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QUANTLOGIX STARTUP DAILY
THURSDAY · 09/03/2026 SILICON VALLEY
Priced Rounds
4
Past 7 days
Disclosed Capital
$1.3B
Past 7 days
Tracked Startups
2,340
QL private book
Mega-Round Board
8
$100M+ recent
Markdown Watch
100
names flagged

Polymarket Strategic round ($1.0B) leads the startup tape

The tape shows 4 priced rounds across the past 7 days, $1.3B in disclosed capital. Front of the tape: Polymarket (Strategic round, $1.0B, led by 1789 Capital); Token Security (Series A, $50M, led by Notable Capital); /dev/fast (Series A). Fintech absorbed the most capital.

Capital by Sector

FintechFintech · $1.0B disclosed in window$1.0BVertical SaaSVertical SaaS · $240M disclosed in window$240MCybersecurityCybersecurity · $50M disclosed in window$50M

Disclosed round capital in the window. Undisclosed amounts count as zero.

The Funding Tape — Past 7 days

The tape shows 4 priced rounds across the past 7 days, $1.3B in disclosed capital. Front of the tape: Polymarket (Strategic round, $1.0B, led by 1789 Capital); Token Security (Series A, $50M, led by Notable Capital); /dev/fast (Series A). Fintech absorbed the most capital.

DateCompanyRoundAmountValuationLeadSector
2026-09-01 Polymarket Strategic round $1.0B $21B 1789 Capital Fintech
2026-09-01 Token Security Series A $50M Notable Capital Cybersecurity
2026-09-01 /dev/fast Series A $3.2B Technology
2026-08-28 Owner Series D $240M $2.3B Growth Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives Vertical SaaS

Stage Mix — Deals & Capital by Stage

Where the window's activity sits on the funding ladder: deal count (solid) against disclosed capital (faded) per stage, with the companies behind each cluster. Stages come from the reported round labels; undisclosed amounts count as zero capital.

Series A: 2Series C–D: 1Other: 1
Series A · 2 deals · $50MSeries C–D · 1 deal · $240MOther · 1 deal · $1.0B
Series ASeries A: 2 deals2 dealsSeries A: $50M$50MSeries C–DSeries C–D: 1 deal1 dealSeries C–D: $240M$240MOtherOther: 1 deal1 dealOther: $1.0B$1.0B
Series A
2 deals · $50M disclosed · 4% of window capital
Series C–D
1 deal · $240M disclosed · 19% of window capital
Other
1 deal · $1.0B disclosed · 78% of window capital

VC Activity

Most active leads in the window: 1789 Capital (1 deal), Growth Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives (1 deal), Notable Capital (1 deal).

Lead InvestorDealsDisclosed Capital
1789 Capital1$1.0B
Growth Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives1$240M
Notable Capital1$50M

M&A & Exits

6 acquisition headlines crossed the wire — sourced links below.

Off-Book Wire

Funding headlines from outside the tracked book — sourced links, not QL data.

Mega-Round Board

The largest recent private rounds ($100M+) across the tracked book — 2023 ranked. Full board: quantlogix.ai/mega-rounds.

OpenAIOpenAI · $122B · Late-stage primary122000WaymoWaymo · $16B · 2026 mega-round16000Scale AIScale AI · $14B · Series F + Meta investment14300PrometheusPrometheus · $12B · Funding12000SwitchSwitch · $11B · Buyout/LBO11000Blue OriginBlue Origin · $10B · Private (Bezos-funded)10000

🎯 QL Score Movers

Biggest overnight changes in the graded company score — scores only move when disclosed data moves, and every repricing grades the score that was standing.

CompanyScoreΔ
Increase 63 → 49 -14
Any 60 → 46 -14
Token Security 47 → 58 +11
Series 64 → 57 -7
Polymarket 66 → 73 +7
Vast 65 → 59 -6
Labs 52 → 48 -4
Ola Cabs 46 → 42 -4

Private Market Desk — Evening Edition · 09/02/2026

The Silicon Valley Private Market Daily — the 8pm PT desk close: qualified raises, roster re-rates and sector velocity from the QL private-market pipeline.

💰 Notable Raises

  • Lyte$165M Series C (+ Maverick). The nine-figure round stands out against the broader early-stage funding market.
  • AfterQueryundisclosed at a $3.2B valuation. AI model-training startup AfterQuery has reportedly become Y Combinator's fastest-ever unicorn, reaching a $3.2B valuation just five months after a $300M valuation round.

🔍 Reported, not yet verified

  • Wonderful — reported $550M Series C; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • N-Power Medicine — reported $32M Series B; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.

📊 Valuation re-rates (roster marks that moved)

  • Instinct — $500M (2026-Q3) → $2.5B (+400%) on Series B led by Index Ventures / Benchmark (co-led).
  • Firmus Technologies — $5.5B (2026-Q1) → $10.5B (+91%) on Growth Equity led by Nvidia & Coatue.
  • Hadrian — $1.6B (2025-Q3) → $7.9B (+392%) on Series D led by JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group.
  • HappyRobot — $500M (2025-Q3) → $1.2B (+140%) on Series C led by Prysm Capital.
  • Owner — $1B (2025-Q2) → $2.3B (+130%) on Series D led by Growth Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives.
  • K2 Space — $3B (2025-Q4) → $6.8B (+127%) on Series D led by Kleiner Perkins / ICONIQ Capital.
  • Anthropic — $965B (2026-Q2) → $1000B (+4%) on Strategic Investment led by AMD.
  • Wonder — $7B (2025-Q2) → $9.7B (+38%) on Series D.
  • Baseten — $5B (2026-Q1) → $13B (+160%) on Series F led by Altimeter Capital, Conviction, Spark Capital.
  • Prometheus — $38B (2026-Q2) → $41B (+8%) on Funding led by Jeff Bezos.
  • Anduril Industries — $30.5B (2025-Q2) → $61B (+100%) on Series H led by Thrive Capital & Andreessen Horowitz.
  • Vapi — $130M (2024-Q4) → $500M (+285%) on Series B led by Peak XV Partners.

⚡ Mega-round momentum (sector velocity, closed rounds)

  • AI — $15B across 16 rounds / 16 companies (accelerating, 16 vs. 2 prior rounds). Top: Anthropic $5B (Strategic Investment).
  • Artificial Intelligence — $12.4B across 3 rounds / 3 companies (accelerating, 3 vs. 1 prior round). Top: Prometheus $12B (Funding).
  • Defense — $3.1B across 4 rounds / 4 companies (accelerating, 4 vs. 1 prior round). Top: Helsing $1.8B (Late Stage).
  • Energy — $2.6B across 4 rounds / 4 companies (accelerating, 4 vs. 1 prior round). Top: Valar Atomics $1B (Series B).
  • Defense / Industrials — $1.4B across 1 round / 1 company (new, new vs. a quiet prior window). Top: Hadrian $1.4B (Series D).
  • Technology — $1.2B across 5 rounds / 5 companies (new, new vs. a quiet prior window). Top: Battery Storage Startup Antora $550M (Series C).

🚀 New / Stealth Companies

  • No fresh stealth intake surfaced this window.

🏦 Private-Market Fund Watch

  • No new fund registrations, launches, or portfolio changes cleared primary-source verification in this window.

📊 Robinhood Ventures Performance

  • RVI — $26.54 close (2026-09-02) · day +0.04% · since first available close (2026-03-06) +26.38% · NAV/premium-discount not published in today's qualified inputs.
  • RVII — $22.75 close (2026-09-02) · day +3.41% · since first available close (2026-08-13) -0.87% · NAV/premium-discount not published in today's qualified inputs.

🏛️ Institutional Ownership (13F)

  • RVI: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. The quarter-over-quarter read is BEARISH: 0 new, 0 increased, 0 decreased, and 1 exited (2026-03-31 → 2026-06-30). Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.
  • RVII: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.

🧭 Macro read

The private market remains highly concentrated in AI and robotics, with massive valuation jumps (e.g., Wonderful, AfterQuery) suggesting persistent aggressive sentiment in the sector despite broader economic uncertainty. Capital deployment in mid-to-late stage rounds remains robust, though the emergence of debt-heavy financing strategies in various regions highlights a shift toward more complex, non-dilutive capital structures as valuations climb.

🗂️ Dataset updated: no new closed rounds to add; list holds at 2,340.

🔗 Sources

  • [SF Business Times](https://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2026/09/02/lyte-maverick-silicon-funding-round.html)
  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/09/02/wonderful-more-than-doubles-its-valuation-to-5b-in-under-6-months/)
  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/09/01/afterquery-reportedly-becomes-y-combinators-fastest-ever-unicorn-now-valued-at-3-2b/)
  • [TechStartups](https://techstartups.com/2026/09/01/venture-capital-general-catalyst-sequoia-capital-more/)
  • [RVI market performance](https://polygon.io/)
  • [SEC Form 13F methodology](https://www.sec.gov/divisions/investment/13ffaq.htm)

Markdown Watch

100 tracked names flagged for markdown risk — 121 scored nightly, 2218 left unscored (no comp bridge). Down rounds are recorded in the open ledger — receipts only work in public. Live boards: markdown-watch · down-round-ledger.

Click a column to sort · third click restores rank order
#CompanySectorRisk ScoreBandVs CompsLast MarkLast Round
1 Linktree SaaS 86 High +439% $1.3B 53 mo ago
2 Replit Data / Infra 86 High +257% $9.0B 40 mo ago
3 Xendit Financial Services 80 High +1870% $2.7B 52 mo ago
4 Forter Fintech 80 High +964% $3.0B 64 mo ago
5 Greenlight Fintech 80 High +612% $2.3B 65 mo ago
6 Betterment Fintech 80 High +433% $1.1B 41 mo ago
7 Hugging Face AI 80 High +378% $13B 36 mo ago
8 Cross River Bank fintech 80 High +215% $3.0B 53 mo ago

Nightly score: comp-bridge premium (45%) · round staleness (30%) · IPO-readiness drag (15%) · funding deceleration (10%). Companies without a computable public-comp bridge stay unscored — never guessed.

29 markdowns detected all-time · 7 flagged beforehand · 22 missed · hit rate 24.1%

CompanyDetectedEventMarkCalled?
Enable 2026-08-31 Mark cut −44.0% $2.0B → $1.1B ✗ Missed
Shein 2026-08-31 Mark cut −48.0% $50B → $26B ✓ Flagged #89 · Moderate
Fluidstack 2026-08-31 Mark cut −58.3% $18B → $7.5B ✓ Flagged #20 · Elevated
Together AI 2026-08-31 Mark cut −60.2% $8.3B → $3.3B ✓ Flagged #51 · Elevated
Nscale 2026-08-31 Mark cut −79.5% $15B → $3.0B ✗ Missed
Owner 2026-08-31 Mark cut −88.5% $20B → $2.3B ✗ Missed
Splashtop 2026-08-24 Mark cut −9.1% $1.1B → $1.0B ✗ Missed
Amperity 2026-08-24 Mark cut −9.1% $1.1B → $1.0B ✗ Missed

Down-round & valuation headlines scraped at publication from Google News, Hacker News, CNBC, Yahoo Finance and the wider tech press.

IPO Runway — Latest Deep Dives

Founder & Investor Take

Benchmark against the front of the tape

Polymarket priced a Strategic round at $1.0B in Fintech. If you are raising in the same lane, that round is the live comp your next term sheet gets measured against.

Fintech is where the capital went

$1.0B of the window's disclosed capital landed in Fintech. Investor attention clusters — pitch where the momentum already is, or explain clearly why you sit outside it.

Watch the markdown ledger

100 tracked names sit on Markdown Watch — Linktree tops the board at 86/100 (High risk). Secondary pricing leads primary pricing — stale marks eventually clear, in one direction or the other.

Outlook

Tomorrow’s edition re-reads the tape at 6:30am PT. Rounds land unevenly — judge the week, not the day.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Private-market figures come from public reporting and the QuantLogix private-company dataset; amounts and valuations are as-reported, not audited. Markets carry risk of loss.