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◆QUANTLOGIX STARTUP DAILY
TUESDAY · 10/27/2026 SILICON VALLEY
Displayed Rounds
1
Past 7 days
Disclosed Capital
$16B
Past 7 days
Tracked Startups
2,699
QL private book
Mega-Round Board
8
$100M+ recent
Markdown Watch
100
names flagged

◆ DeepSeek Series A ($16B) leads the startup tape

A single disclosed round carries the week: DeepSeek, recorded as a $16B Series A led by China's Big Fund (National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund), dated 2026-10-23, Technology sector. Everything else on the tracked tape is quiet — zero rounds the prior week, so week-over-week capital change is not meaningful (division from a zero base). Treat the $16B as the recorded total round size; the Big Fund's individual check is not broken out. Caveat: 2,573 of 2,699 tracked companies are unscored and coverage covers tracked disclosed rounds only, not the whole private market. One weekly valuation is missing from an otherwise complete disclosed set.

◆ Daily Startup News

Early-stage funding stayed small but active: EchoTwin raised $5M seed for AI vehicle inspection; CopperPilot took $390K pre-seed from Neon Fund; Stryv raised an $11.5M Series B; Australia's MP Space raised $16M for spacecraft power systems; Finnish defence-tech Arctic RAVN secured €2.5M in loan commitments pre-launch. Zupee shut its microdrama platform Zupee Studio and NeoAstro amid an AI pivot — a consolidation data point. Egypt's Raya Holding launched a venture arm and backed UK AI startup Pidima. India's DPIPI T (per Economic Times) is advancing trust-based regulatory easing for business.

◆ Valuations & Secondary Transactions

Markdown pressure is the story. Baillie Gifford cut Dailyhunt parent VerSe Innovation nearly 90% to $576M — the sharpest single-fund markdown in today's evidence. Bloomberg reports SoftBank-backed Oravel facing a lower valuation in its India IPO. On our Markdown Watch board: Linktree and Replit both score 86/100 (High risk; +694% and +243% vs public comps respectively), Xendit 80/100 (+1752%). Recent mark cuts: Flock Safety -10.7%, Agility Robotics -26.5%, Kr Space -73.8%. 100 names on watch of 126 scored. Meanwhile Anthropic coverage spans founder-control share structure, reported IPO terms (Amazon 12% cap, Google $10B option) and WSJ scrutiny of its 'adjusted' profit — read the earnings framing skeptically.

No round-specific post-money valuations captured in the last seven days.

Historical round marks are not replaced with today's company valuation. Mark changes compare disclosed post-money levels, not investor returns; dilution and financing terms may differ. Secondary indications, fund marks and enterprise values in linked reporting are separate evidence, not interchangeable round valuations.

◆ Capital by Sector

TechnologyTechnology · $16B disclosed in window$16B

Disclosed round capital in the window. Undisclosed amounts count as zero.

◆ Round Sizes

DeepSeekDeepSeek · Series A · $16B — open the live company page$16B

Disclosed rounds in the window · every bar opens the company's live page.

◆ The Funding Tape — Past 7 days

A single disclosed round carries the week: DeepSeek, recorded as a $16B Series A led by China's Big Fund (National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund), dated 2026-10-23, Technology sector. Everything else on the tracked tape is quiet — zero rounds the prior week, so week-over-week capital change is not meaningful (division from a zero base). Treat the $16B as the recorded total round size; the Big Fund's individual check is not broken out. Caveat: 2,573 of 2,699 tracked companies are unscored and coverage covers tracked disclosed rounds only, not the whole private market. One weekly valuation is missing from an otherwise complete disclosed set.

DateCompanyRoundAmountReported Post-MoneyLeadSector
2026-10-23 DeepSeek Series A $16B — China's Big Fund (National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund) Technology

◆ Stage Mix — Deals & Capital by Stage

Where the window's activity sits on the funding ladder: deal count (solid) against disclosed capital (faded) per stage, with the companies behind each cluster. Stages come from the reported round labels; undisclosed amounts count as zero capital.

Series A: 1
Series A · 1 deal · $16B
Series ASeries A: 1 deal1 dealSeries A: $16B$16B
Series A
1 deal · $16B disclosed · 100% of window capital

◆ VC Activity & Lead Investors

Fundraising and pipeline dominate VC evidence. Madica secured $6M to back up to 30 African startups (Wamda). Canada launched a C$1.75B venture programme with incentives designed to draw pension-fund capital into VC (AltAssets). In India, Peak XV, Lightspeed, Activate and General Catalyst are reportedly in talks on roughly half a dozen AI startups — talks, not signed rounds. Starlink Capital reports an oversubscribed RMB fund plus a first close on a USD vehicle for its 'Researcher Fund'. Counterpoint worth noting: The Daily Star questions whether capital is reaching the right places in Bangladesh's ecosystem. All items are last-24h or dated within the window.

Lead InvestorDisplayed DealsAssociated Round Sizes
China's Big Fund (National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund)1$16B

Total sizes of associated rounds, not the lead investor's check sizes. Investor types are not inferred from their names.

◆ Private Equity & Growth Buyouts

Advent raised $30B across its flagship and a new mid-market programme — Bloomberg calls the flagship (~$27B) the top PE pool of 2026, defying the broader slowdown. That is fund size, not deployed startup capital. Governance items: BlackBerry appointed David Chaikof to its board (citybiz, last 24h). Edison Partners made Inc.'s Founder-Friendly Investors list for a sixth year. Qwello raised up to €55M for European EV charging growth — 'up to', so treat the ceiling as a target. Aries Media Ventures launched an Africa media-tech fund. All items are last-24h published.

◆ Investment Funds & Capital Formation

Allocation momentum continues: Alternative Credit Investor reports institutional investors 'leaning into' private markets as allocations rise. A Canadian pension fund took a minority interest in Australia's La Trobe Financial — cross-border LP-to-credit-manager capital. Truelink's Johnson Controls intrusion-products carve-out signals continued corporate divestiture supply. Advent's $30B close is the marquee raise. Caveat applied throughout: none of these fund totals equals startup investment; deployment timing and check sizes are unreported in this evidence set.

◆ M&A & Exits

The week's clearest M&A thread is Intel's agreement to acquire Israeli quantum-software startup Classiq for a reported ~$2.3B (Bloomberg, Dealroom, Haaretz). Wording across sources is 'to acquire' — treat as announced, not closed, and the $2.3B as a reported figure. Complementary detail from CTech: Intel frames itself as a future full-stack quantum player. Separately in PE-adjacent deal flow, Truelink Capital agreed a carve-out of Johnson Controls' global intrusion products business, and Sidley advised Bolt Biotherapeutics on acquiring Prana Therapies alongside a concurrent $120M private placement.

◆ Off-Book Wire

Funding headlines from outside the tracked book — sourced links, not QL data.

◆ Mega-Round Board

The largest recent private rounds ($100M+) across the tracked book — 2376 ranked. Full board: quantlogix.ai/mega-rounds.

OpenAIOpenAI · $122B · Late-stage primary122000WaymoWaymo · $16B · 2026 mega-round16000Scale AIScale AI · $14B · Series F + Meta investment14300PrometheusPrometheus · $12B · Funding12000SwitchSwitch · $11B · Buyout/LBO11000SmartsheetSmartsheet · $8.4B · Take-private buyout8400

🎯 QL Score Movers

Biggest overnight changes in the graded company score — scores only move when disclosed data moves, and every repricing grades the score that was standing.

CompanyScoreΔ
DeepSeek 71 → 74 +3

◆ Private Markets Weekday Digest · 10/26/2026

Display-only private-markets tape from the tracked roster — formations, priced fundraises, valuation marks, and U.S. VC lead activity. No inferred amounts; empty sections stay empty.

Window: 2026-10-26 · sources: private-companies.json, investors.json

New company formations

No rows in the report window.

Fund raises

No rows in the report window.

Valuation marks

No rows in the report window.

Top U.S. VC activity

No rows in the report window.

No in-tree private-market events matched the report window; amounts and valuations were not inferred.

◆ Private Market Desk — Evening Edition · 10/26/2026

The Silicon Valley Private Market Daily — the 8pm PT desk close: qualified raises, roster re-rates and sector velocity from the QL private-market pipeline.

💰 Notable Raises

  • Matiks — $10M Pre-Series A led by General Catalyst (+ Ronnie Screwvala, InfoEdge Ventures, Tanglin Venture Partners, Untitled Ventures). Math and puzzle gaming platform Matiks is expanding its AI-enabled game creation platform with new capital led by General Catalyst.

🔍 Reported, not yet verified

  • Nevis — reported $70M Series B; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • Former Plaud exec — reported $26M Funding; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • Bedrock Robotics — reported $600M Series C; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.

📊 Valuation re-rates (roster marks that moved)

  • Reliable Robotics — $530.5M (2021-Q4) → $1B (+89%) on Series D (extension) led by Nimble Partners.
  • TypeSafe AI — $200M (2026-Q3) → $7.5B (+3650%) on Series A led by Andreessen Horowitz.
  • Homeward — $836.5M (2021-Q2) → $800M (-4%) on Series D led by Saluda Grade.
  • General Intuition — $6B (2026-Q3) → $6.2B (+3%) on Venture led by Valor Equity Partners.
  • Rightway — $1.1B (2021-Q1) → $1.8B (+59%) on Series E led by Francisco Partners.
  • OpenEvidence — $12B (2026-Q1) → $15B (+25%) on Unlabeled (reported).
  • Brahma AI — $1.4B (2025-Q1) → $2B (+40%) on Preferred equity round (unlabeled) led by Multiples Alternate Asset Management.
  • Impulse Space — $4.3B (2026-Q2) → $5.6B (+31%) on Series D extension.
  • Factory — $1.5B (2026-Q2) → $5B (+233%) on Growth round (series undisclosed).
  • Profound — $1B (2026-Q1) → $1.8B (+80%) on Series D led by Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led).
  • Temporal — $5B (2026-Q1) → $12.6B (+151%) on Series E led by Lightspeed.
  • The Boring Company — $5.7B (2022-Q2) → $23B (+305%) on Series D led by United Arab Emirates and affiliated investment entities.
  • Harvey — $11B (2026-Q1) → $15.5B (+41%) on Later Stage VC led by Diffusion / Lightspeed Venture Partners (co-led).
  • Cognition — $26B (2026-Q2) → $48B (+85%) on Later Stage VC led by Andreessen Horowitz / Accel / Founders Fund / General Catalyst / Avenir (co-led).
  • Upwind — $1.5B (2026-Q1) → $3.8B (+153%) on Series C led by Bessemer Venture Partners, TCV.
  • AfterQuery — $300M (2026-Q2) → $3.2B (+967%) on Growth round (reported).
  • Fluidstack — $7.5B (2026-Q1) → $18B (+140%) on Growth round (series undisclosed) led by Jane Street.
  • Instinct — $500M (2026-Q3) → $2.5B (+400%) on Series B led by Index Ventures / Benchmark (co-led).
  • Etched — $10.3B (2026-Q3) → $21B (+104%) on Series C extension / growth (unlabeled) led by Jane Street.
  • Firmus Technologies — $5.5B (2026-Q1) → $10.5B (+91%) on Growth Equity led by Nvidia & Coatue.
  • Hadrian — $1.6B (2025-Q3) → $7.9B (+392%) on Series D led by JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group.
  • HappyRobot — $500M (2025-Q3) → $1.2B (+140%) on Series C led by Prysm Capital.
  • Owner — $1B (2025-Q2) → $2.3B (+130%) on Series D led by Growth Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives.
  • K2 Space — $3B (2025-Q4) → $6.8B (+127%) on Series D led by Kleiner Perkins / ICONIQ Capital.
  • Anthropic — $965B (2026-Q2) → $1000B (+4%) on Strategic Investment led by AMD.
  • Wonder — $7B (2025-Q2) → $9.7B (+38%) on Series D.

⚡ Mega-round momentum (sector velocity, closed rounds)

  • ↑ AI — $16.2B across 26 rounds / 26 companies (accelerating, 26 vs. 13 prior rounds). Top: Cognition $2B (Later Stage VC).
  • ↑ Energy — $3.7B across 7 rounds / 7 companies (accelerating, 7 vs. 3 prior rounds). Top: Valar Atomics $1B (Series B).
  • → Transportation — $3B across 1 round / 1 company (steady, 1 vs. 1 prior round). Top: The Boring Company $3B (Series D).
  • ✦ Space / Defense — $1.9B across 4 rounds / 4 companies (new, new vs. a quiet prior window). Top: Stoke Space $1B (Series E).
  • ↑ Defense — $1.6B across 4 rounds / 4 companies (accelerating, 4 vs. 2 prior rounds). Top: Castelion $800M (Series C).
  • ↑ Cybersecurity — $1.6B across 6 rounds / 6 companies (accelerating, 6 vs. 5 prior rounds). Top: Cyera $400M (Series G extension).

🚀 New / Stealth Companies

  • No fresh stealth intake surfaced this window.

🏦 Private-Market Fund Watch

  • No new fund registrations, launches, or portfolio changes cleared primary-source verification in this window.

📊 Robinhood Ventures Performance

  • RVI — market snapshot unavailable as of 2026-10-26 (Polygon HTTP 401).
  • RVII — market snapshot unavailable as of 2026-10-26 (Polygon HTTP 401).

🏛️ Institutional Ownership (13F)

  • RVI: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. The quarter-over-quarter read is BEARISH: 0 new, 0 increased, 0 decreased, and 1 exited (2026-06-30 → 2026-09-30). Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.
  • RVII: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.

🧭 Macro read

The private market is heavily concentrated in AI and automation, with significant capital flowing into specialized robotics (Bedrock Robotics) and AI wealth/gaming applications. While IPO activity is heating up (Anthropic), the market remains characterized by uncertainty regarding the sustainability of extreme valuation premiums for AI-native infrastructure and tools.

🗂️ Dataset updated: added 1 company to the QuantLogix private-companies list — Matiks — 2,738 → 2,739. Append-only.

🔗 Sources

  • [TechStartups](https://techstartups.com/2026/10/26/nevis-raises-70m-in-series-b-funding-backed-by-charles-schwab-as-ai-wealth-management-platform-grows-to-700b-in-assets/)
  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/12/former-plaud-exec-raises-26m-for-ai-app-that-listens-to-you-in-the-background/)
  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/26/this-startups-self-driving-excavators-help-dig-up-600m-in-new-funding/)
  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/26/matiks-raises-10m-to-expand-its-math-and-puzzle-gaming-platform/)
  • [RVI market performance](https://polygon.io/)
  • [SEC Form 13F methodology](https://www.sec.gov/divisions/investment/13ffaq.htm)

◆ Markdown Watch

100 tracked names flagged for markdown risk — 126 scored nightly, 2573 left unscored (no comp bridge). Down rounds are recorded in the open ledger — receipts only work in public. Live boards: markdown-watch · down-round-ledger.

Click a column to sort · third click restores rank order
#CompanySectorRisk ScoreBandVs CompsLast MarkLast Round
1 Linktree SaaS 86 High +694% $1.3B 55 mo ago
2 Replit Data / Infra 86 High +243% $9.0B 42 mo ago
3 Xendit Financial Services 80 High +1752% $2.7B 54 mo ago
4 Forter Fintech 80 High +900% $3.0B 66 mo ago
5 Greenlight Fintech 80 High +570% $2.3B 67 mo ago
6 Betterment Fintech 80 High +401% $1.1B 43 mo ago
7 Varo Fintech 80 High +327% $2.5B 62 mo ago
8 Cross River Bank fintech 80 High +196% $3.0B 55 mo ago

Nightly score: comp-bridge premium (45%) · round staleness (30%) · IPO-readiness drag (15%) · funding deceleration (10%). Companies without a computable public-comp bridge stay unscored — never guessed.

84 markdowns detected all-time · 19 flagged beforehand · 65 missed · hit rate 22.6%

CompanyDetectedEventMarkCalled?
Flock Safety 2026-10-26 Mark cut −10.7% $8.4B → $7.5B ✗ Missed
Agility Robotics 2026-10-26 Mark cut −26.5% $3.0B → $2.2B ✗ Missed
Kr Space 2026-10-26 Mark cut −73.8% $6.8B → $1.8B ✗ Missed
Posit 2026-10-26 Mark cut −83.8% $5.0B → $811M ✗ Missed
KuCoin 2026-10-19 Mark cut −50.0% $20B → $10B ✗ Missed
Replicate 2026-10-19 Mark cut −96.1% $9.0B → $350M ✓ Flagged #59 · Elevated
Homeward 2026-10-12 Down round −4.4% $837M → $800M ✗ Missed
Mistral AI 2026-10-12 Mark cut −41.7% $24B → $14B ✓ Flagged #47 · Elevated

Down-round & valuation headlines scraped at publication from Google News, Hacker News, CNBC, Yahoo Finance and the wider tech press.

◆ IPO Runway — Latest Deep Dives

◆ Founder & Investor Take

State capital sets the price floor

The only disclosed round this week is a $16B state-led cheque into DeepSeek. When a national chip fund anchors a mega-round, it compresses comparable pricing logic for private AI/semis deals — expect strategic (not purely financial) terms to ripple into adjacent negotiations.

Markcuts are uneven, not uniform

VerSe down ~90% and Kr Space down ~73.8% sit alongside reported IPO pressure on Oravel. But Advent closing $30B and UK biotech heading for its best year since 2021 show capital is selective, not absent. Founders with hard revenue evidence retain leverage; narrative-only marks are the ones getting cut.

Announced ≠ closed

Intel–Classiq ($2.3B, reported) is worded as an agreement to acquire, and Qwello's €55M is 'up to'. In a thin week, headline numbers travel faster than closing confirmations — diligence your own deal comps against closed facts, not announcement language.

◆ Outlook

A one-round tape makes weekly trend reads unreliable; the $16B DeepSeek print and Advent's $30B close both reflect concentration, not broad reacceleration. Watch for VerSe-style markdowns spreading to unscored names, Intel–Classiq closing mechanics, and whether Indian AI 'talks' convert into signed rounds.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Private-market figures come from public reporting and the QuantLogix private-company dataset; amounts and valuations are as-reported, not audited. Markets carry risk of loss.