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QUANTLOGIX DAILY BRIEF
FRIDAY · 09/18/2026 PRE-MARKET
S&P Futures
7,700.75
-0.08%
Nasdaq Futures
29,786.75
+0.15%
10Y Yield
5.01%
+0.20%
Macro Sentiment
56/100
Neutral
Signal Breadth
27%
bearish

Market Pulse

Risk-on session across the board: NASDAQ +1.69% to 26,418 and S&P +1.14% to 7,638 led, with Dow +0.61% and Russell +0.55% trailing. VIX cratered 12.42% to 15.51 — a major vol crush — while Technology (+2.25%) ran the tape and Comm. Svcs (-0.58%) and Financials (-0.09%) were the only sectors in the red. Single-name gainers were dominated by micro-caps: TNMG +84.76% and IMCC +78.94%, while XENE -23.26% and DAIC -18.87% led losers. Futures are softening after-hours — Dow futures -0.32%, Russell -0.38% — suggesting the bid is fading into tomorrow's open.

Index Board — Today's Close

S&P 500S&P 500 · 7,637.76 · +1.14% on the day+1.14%NASDAQ CompositeNASDAQ Composite · 26,418.3 · +1.69% on the day+1.69%Dow Jones IndustrialDow Jones Industrial Average · 51,778.04 · +0.61% on the day+0.61%Russell 2000Russell 2000 · 2,874.63 · +0.55% on the day+0.55%CBOE VolatilityCBOE Volatility Index · 15.51 · -12.42% on the day-12.42%

Change on the day for the major indices. VIX sits in the metric strip above — it reads inversely, so it is kept out of this scale.

Overnight Futures

S&P FuturesS&P Futures · 7,700.75 · -0.08%-0.08%Nasdaq FuturesNasdaq Futures · 29,786.75 · +0.15%+0.15%Dow FuturesDow Futures · 52,054 · -0.32%-0.32%Russell 2000 FuturesRussell 2000 Futures · 2,885.8 · -0.38%-0.38%

Overnight Headlines

COINDESK4m ago
Although the ECB holds no formal licensing authority under MiCA, high-level intervention led Greece to stall an application that regulators had previously deemed complete.
SEEKING ALPHA7m ago
NFLX TSN PRU CRWV

Signal Standouts

QuantLogix universe of 4,794 names shows 26.6% bullish (43 strong buy, 1,230 buy) against 737 bearish (705 sell, 32 strong sell) — a roughly 1.7:1 bull-to-bear ratio with the bulk (2,784) sitting neutral. Breadth is broadening +2pts versus yesterday, meaning participation is expanding beyond narrow leadership, which historically supports risk-on continuation if strong_buy count climbs from the current 43.

27%BULLISH
Strong Buy
43
Buy
1,230
Neutral
2,784
Sell
705
Strong Sell
32
Signal breadth — last 30 sessions27%
2026-08-10low 19% · high 44%2026-09-18

Hover the line (or focus it and use ← →) to read any single session.

Strong Buy standouts: SMTC · TEM · FPS · CAI · BLLN · RUM · PURR · HELP · HIVE · VBNK · CTKB · OABI

Strong Sell standouts: FN · ZG · Z · AN · VSEC · RH · GSHD · RHLD · VRTS · NGNE · BXC · CTEV

See full signals →

Earnings Ahead

Sort by date, EPS growth, or revenue growth.
TickerNext ReportInLast EPS YoYLast Rev YoY
MSFT 2026-10-26 38d +31.8% +17.7%
TSLA 2026-11-16 58d -3.0% +25.5%
AAPL 2026-11-23 65d +28.7% +16.4%
XOM 2026-11-24 67d +112.2% +42.3%
JPM 2026-11-30 72d +46.9% +27.7%
NVDA 2026-12-17 89d +127.8% +105.9%

Sector Setup

Technology
BULLISH
+2.25% leading all sectors, consistent with the breadth-broadening risk-on read.
Cons. Disc.
BULLISH
+1.10% with dividend-growth headlines providing a tailwind for the group.
Utilities
NEUTRAL
+0.90% defensive bid holds despite risk-on tape — a mixed signal worth monitoring.
Financials
BEARISH
-0.09% lagging with 10y at 5.01% and the curve dynamics unclear; only sector red alongside Comm. Svcs.
Comm. Svcs
BEARISH
-0.58% is the day's worst sector; leadership thinning here despite broader market strength.

Economic Snapshot

Fed Funds Rate
3.63%YoY -16.2%
Unemployment Rate
4.1%YoY -4.7%
Inflation Rate (YoY)
3.35%
GDP Growth
1.5%YoY -40.0%
10-Year Treasury
5.01%YoY +5.9%
Consumer Sentiment
55.2YoY -10.5%

Year-over-year movement

Fed Funds RateFed Funds Rate: 3.63% · -16.2% year over year-16.17%Unemployment RateUnemployment Rate: 4.1% · -4.7% year over year-4.65%Inflation Rate (YoY)Inflation Rate (YoY): 3.35% · +0.0% year over year+0.00%GDP GrowthGDP Growth: 1.5% · -40.0% year over year-40.00%10-Year Treasury10-Year Treasury: 5.01% · +5.9% year over year+5.92%Consumer SentimentConsumer Sentiment: 55.2 · -10.5% year over year-10.53%

Catalyst Calendar

IPO calendar is active: AMRO (Amaero Inc.) priced at $7.06 on XNAS with a Sep 23 date, and BIAI (Bitari Inc.) expected Oct 2 at $7. Earnings cycle is light — MSFT is the nearest mega-cap print at 38 days out. No corporate events on the tape today.

  • IPO WODO — World Road Inc.
  • IPO GLG — GLGHK Ltd.
  • IPO NUOX — NuvOx Therapeutics Inc.
  • IPO BIAI — Bitari Inc.
  • IPO AMRO — Amaero Inc. · 2026-09-23
  • IPO BYOP — KiNRG Inc.
  • IPO BMB — Bamboo Insurance Services Inc. · 2026-09-23
  • IPO ETRA — Electra Therapeutics Inc · 2026-09-18
  • IPO HFE — Hao Feng Group Ltd.
  • IPO OIG — Orion180 Insurance Group Inc. · 2026-09-18

IPO Radar — Upcoming Listings & Pipeline News

Sort by listing date, days out, or offer range · amber = news-estimated date
TickerCompanyListing DateInOffer RangeExchange
ETRA Electra Therapeutics Inc 2026-09-18 listed $14–$16 XNAS
OIG Orion180 Insurance Group Inc. 2026-09-18 listed $15–$17 XNAS
AMRO Amaero Inc. 2026-09-23 5d $7.06 XNAS
BMB Bamboo Insurance Services Inc. 2026-09-23 5d $18–$20 XNYS
BIAI Bitari Inc. 2026-10-02est. 14d $7 XNAS
WODO World Road Inc. TBA $5–$6 XNAS
GLG GLGHK Ltd. TBA $6 XNAS
NUOX NuvOx Therapeutics Inc. TBA $8 XASE
BYOP KiNRG Inc. TBA $4–$5 XASE
HFE Hao Feng Group Ltd. TBA $6.5 XASE

Listing-pipeline headlines

BLOOMBERG2h ago
India’s largest conglomerate, Tata Group, is headed for an internal showdown as it wrestles with the question of who will lead its holding company Tata Sons Pvt., which is under re
GLOBENEWSWIRE INC.2h ago
Robbins Geller announces a class action lawsuit against York Space Systems (NYSE: YSS) for alleged securities fraud related to its January 2026 IPO. The lawsuit claims the company

Full pipeline + S-1 tracker on IPO Radar · pre-IPO valuations and secondaries on Private Companies.

Private Markets & Pre-IPO Activity

Crusoe Energy Systems closed a $3.9B Series F at a $30.9B valuation led by Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital, and Valor Equity Partners — by far the largest fresh round. Arcee AI hit unicorn status at $1B on a $150M Series B (Vista/Cambium/Emergence co-led). a16z is the most active lead with 5 deals totaling $694M; the private AI and energy infrastructure tape remains hot.

DateCompanyEventAmountLead Investor
2026-09-17 Crusoe Energy Systems · Energy Series F $3,900M led by Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital and Valor Equity Partners $3.9B Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital and Valor Equity Partners
2026-09-17 MIND · Cybersecurity Series B $72M led by Crosspoint Capital Partners $72M Crosspoint Capital Partners
2026-09-17 Watney Robotics · Robotics Series A $80M led by Valor Atreides AI Fund and Hummingbird Ventures $80M Valor Atreides AI Fund and Hummingbird Ventures
2026-09-17 Mazama Energy · Energy Series B $135M led by Centaurus Capital and Doerr Capital $135M Centaurus Capital and Doerr Capital
2026-09-16 Impulse Space · Defense & Space Series D extension $308M $308M
2026-09-16 Arcee AI · AI Series B $150M led by Vista Equity Partners / Cambium Capital / Emergence Capital (co-led) $150M Vista Equity Partners / Cambium Capital / Emergence Capital (co-led)
2026-09-15 Factory · Developer Tools Growth round (series undisclosed) $200M $200M
2026-09-15 Profound · AI Series D $180M led by Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led) $180M Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led)

Track 2,431 pre-IPO names on Private Companies · browse 280+ investor profiles · live deal tape on Deal Signals.

Round Sizes — Recent Raises

Crusoe Energy SystCrusoe Energy Systems · Series F $3,900M led by Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital and Valor Equity P · valuation $30.9B — open the company page$3.9BMINDMIND · Series B $72M led by Crosspoint Capital Partners — open the company page$72MWatney RoboticsWatney Robotics · Series A $80M led by Valor Atreides AI Fund and Hummingbird Ventures — open the company page$80MMazama EnergyMazama Energy · Series B $135M led by Centaurus Capital and Doerr Capital — open the company page$135MImpulse SpaceImpulse Space · Series D extension $308M · valuation $5.6B — open the company page$308MArcee AIArcee AI · Series B $150M led by Vista Equity Partners / Cambium Capital / Emergence Capita · valuation $1.0B — open the company page$150MFactoryFactory · Growth round (series undisclosed) $200M · valuation $5.0B — open the company page$200MProfoundProfound · Series D $180M led by Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led) · valuation $1.8B — open the company page$180M

Bar = amount raised · click through to the company's pre-IPO page.

Where the money went — sector split

Energy $4.0B: 4,035,000,000AI $330M: 330,000,000Defense & Space $308M: 308,000,000Developer Tools $200M: 200,000,000Robotics $80M: 80,000,000Cybersecurity $72M: 72,000,000

Most active lead investors (last 45 days)

Andreessen Horowitz · 5 deals · $694MSequoia Capital · 4 deals · $170MAndreessen Horowitz / Accel / Founders Fund / General Catalyst / Avenir (co-led) · 2 deals · $4.0BNvidia & Coatue · 2 deals · $4.0BJane Street · 2 deals · $3.0B

Trading Implications

Educational framework discussion of market conditions — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Deep Dive

VIX < 16 with 10y > 5%: a rare regime tension

Today's tape puts VIX at 15.51 while the 10y sits at 5.01% — a combination where equity volatility is pricing calm but the cost of capital is pricing restrictive. This tension matters because low VIX often coincides with dealers short gamma, making the market more sensitive to upside surprises and prone to accelerations. But with the 10y above 5%, any macro disappointment — weak GDP (already at 1.5%, YoY -40%) or soft consumer sentiment (55.2, YoY -10.5%) — can reprice both vol and rates simultaneously, creating a feedback loop where duration risk and equity risk move together. Historically, sustained VIX < 16 with 10y > 5% is uncommon and tends to resolve either via vol normalization or a rates pullback; the direction of that resolution determines whether the breadth-broadening rally extends or rolls over.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Signals are quantitative model outputs, not recommendations. Markets carry risk of loss.