔ
Mach Industries 67 → 70 +3
Listen Labs 68 → 71 +3

◆ Private Markets Weekday Digest · 11/06/2026

Display-only private-markets tape from the tracked roster — formations, priced fundraises, valuation marks, and U.S. VC lead activity. No inferred amounts; empty sections stay empty.

Window: 2026-11-06 · sources: private-companies.json, investors.json

New company formations

No rows in the report window.

Fund raises

No rows in the report window.

Valuation marks

No rows in the report window.

Top U.S. VC activity

No rows in the report window.

No in-tree private-market events matched the report window; amounts and valuations were not inferred.

◆ Private Market Desk — Evening Edition · 11/06/2026

The Silicon Valley Private Market Daily — the 8pm PT desk close: qualified raises, roster re-rates and sector velocity from the QL private-market pipeline.

💰 Notable Raises

  • Zipline International — $1.5B Late-stage at a $21.5B valuation led by Paradigm, WCM Investment Management, Layer Global (+ Paradigm, WCM Investment Management, Layer Global). Drone delivery provider Raised $1.5B at a $21.5B valuation to scale its U.S. manufacturing facilities and nationwide drone delivery network. (South San Francisco, California)
  • CesiumAstro — $730M Series D at a $4.5B valuation led by Janus Henderson (+ Export-Import Bank of the United States, JP Morgan). Developer of space and defense communications systems and satellites Closed $730M Series D financing in addition to $100M in debt, confirming a valuation exceeding $4.5B. (Austin, Texas)
  • Physicl — $10M Seed led by Inovia Capital. Simulations for robotics and world model training Seed round to address the 'sim-to-real' gap in training robot foundation models and world models.

🔍 Reported, not yet verified

  • Otter AI — reported $320M Growth; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • Shield AI — reported $2B Series H; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • Applied Compute — reported $350M N/A; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • Traversal — reported $120M N/A; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.

📊 Valuation re-rates (roster marks that moved)

  • Reliable Robotics — $530.5M (2021-Q4) → $1B (+89%) on Series D (extension) led by Nimble Partners.
  • TypeSafe AI — $200M (2026-Q3) → $7.5B (+3650%) on Series A led by Andreessen Horowitz.
  • Homeward — $836.5M (2021-Q2) → $800M (-4%) on Series D led by Saluda Grade.
  • General Intuition — $6B (2026-Q3) → $6.2B (+3%) on Venture led by Valor Equity Partners.
  • Rightway — $1.1B (2021-Q1) → $1.8B (+59%) on Series E led by Francisco Partners.
  • OpenEvidence — $12B (2026-Q1) → $15B (+25%) on Unlabeled (reported).
  • Brahma AI — $1.4B (2025-Q1) → $2B (+40%) on Preferred equity round (unlabeled) led by Multiples Alternate Asset Management.
  • Impulse Space — $4.3B (2026-Q2) → $5.6B (+31%) on Series D extension.
  • Factory — $1.5B (2026-Q2) → $5B (+233%) on Growth round (series undisclosed).
  • Profound — $1B (2026-Q1) → $1.8B (+80%) on Series D led by Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led).
  • Temporal — $5B (2026-Q1) → $12.6B (+151%) on Series E led by Lightspeed.
  • The Boring Company — $5.7B (2022-Q2) → $23B (+305%) on Series D led by United Arab Emirates and affiliated investment entities.
  • Harvey — $11B (2026-Q1) → $15.5B (+41%) on Later Stage VC led by Diffusion / Lightspeed Venture Partners (co-led).
  • Cognition — $26B (2026-Q2) → $48B (+85%) on Later Stage VC led by Andreessen Horowitz / Accel / Founders Fund / General Catalyst / Avenir (co-led).
  • Upwind — $1.5B (2026-Q1) → $3.8B (+153%) on Series C led by Bessemer Venture Partners, TCV.
  • AfterQuery — $300M (2026-Q2) → $3.2B (+967%) on Growth round (reported).
  • Fluidstack — $7.5B (2026-Q1) → $18B (+140%) on Growth round (series undisclosed) led by Jane Street.
  • Instinct — $500M (2026-Q3) → $2.5B (+400%) on Series B led by Index Ventures / Benchmark (co-led).
  • Etched — $10.3B (2026-Q3) → $21B (+104%) on Series C extension / growth (unlabeled) led by Jane Street.
  • Lovable — $6.6B (2025-Q4) → $13.3B (+102%) on Series C led by Menlo Ventures / Scaleup Europe Fund (EQT).
  • Firmus Technologies — $5.5B (2026-Q1) → $10.5B (+91%) on Growth Equity led by Nvidia & Coatue.
  • Hadrian — $1.6B (2025-Q3) → $7.9B (+392%) on Series D led by JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group.
  • HappyRobot — $500M (2025-Q3) → $1.2B (+140%) on Series C led by Prysm Capital.
  • Owner — $1B (2025-Q2) → $2.3B (+130%) on Series D led by Growth Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives.
  • K2 Space — $3B (2025-Q4) → $6.8B (+127%) on Series D led by Kleiner Perkins / ICONIQ Capital.
  • Anthropic — $965B (2026-Q2) → $1000B (+4%) on Strategic Investment led by AMD.
  • Wonder — $7B (2025-Q2) → $9.7B (+38%) on Series D.

⚡ Mega-round momentum (sector velocity, closed rounds)

  • ↑ AI — $10.6B across 22 rounds / 22 companies (accelerating, 22 vs. 17 prior rounds). Top: Cognition $2B (Later Stage VC).
  • → Transportation — $3B across 1 round / 1 company (steady, 1 vs. 1 prior round). Top: The Boring Company $3B (Series D).
  • → Energy — $1.7B across 5 rounds / 5 companies (steady, 5 vs. 5 prior rounds). Top: Suniva $835M (Debt and equity financing).
  • ↑ Cybersecurity — $1.6B across 6 rounds / 6 companies (accelerating, 6 vs. 4 prior rounds). Top: Cyera $400M (Series G extension).
  • ↑ Space / Defense — $1.4B across 3 rounds / 3 companies (accelerating, 3 vs. 1 prior round). Top: Stoke Space $1B (Series E).
  • → Defense — $1.4B across 3 rounds / 3 companies (steady, 3 vs. 3 prior rounds). Top: Castelion $800M (Series C).

🚀 New / Stealth Companies

  • No fresh stealth intake surfaced this window.

🏦 Private-Market Fund Watch

  • No new fund registrations, launches, or portfolio changes cleared primary-source verification in this window.

📊 Robinhood Ventures Performance

  • RVI — market snapshot unavailable as of 2026-11-06 (Polygon HTTP 401).
  • RVII — market snapshot unavailable as of 2026-11-06 (Polygon HTTP 401).

🏛️ Institutional Ownership (13F)

  • RVI: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. The quarter-over-quarter read is BEARISH: 0 new, 0 increased, 0 decreased, and 1 exited (2026-06-30 → 2026-09-30). Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.
  • RVII: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.

🧭 Macro read

The private market is currently exhibiting high volatility and extreme sensitivity to AI-related capital expenditure. While major funding rounds for defense and infrastructure-heavy AI companies (Shield AI, Zipline, Applied Compute) continue to command multi-billion dollar valuations, there is evidence of an internal divide between established tech leaders and speculative AI infrastructure. The market remains significantly detached from broader equity indices like the Nasdaq 100, which faced a sharp sell-off this week due to rising uncertainty regarding AI investment sustainability and interest rate sensitivities.

🗂️ Dataset updated: added 3 companies to the QuantLogix private-companies list — Zipline International, CesiumAstro, Physicl — 2,753 → 2,756. Append-only.

🔗 Sources

  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/20/otter-ai-raises-320-million-from-general-catalysts-growth-fund-for-its-meeting-tool/)
  • [Crunchbase News](https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/biggest-startup-rounds-ai-defense-space-tech-shield-zipline/)
  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/11/06/physicl-raises-10m-to-make-the-digital-world-real-enough-for-robots/)
  • [RVI market performance](https://polygon.io/)
  • [SEC Form 13F methodology](https://www.sec.gov/divisions/investment/13ffaq.htm)

◆ Markdown Watch

100 tracked names flagged for markdown risk — 126 scored nightly, 2573 left unscored (no comp bridge). Down rounds are recorded in the open ledger — receipts only work in public. Live boards: markdown-watch · down-round-ledger.

Click a column to sort · third click restores rank order
#CompanySectorRisk ScoreBandVs CompsLast MarkLast Round
1 Linktree SaaS 86 High +820% $1.3B 56 mo ago
2 Replit Data / Infra 86 High +474% $9.0B 42 mo ago
3 Kajabi SaaS 86 High +165% $2.0B 66 mo ago
4 Xendit Financial Services 80 High +1625% $2.7B 54 mo ago
5 Forter Fintech 80 High +832% $3.0B 66 mo ago
6 Greenlight Fintech 80 High +524% $2.3B 67 mo ago
7 Betterment Fintech 80 High +367% $1.1B 43 mo ago
8 Varo Fintech 80 High +320% $2.5B 62 mo ago

Nightly score: comp-bridge premium (45%) · round staleness (30%) · IPO-readiness drag (15%) · funding deceleration (10%). Companies without a computable public-comp bridge stay unscored — never guessed.

90 markdowns detected all-time · 20 flagged beforehand · 70 missed · hit rate 22.2%

CompanyDetectedEventMarkCalled?
Dadi Cinema 2026-11-02 Mark cut −10.5% $3.2B → $2.9B ✗ Missed
OpenAI 2026-11-02 Mark cut −10.7% $1400B → $1250B ✓ Flagged #72 · Moderate
CoinDCX 2026-11-02 Mark cut −12.2% $2.5B → $2.1B ✗ Missed
Devoted Health 2026-11-02 Mark cut −36.0% $25B → $16B ✗ Missed
Sila 2026-11-02 Mark cut −42.4% $3.3B → $1.9B ✗ Missed
Prove 2026-11-02 Mark cut −73.2% $2.0B → $537M ✗ Missed
Flock Safety 2026-10-26 Mark cut −10.7% $8.4B → $7.5B ✗ Missed
Agility Robotics 2026-10-26 Mark cut −26.5% $3.0B → $2.2B ✗ Missed

Down-round & valuation headlines scraped at publication from Google News, Hacker News, CNBC, Yahoo Finance and the wider tech press.

◆ IPO Runway — Latest Deep Dives

◆ Founder & Investor Take

Extensions are the new normal at the top

Cyera's $800M Series G extension at a flat $12B post-money (vs its September mark) is a growth-extension, not a step-up round. If you're mid-raise, expect leads to price at prior marks and use extension structures to buy time. Goldman's growth arm writing the check is a signal that crossover-style capital is still active in late-stage security — but at unchanged prices, not premium ones.

Secondary evidence says the markdown wave is real

The ledger shows three recent mark cuts (OpenAI -10.7%, Dadi Cinema -10.5%, CoinDCX -12.2%), 100 names on watch, and Linktree, Replit and Kajabi scoring 86/100 High on our markdown screen. Anthropic IPO skepticism from major investors and Groq's reported 2.5x-up ask show both directions at once. Plan liquidity conversations against markdown scenarios, not headline valuations.

Security M&A is the active exit lane

Within days: Palo Alto Networks reportedly in talks for Clutch at $500M, Shield AI reportedly buying Echodyne at $5.3B, and Keensight's Nomios expanding via Orbcom. Cybersecurity is where both private capital (Cyera) and acquirers are concentrated. If you're building in adjacent security niches, strategic interest exists — but the Clutch number is a reported deal in talks, not a closed comp.

◆ Outlook

A single-round week with flat pricing plus three fresh mark cuts points to cautious late-stage repricing, not a freeze. Watch whether Anthropic's IPO pricing lands below ask — it would reset the AI valuation reference point for everyone raising after it.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Private-market figures come from public reporting and the QuantLogix private-company dataset; amounts and valuations are as-reported, not audited. Markets carry risk of loss.