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QUANTLOGIX STARTUP DAILY
MONDAY · 08/17/2026 SILICON VALLEY
Priced Rounds
12
Freshest dated rounds
Disclosed Capital
$5.0B
Freshest dated rounds
Tracked Startups
2,150
QL private book
Mega-Round Board
8
$100M+ recent
Markdown Watch
100
names flagged

Firmus Technologies Growth Equity ($2.0B) leads the startup tape

The tape shows 12 priced rounds across the most recent dated rounds, $5.0B in disclosed capital. Front of the tape: Cambridge Aerospace (Series C, $300M, led by DFJ Growth); Edgify (Series A, $9M, led by Rank Ventures and Mangrove Capital Partners); Visoid (Funding round, $3M, led by Skyfall Ventures). AI absorbed the most capital.

Capital by Sector

AIAI · $2.7B disclosed in window$2.7BDefense / IndustrialsDefense / Industrials · $1.4B disclosed in window$1.4BComputers, Parts and PeripheralsComputers, Parts and Peripherals · $400M disclosed in window$400MDefenseDefense · $300M disclosed in window$300MBusiness/Productivity SoftwareBusiness/Productivity Software · $150M disclosed in window$150MSoftwareSoftware · $57M disclosed in window$57M

Disclosed round capital in the window. Undisclosed amounts count as zero.

The Funding Tape — Freshest dated rounds

The tape shows 12 priced rounds across the most recent dated rounds, $5.0B in disclosed capital. Front of the tape: Cambridge Aerospace (Series C, $300M, led by DFJ Growth); Edgify (Series A, $9M, led by Rank Ventures and Mangrove Capital Partners); Visoid (Funding round, $3M, led by Skyfall Ventures). AI absorbed the most capital.

DateCompanyRoundAmountValuationLeadSector
2026-08-10 Cambridge Aerospace Series C $300M $3.4B DFJ Growth Defense
2026-08-10 Edgify Series A $9M Rank Ventures and Mangrove Capital Partners Artificial Intelligence
2026-08-10 Visoid Funding round $3M Skyfall Ventures Artificial Intelligence
2026-08-09 SiteVue AI Seed $8M Penny Jar Capital & Overture AI
2026-08-08 SOURCE Series D $400M $1.1B Situational Awareness Computers, Parts and Peripherals
2026-08-07 Firmus Technologies Growth Equity $2.0B $11B Nvidia & Coatue AI
2026-08-07 Lumilens Series C $700M $5.5B Atreides Management, Bain Capital Ventures, Meritech, Seligman Ventures & Spark Capital AI
2026-08-06 Hadrian Series D $1.4B $7.9B JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group (anchor) Defense / Industrials
2026-08-04 Convex Series B $57M Insight Partners Software
2026-08-04 HappyRobot Series C $150M $1.2B Prysm Capital Business/Productivity Software
2026-08-04 QuantHealth Series B $45M Qumra Capital Healthcare
2026-08-04 Exclaim Robotics Pre-Seed $5M Founderful & Playfair Capital Robotics

Stage Mix — Deals & Capital by Stage

Where the window's activity sits on the funding ladder: deal count (solid) against disclosed capital (faded) per stage, with the companies behind each cluster. Stages come from the reported round labels; undisclosed amounts count as zero capital.

Seed: 2Series A: 1Series B: 2Series C–D: 5Late / Growth: 1Other: 1
Seed · 2 deals · $12MSeries A · 1 deal · $9MSeries B · 2 deals · $102MSeries C–D · 5 deals · $2.9BLate / Growth · 1 deal · $2.0BOther · 1 deal · $3M
SeedSeed: 2 deals2 dealsSeed: $12M$12MSeries ASeries A: 1 deal1 dealSeries A: $9M$9MSeries BSeries B: 2 deals2 dealsSeries B: $102M$102MSeries C–DSeries C–D: 5 deals5 dealsSeries C–D: $2.9B$2.9BLate / GrowthLate / Growth: 1 deal1 dealLate / Growth: $2.0B$2.0BOtherOther: 1 deal1 dealOther: $3M$3M
Seed
2 deals · $12M disclosed · 0% of window capital
Series A
1 deal · $9M disclosed · 0% of window capital
Series B
2 deals · $102M disclosed · 2% of window capital
Series C–D
5 deals · $2.9B disclosed · 58% of window capital
Late / Growth
1 deal · $2.0B disclosed · 40% of window capital
Other
1 deal · $3M disclosed · 0% of window capital

VC Activity

Most active leads in the window: Sequoia Capital (2 deals), Situational Awareness (2 deals), Nvidia & Coatue (1 deal).

Lead InvestorDealsDisclosed Capital
Sequoia Capital2$2.0B
Situational Awareness2$800M
Nvidia & Coatue1$2.0B
JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group (anchor)1$1.4B
Ribbit Capital1$1.0B
Atreides Management, Bain Capital Ventures, Meritech, Seligman Ventures & Spark Capital1$700M
DFJ Growth1$300M
Sequoia Capital; American Strategic Technology Fund (co-leads)1$250M

M&A & Exits

6 acquisition headlines crossed the wire — sourced links below.

Off-Book Wire

Funding headlines from outside the tracked book — sourced links, not QL data.

Mega-Round Board

The largest recent private rounds ($100M+) across the tracked book — 1902 ranked. Full board: quantlogix.ai/mega-rounds.

OpenAIOpenAI · $122B · Late-stage primary122000WaymoWaymo · $16B · 2026 mega-round16000Scale AIScale AI · $14B · Series F + Meta investment14300PrometheusPrometheus · $12B · Funding12000SwitchSwitch · $11B · Buyout/LBO11000Blue OriginBlue Origin · $10B · Private (Bezos-funded)10000

Private Market Desk — Evening Edition · 08/16/2026

The Silicon Valley Private Market Daily — the 8pm PT desk close: qualified raises, roster re-rates and sector velocity from the QL private-market pipeline.

💰 Notable Raises

  • Queue$12.6M Seed. World's first fully autonomous robotic pharmacy Queue emerged from stealth with $12.6 million to commercialize autonomous robotic pharmacy systems.
  • METR$71M. METR raised $71 million to advance research into autonomous AI capabilities and recursive self-improvement monitoring.

🔍 Reported, not yet verified

  • Indian EV startup River — reported $120M Series C; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • Naïve — reported $28.5M Series A; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • Thrive Holdings — reported $2B; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • River — reported $120M Series C; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.
  • Jedify — reported $24M; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.

📈 Valuation Watch (in-progress, not yet closed)

  • Databricks — raising ~$5B. Databricks secured a massive $5 billion raise at a $190 billion valuation, supported by a revenue run rate exceeding $7 billion. _(in talks / not closed)_
  • Tenstorrent — raising ~$800M. Tenstorrent is in advanced funding talks for an $800 million round, underscoring high demand for alternative AI chip architectures. _(in talks / not closed)_
  • Starcloud — raising ~$200M. Two-year-old Starcloud is in talks to raise at least $200 million at a $2.2 billion valuation, highlighting interest in orbital infrastructure. _(in talks / not closed)_
  • Base Power —. Home battery startup Base Power is in talks for funding at a $12 billion valuation. _(in talks / not closed)_
  • Physical Intelligence —. Robotics startup Physical Intelligence is in funding talks targeting a $5 billion valuation. _(in talks / not closed)_

📊 Valuation re-rates (roster marks that moved)

  • Firmus Technologies — $5.5B (2026-Q1) → $10.5B (+91%) on Growth Equity led by Nvidia & Coatue.
  • Hadrian — $1.6B (2025-Q3) → $7.9B (+392%) on Series D led by JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group.
  • HappyRobot — $500M (2025-Q3) → $1.2B (+140%) on Series C led by Prysm Capital.
  • K2 Space — $3B (2025-Q4) → $6.8B (+127%) on Series D led by Kleiner Perkins / ICONIQ Capital.
  • Anthropic — $965B (2026-Q2) → $1000B (+4%) on Strategic Investment led by AMD.
  • Baseten — $5B (2026-Q1) → $13B (+160%) on Series F led by Altimeter Capital, Conviction, Spark Capital.
  • Prometheus — $38B (2026-Q2) → $41B (+8%) on Funding led by Jeff Bezos.
  • Anduril Industries — $30.5B (2025-Q2) → $61B (+100%) on Series H led by Thrive Capital & Andreessen Horowitz.
  • Vapi — $130M (2024-Q4) → $500M (+285%) on Series B led by Peak XV Partners.

⚡ Mega-round momentum (sector velocity, closed rounds)

  • AI — $76.1B across 12 rounds / 11 companies (accelerating, 12 vs. 1 prior round). Top: Anthropic $65B (Series H).
  • Artificial Intelligence — $12.4B across 3 rounds / 3 companies (accelerating, 3 vs. 1 prior round). Top: Prometheus $12B (Funding).
  • Energy — $2.6B across 4 rounds / 4 companies (accelerating, 4 vs. 1 prior round). Top: Valar Atomics $1B (Series B).
  • Defense — $2.4B across 3 rounds / 3 companies (accelerating, 3 vs. 1 prior round). Top: Helsing $1.8B (Late Stage).
  • Robotics — $1.4B across 1 round / 1 company (new, new vs. a quiet prior window). Top: NEURA Robotics $1.4B (Series C).
  • Defense / Industrials — $1.4B across 1 round / 1 company (new, new vs. a quiet prior window). Top: Hadrian $1.4B (Series D).

🚀 New / Stealth Companies

  • No fresh stealth intake surfaced this window.

🧭 Macro read

The private market is currently defined by an extreme concentration of capital into AI infrastructure and hardware, evidenced by multi-billion dollar raises (Databricks, Thrive Holdings, Tenstorrent) and high valuation targets for robotics (Physical Intelligence) and energy (Base Power). There is significant market uncertainty regarding the sustainability of these mega-valuations, with massive capital commitments occurring against a backdrop of executive departures at key firms and a surge of thousands of daily startup registrations.

🗂️ Dataset updated: added 1 company to the QuantLogix private-companies list — Queue — 2,131 → 2,132. Append-only.

🔗 Sources

  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/08/05/indian-ev-two-wheeler-startup-river-raises-120m-after-scaling-with-one-model/)
  • [TechStartups](https://techstartups.com/)
  • [TechStartups](https://techstartups.com/2025/11/18/ai-chip-startup-tenstorrent-in-talks-to-raise-800m-in-funding-at-a-3-2b-valuation-led-by-fidelity/)
  • [TechStartups](https://techstartups.com/2026/06/30/queue-emerges-from-stealth-with-12-6m-in-funding-to-launch-the-worlds-first-fully-autonomous-robotic-pharmacy/)
  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/08/06/naive-raises-28-5m-to-automate-the-grunt-work-of-setting-up-and-running-a-company/)
  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/08/12/openai-backed-thrive-holdings-raises-2b-to-bring-ai-to-the-enterprise/)
  • [StartupHub.ai](https://www.startuphub.ai/startups/jedify)
  • [The Information](https://www.theinformation.com/articles/starcloud-talks-2-2-billion-valuation-spacex-stirs-interest)
  • [The Information](https://www.theinformation.com/articles/base-power-talks-raise-funds-12-billion-valuation)
  • [The Information](https://www.theinformation.com/articles/robotics-startup-physical-intelligence-talks-raise-5-billion-valuation)
  • [X deal-flow watch](https://x.com/pstAsiatech)

Markdown Watch

100 tracked names flagged for markdown risk — 121 scored nightly, 2011 left unscored (no comp bridge). Down rounds are recorded in the open ledger — receipts only work in public. Live boards: markdown-watch · down-round-ledger.

Click a column to sort · third click restores rank order
#CompanySectorRisk ScoreBandVs CompsLast MarkLast Round
1 Linktree SaaS 86 High +534% $1.3B 53 mo ago
2 Xendit Financial Services 80 High +1647% $2.7B 51 mo ago
3 Forter Fintech 80 High +843% $3.0B 63 mo ago
4 Greenlight Fintech 80 High +532% $2.3B 65 mo ago
5 Betterment Fintech 80 High +373% $1.1B 41 mo ago
6 BetterUp SaaS 80 High +299% $4.7B 58 mo ago
7 Cross River Bank fintech 80 High +180% $3.0B 53 mo ago
8 Discord Consumer 75 High +531% $15B 59 mo ago

Nightly score: comp-bridge premium (45%) · round staleness (30%) · IPO-readiness drag (15%) · funding deceleration (10%). Companies without a computable public-comp bridge stay unscored — never guessed.

16 markdowns detected all-time · 4 flagged beforehand · 12 missed · hit rate 25%

CompanyDetectedEventMarkCalled?
Wonder 2026-08-17 Mark cut −16.2% $9.0B → $7.5B ✗ Missed
Asimov 2026-08-17 Mark cut −18.7% $1.2B → $1.0B ✗ Missed
Harvey 2026-08-17 Mark cut −29.0% $16B → $11B ✗ Missed
Column 2026-08-17 Mark cut −41.7% $10B → $6.0B ✓ Flagged #41 · Elevated
Plaid 2026-08-10 Mark cut −23.8% $8.0B → $6.1B ✓ Flagged #26 · Elevated
Clay 2026-08-10 Mark cut −38.0% $5.0B → $3.1B ✗ Missed
Blockchain.com 2026-08-10 Mark cut −50.0% $14B → $7.0B ✗ Missed
Quantum Systems 2026-08-10 Mark cut −59.3% $8.0B → $3.3B ✓ Flagged #30 · Elevated

Down-round & valuation headlines scraped at publication from Google News, Hacker News, CNBC, Yahoo Finance and the wider tech press.

IPO Runway — Latest Deep Dives

Founder & Investor Take

Benchmark against the front of the tape

Firmus Technologies priced a Growth Equity at $2.0B in AI. If you are raising in the same lane, that round is the live comp your next term sheet gets measured against.

AI is where the capital went

$2.7B of the window's disclosed capital landed in AI. Investor attention clusters — pitch where the momentum already is, or explain clearly why you sit outside it.

Watch the markdown ledger

100 tracked names sit on Markdown Watch — Linktree tops the board at 86/100 (High risk). Secondary pricing leads primary pricing — stale marks eventually clear, in one direction or the other.

Outlook

Tomorrow’s edition re-reads the tape at 6:30am PT. Rounds land unevenly — judge the week, not the day.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Private-market figures come from public reporting and the QuantLogix private-company dataset; amounts and valuations are as-reported, not audited. Markets carry risk of loss.