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◆QUANTLOGIX STARTUP DAILY
THURSDAY · 10/29/2026 SILICON VALLEY
Displayed Rounds
1
Past 7 days
Disclosed Capital
$16B
Past 7 days
Tracked Startups
2,699
QL private book
Mega-Round Board
8
$100M+ recent
Markdown Watch
100
names flagged

◆ DeepSeek Series A ($16B) leads the startup tape

Tracked disclosed funding was thin this window: one round, $16B — DeepSeek's Series A, reported as led by China's Big Fund (National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund), Technology sector. Two caveats: a fund lead does not mean the state vehicle wrote the entire $16B check, and a 'Series A' label at this size is unusual enough to warrant source verification before banking on the number. The previous week showed zero disclosed tracked rounds, so week-over-week change is not calculable (null). Coverage: 2,453 eligible rounds in the book, one missing weekly valuation. Trend totals cover tracked companies only, not the whole market.

◆ Daily Startup News

Reported funding not in the tracked tape: Upwind raised $400M at a $3.8B valuation; Bedrock Robotics pulled in $600M; an AI construction startup crossed a $4B valuation (buyer unnamed in headline); Cognition is reportedly eyeing new funding at an $80B valuation — eyeing is not closed, so exclude from any totals. Braid, a profitable Dutch connectivity startup, raised €34.13M. Elsewhere: Capital Factory formed partnerships with ARK Invest and Tim Draper for a hard-tech push, and PhysicsWallah partnered with Startup India on incubation beyond major cities. Both are partnerships, not investments.

◆ Valuations & Secondary Transactions

Marks are moving in both directions. FuriosaAI quadrupled to $2.9B on new funding as it competes against Nvidia — a fresh round mark, not a realized return. North Carolina's $250M Anthropic stake is now marked at $560M — a 2.2x paper gain on a private holding whose mark depends on the fund's own assumptions. Against that: Firstpost revisits OpenAI cutting $150B from its valuation target, and Finimize flags pricing problems in AI private credit. The markdown watch board (Linktree 86/100, Replit 86/100, Kajabi 81/100, all High vs public comps) covers 126 scored names; 2,573 remain unscored.

No round-specific post-money valuations captured in the last seven days.

Historical round marks are not replaced with today's company valuation. Mark changes compare disclosed post-money levels, not investor returns; dilution and financing terms may differ. Secondary indications, fund marks and enterprise values in linked reporting are separate evidence, not interchangeable round valuations.

◆ Capital by Sector

TechnologyTechnology · $16B disclosed in window$16B

Disclosed round capital in the window. Undisclosed amounts count as zero.

◆ Round Sizes

DeepSeekDeepSeek · Series A · $16B — open the live company page$16B

Disclosed rounds in the window · every bar opens the company's live page.

◆ The Funding Tape — Past 7 days

Tracked disclosed funding was thin this window: one round, $16B — DeepSeek's Series A, reported as led by China's Big Fund (National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund), Technology sector. Two caveats: a fund lead does not mean the state vehicle wrote the entire $16B check, and a 'Series A' label at this size is unusual enough to warrant source verification before banking on the number. The previous week showed zero disclosed tracked rounds, so week-over-week change is not calculable (null). Coverage: 2,453 eligible rounds in the book, one missing weekly valuation. Trend totals cover tracked companies only, not the whole market.

DateCompanyRoundAmountReported Post-MoneyLeadSector
2026-10-23 DeepSeek Series A $16B — China's Big Fund (National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund) Technology

◆ Stage Mix — Deals & Capital by Stage

Where the window's activity sits on the funding ladder: deal count (solid) against disclosed capital (faded) per stage, with the companies behind each cluster. Stages come from the reported round labels; undisclosed amounts count as zero capital.

Series A: 1
Series A · 1 deal · $16B
Series ASeries A: 1 deal1 dealSeries A: $16B$16B
Series A
1 deal · $16B disclosed · 100% of window capital

◆ VC Activity & Lead Investors

Fund activity dominated the VC feed over deal flow: BY Venture Partners closed a $60M Fund III for early-stage AI (MENA-focused per Wamda), and Auriga Partners announced an €80M interim close on its second cybersecurity fund — interim means not final. Nvidia participated in Simplismart's $14M round, another strategic-corporate entry into India's AI stack. Counterweight: Businesskorea reports South Korea's claimed 10-trillion-won startup investment figure turned out partly 'illusion' — a caution on headline aggregates everywhere. Vietnam commentary on what long-term VC requires remains undated context, not a deal.

Lead InvestorDisplayed DealsAssociated Round Sizes
China's Big Fund (National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund)1$16B

Total sizes of associated rounds, not the lead investor's check sizes. Investor types are not inferred from their names.

◆ Private Equity & Growth Buyouts

Mid-market software and healthcare led: Polaris Growth Fund backed commercial-real-estate software firm ID Plans, and InTandem Capital Partners completed a growth investment in Atlas Health — 'completed' signals closed, unlike most announced rounds. H.I.G. CEO Brian Schwartz pitched operational value creation as the return driver; standard messaging, but note it's appearing as AI-debt and valuation questions rise. Navatar launched Claude-powered recommendations inside its PE/M&A CRM on Salesforce — vendor news, not a deal. India PE commentary on AI promise remains thematic. Beacon's Ganaz acquisition also appears here via Dealroom.

◆ Investment Funds & Capital Formation

Fundraising continues at the smaller end: HC Partners hit a €100M hard-cap close on its third fund (hard-cap means the ceiling, not necessarily the target); Endeavour is seeking $950M for a Western-US-focused fund — seeking, not closed; Tanmiya Capital raised $130M for its second Egypt-focused fund. Structural threads: 401(k) private-asset interest is rising per InvestmentNews, RIAs see struggling established LPs as an opportunity, and Mubadala shelved its Brazil port exit while UAE players look to Canada and the UK. Watch item: Bloomberg's 'AI Debt Deluge Gives Credit Market Indigestion' — the financing layer under the AI buildout is getting scrutinized.

◆ M&A & Exits

M&A stayed in tuck-in territory: Freshworks acquired AI startup Robusta for its IT operations platform (terms undisclosed); Chapter acquired Hively toward a one-stop retirement offering; Toronto's Beacon acquired Seattle farmworker-payroll startup Ganaz, with CEO Hannah Freeman departing. The largest: Ferring's acquisition of fertility biotech Gameto, worth up to $1.38B including milestones — 'up to' language means earnouts, not cash at close — flagged by TA Ventures as its 20th unicorn. CXOToday reports Indian AI and data startups drawing US/European acquirer interest; treat as deal-flow commentary, not a transaction.

◆ Off-Book Wire

Funding headlines from outside the tracked book — sourced links, not QL data.

◆ Mega-Round Board

The largest recent private rounds ($100M+) across the tracked book — 2376 ranked. Full board: quantlogix.ai/mega-rounds.

OpenAIOpenAI · $122B · Late-stage primary122000WaymoWaymo · $16B · 2026 mega-round16000Scale AIScale AI · $14B · Series F + Meta investment14300PrometheusPrometheus · $12B · Funding12000SwitchSwitch · $11B · Buyout/LBO11000SmartsheetSmartsheet · $8.4B · Take-private buyout8400

◆ Private Markets Weekday Digest · 10/28/2026

Display-only private-markets tape from the tracked roster — formations, priced fundraises, valuation marks, and U.S. VC lead activity. No inferred amounts; empty sections stay empty.

Window: 2026-10-28 · sources: private-companies.json, investors.json

New company formations

No rows in the report window.

Fund raises

No rows in the report window.

Valuation marks

No rows in the report window.

Top U.S. VC activity

No rows in the report window.

No in-tree private-market events matched the report window; amounts and valuations were not inferred.

◆ Private Market Desk — Evening Edition · 10/28/2026

The Silicon Valley Private Market Daily — the 8pm PT desk close: qualified raises, roster re-rates and sector velocity from the QL private-market pipeline.

💰 Notable Raises

  • Foundry Robotics — $100M Funding. Autonomous robotics for manufacturing Foundry Robotics secured $100M to expand its Emeryville manufacturing headquarters, highlighting continued capital concentration in Bay Area hardware startups. (Emeryville, CA)
  • Infisical — $40M Series B at a $600M valuation led by Peak XV (+ Tola Capital, South Park Commons, INCE Capital, Alumni Ventures). Cybersecurity platform Infisical raised $40M at a $600M valuation, underscoring ongoing venture demand for infrastructure security software. (San Francisco)
  • Cancore — $7.2M Seed. Tokenized asset infrastructure Cancore raised $7.2M to bridge tokenized assets with public blockchain liquidity, reflecting growing integration between TradFi and decentralized rails.

🔍 Reported, not yet verified

  • Upwind — reported $400M Series C; details did not clear cross-source verification — held for manual review, excluded from the dataset.

📊 Valuation re-rates (roster marks that moved)

  • Reliable Robotics — $530.5M (2021-Q4) → $1B (+89%) on Series D (extension) led by Nimble Partners.
  • TypeSafe AI — $200M (2026-Q3) → $7.5B (+3650%) on Series A led by Andreessen Horowitz.
  • Homeward — $836.5M (2021-Q2) → $800M (-4%) on Series D led by Saluda Grade.
  • General Intuition — $6B (2026-Q3) → $6.2B (+3%) on Venture led by Valor Equity Partners.
  • Rightway — $1.1B (2021-Q1) → $1.8B (+59%) on Series E led by Francisco Partners.
  • OpenEvidence — $12B (2026-Q1) → $15B (+25%) on Unlabeled (reported).
  • Brahma AI — $1.4B (2025-Q1) → $2B (+40%) on Preferred equity round (unlabeled) led by Multiples Alternate Asset Management.
  • Impulse Space — $4.3B (2026-Q2) → $5.6B (+31%) on Series D extension.
  • Factory — $1.5B (2026-Q2) → $5B (+233%) on Growth round (series undisclosed).
  • Profound — $1B (2026-Q1) → $1.8B (+80%) on Series D led by Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led).
  • Temporal — $5B (2026-Q1) → $12.6B (+151%) on Series E led by Lightspeed.
  • The Boring Company — $5.7B (2022-Q2) → $23B (+305%) on Series D led by United Arab Emirates and affiliated investment entities.
  • Harvey — $11B (2026-Q1) → $15.5B (+41%) on Later Stage VC led by Diffusion / Lightspeed Venture Partners (co-led).
  • Cognition — $26B (2026-Q2) → $48B (+85%) on Later Stage VC led by Andreessen Horowitz / Accel / Founders Fund / General Catalyst / Avenir (co-led).
  • AfterQuery — $300M (2026-Q2) → $3.2B (+967%) on Growth round (reported).
  • Fluidstack — $7.5B (2026-Q1) → $18B (+140%) on Growth round (series undisclosed) led by Jane Street.
  • Instinct — $500M (2026-Q3) → $2.5B (+400%) on Series B led by Index Ventures / Benchmark (co-led).
  • Etched — $10.3B (2026-Q3) → $21B (+104%) on Series C extension / growth (unlabeled) led by Jane Street.
  • Firmus Technologies — $5.5B (2026-Q1) → $10.5B (+91%) on Growth Equity led by Nvidia & Coatue.
  • Hadrian — $1.6B (2025-Q3) → $7.9B (+392%) on Series D led by JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group.
  • HappyRobot — $500M (2025-Q3) → $1.2B (+140%) on Series C led by Prysm Capital.
  • Owner — $1B (2025-Q2) → $2.3B (+130%) on Series D led by Growth Equity at Goldman Sachs Alternatives.
  • K2 Space — $3B (2025-Q4) → $6.8B (+127%) on Series D led by Kleiner Perkins / ICONIQ Capital.
  • Anthropic — $965B (2026-Q2) → $1000B (+4%) on Strategic Investment led by AMD.
  • Wonder — $7B (2025-Q2) → $9.7B (+38%) on Series D.

⚡ Mega-round momentum (sector velocity, closed rounds)

  • ↑ AI — $16.2B across 26 rounds / 26 companies (accelerating, 26 vs. 13 prior rounds). Top: Cognition $2B (Later Stage VC).
  • ↑ Energy — $3.7B across 7 rounds / 7 companies (accelerating, 7 vs. 3 prior rounds). Top: Valar Atomics $1B (Series B).
  • → Transportation — $3B across 1 round / 1 company (steady, 1 vs. 1 prior round). Top: The Boring Company $3B (Series D).
  • ✦ Space / Defense — $1.9B across 4 rounds / 4 companies (new, new vs. a quiet prior window). Top: Stoke Space $1B (Series E).
  • ↑ Defense — $1.6B across 4 rounds / 4 companies (accelerating, 4 vs. 2 prior rounds). Top: Castelion $800M (Series C).
  • ↑ Cybersecurity — $1.6B across 6 rounds / 6 companies (accelerating, 6 vs. 5 prior rounds). Top: Cyera $400M (Series G extension).

🚀 New / Stealth Companies

  • No fresh stealth intake surfaced this window.

🏦 Private-Market Fund Watch

  • No new fund registrations, launches, or portfolio changes cleared primary-source verification in this window.

📊 Robinhood Ventures Performance

  • RVI — market snapshot unavailable as of 2026-10-28 (Polygon HTTP 401).
  • RVII — market snapshot unavailable as of 2026-10-28 (Polygon HTTP 401).

🏛️ Institutional Ownership (13F)

  • RVI: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. The quarter-over-quarter read is BEARISH: 0 new, 0 increased, 0 decreased, and 1 exited (2026-06-30 → 2026-09-30). Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.
  • RVII: no holders currently indexed in the curated top-manager 13F universe. Coverage is filing-based and can lag quarter-end by up to 45 days.

🧭 Macro read

The private market landscape on October 28, 2026, remains bifurcated: high-valuation growth rounds continue for AI and infrastructure security (Upwind, Infisical), while sector-specific activity persists in robotics and blockchain (Foundry Robotics, Cancore). Despite continued innovation, there is clear concentration in AI-adjacent segments and notable uncertainty reflected in the ongoing restructuring and layoffs at larger tech incumbents like eBay and Electronic Arts.

🗂️ Dataset updated: added 1 company to the QuantLogix private-companies list — Cancore — 2,738 → 2,739. Append-only.

🔗 Sources

  • [TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/10/28/upwind-raises-400m-after-walking-away-from-datadog-acquisition-offer/)
  • [SF Business Times](https://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2026/10/28/foundry-robotics-emeryville-funding-headquarters.html)
  • [SF Business Times](https://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2026/10/28/sfbt-digest-wednesday-sfpuc-jacobs-intel-cognition.html)
  • [TechStartups](https://techstartups.com/2026/10/28/cancore-raises-7-2m-in-seed-funding-to-connect-tokenized-assets-to-public-blockchain-liquidity/)
  • [RVI market performance](https://polygon.io/)
  • [SEC Form 13F methodology](https://www.sec.gov/divisions/investment/13ffaq.htm)

◆ Markdown Watch

100 tracked names flagged for markdown risk — 126 scored nightly, 2573 left unscored (no comp bridge). Down rounds are recorded in the open ledger — receipts only work in public. Live boards: markdown-watch · down-round-ledger.

Click a column to sort · third click restores rank order
#CompanySectorRisk ScoreBandVs CompsLast MarkLast Round
1 Linktree SaaS 86 High +710% $1.3B 55 mo ago
2 Replit Data / Infra 86 High +246% $9.0B 42 mo ago
3 Kajabi SaaS 81 High +133% $2.0B 66 mo ago
4 Xendit Financial Services 80 High +1870% $2.7B 54 mo ago
5 Forter Fintech 80 High +964% $3.0B 66 mo ago
6 Greenlight Fintech 80 High +612% $2.3B 67 mo ago
7 Betterment Fintech 80 High +433% $1.1B 43 mo ago
8 Varo Fintech 80 High +260% $2.5B 62 mo ago

Nightly score: comp-bridge premium (45%) · round staleness (30%) · IPO-readiness drag (15%) · funding deceleration (10%). Companies without a computable public-comp bridge stay unscored — never guessed.

84 markdowns detected all-time · 19 flagged beforehand · 65 missed · hit rate 22.6%

CompanyDetectedEventMarkCalled?
Flock Safety 2026-10-26 Mark cut −10.7% $8.4B → $7.5B ✗ Missed
Agility Robotics 2026-10-26 Mark cut −26.5% $3.0B → $2.2B ✗ Missed
Kr Space 2026-10-26 Mark cut −73.8% $6.8B → $1.8B ✗ Missed
Posit 2026-10-26 Mark cut −83.8% $5.0B → $811M ✗ Missed
KuCoin 2026-10-19 Mark cut −50.0% $20B → $10B ✗ Missed
Replicate 2026-10-19 Mark cut −96.1% $9.0B → $350M ✓ Flagged #59 · Elevated
Homeward 2026-10-12 Down round −4.4% $837M → $800M ✗ Missed
Mistral AI 2026-10-12 Mark cut −41.7% $24B → $14B ✓ Flagged #47 · Elevated

Down-round & valuation headlines scraped at publication from Google News, Hacker News, CNBC, Yahoo Finance and the wider tech press.

◆ IPO Runway — Latest Deep Dives

◆ Founder & Investor Take

Don't read the $16B week as market heat

One tracked disclosed round in seven days, and prior week zero, means the tape is statistically noise. A single state-backed mega-round (DeepSeek, led per reports by China's Big Fund) skews every percentage. Benchmark your raise against sector comps, not this window — and note one weekly valuation is missing from coverage, so marks are thinner than they look.

Milestone-rich 'up to' deals are not $1.38B exits

Ferring's Gameto acquisition is worth 'up to' $1.38B — that headline number likely includes earnouts contingent on regulatory and clinical milestones. If you're modeling comparable biotech exits or negotiating your own term sheet, separate upfront cash from contingent consideration. TA Ventures counting it as unicorn #20 is investor marketing; the cash math is what matters.

Paper marks cut both ways — plan for the markdown

The ledger shows Kr Space marked down 73.8%, Agility Robotics 26.5%, Flock Safety 10.7%, and VerSe Innovation reported ~90% below peak. Meanwhile Anthropic LP stakes get marked up 2.2x. If your 409A or next-round anchor assumes last round's mark, stress-test it against the watch board: 100 names are already on markdown watch, and AI-adjacent names like Replit and Linktree score High for compression vs public comps.

◆ Outlook

Thin disclosed tape this week — one $16B state-backed round carries everything. Watch three threads: AI credit-market stress (Bloomberg, Finimize), OpenAI's cut target rippling through secondary marks, and whether reported rounds (Cognition at $80B, Upwind, Bedrock) confirm as closed next week.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Private-market figures come from public reporting and the QuantLogix private-company dataset; amounts and valuations are as-reported, not audited. Markets carry risk of loss.