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QUANTLOGIX DAILY BRIEF
WEDNESDAY · 09/16/2026 PRE-MARKET
S&P Futures
7,680
+0.31%
Nasdaq Futures
29,401.75
+0.53%
10Y Yield
4.97%
+0.20%
Macro Sentiment
56/100
Neutral
Signal Breadth
22%
bearish

Market Pulse

All four major indices closed lower — S&P 500 -0.45% to 7585.73, Nasdaq -0.78% to 25981.57, Dow -0.63% to 52093.11, Russell 2000 -0.76% to 2870.29 — yet VIX fell 2.09% to 16.84 and overnight futures turned green with Nasdaq futures +0.53% and S&P futures +0.31%. Energy led sectors at +2.17% even as headlines flagged easing oil prices on a Saudi pipeline restart, while Cons. Disc. lagged at -1.75%. MEDS surged +172.96% on the gainers list; ARTL -13.67% and JBHT -10.46% led losses. Middle East escalation with Houthis solidifying gains in Yemen remains a thematic overhang.

Index Board — Today's Close

S&P 500S&P 500 · 7,585.73 · -0.45% on the day-0.45%NASDAQ CompositeNASDAQ Composite · 25,981.57 · -0.78% on the day-0.78%Dow Jones IndustrialDow Jones Industrial Average · 52,093.11 · -0.63% on the day-0.63%Russell 2000Russell 2000 · 2,870.29 · -0.76% on the day-0.76%CBOE VolatilityCBOE Volatility Index · 16.84 · -2.09% on the day-2.09%

Change on the day for the major indices. VIX sits in the metric strip above — it reads inversely, so it is kept out of this scale.

Overnight Futures

S&P FuturesS&P Futures · 7,680 · +0.31%+0.31%Nasdaq FuturesNasdaq Futures · 29,401.75 · +0.53%+0.53%Dow FuturesDow Futures · 52,630 · +0.20%+0.20%Russell 2000 FuturesRussell 2000 Futures · 2,901.4 · +0.23%+0.23%

Overnight Headlines

CNBC4m ago
The pipeline has allowed the Saudis to shift oil exports to the Red Sea while the U.S. and Iran battle for control over Hormuz.
CNBC5m ago
Tropical Smoothie Cafe unveiled new branding as it grows rapidly under the ownership of private equity firm Blackstone.
INVESTING.COM7m ago

Signal Standouts

Universe of 4927 names shows bullish readings at just 22.3% — 9 strong buys and 1091 buys against 1019 sells and 30 strong sells, with 2778 names sitting neutral. Breadth is broadening +1.8pts versus yesterday, meaning risk-on participation is expanding beneath the surface even as the headline tape closed red. The expansion from a depressed base is constructive for internals but hasn't flipped the distribution to a risk-on regime — the neutral bucket still dominates at 56% of the universe.

22%BULLISH
Strong Buy
9
Buy
1,091
Neutral
2,778
Sell
1,019
Strong Sell
30
Signal breadth — last 28 sessions22%
2026-08-10low 19% · high 44%2026-09-16

Hover the line (or focus it and use ← →) to read any single session.

Strong Buy standouts: TWST · MEOH · BUUU · INDP · BDSX · QXL · FTEK · KBSX · FGNX

Strong Sell standouts: IONS · CPA · SHAK · RH · BOBS · SENEA · PRCT · TNDM · VCX · CBRL · BLMN · BXC

See full signals →

Earnings Ahead

Sort by date, EPS growth, or revenue growth.
TickerNext ReportInLast EPS YoYLast Rev YoY
MSFT 2026-10-26 39d +31.8% +17.7%
TSLA 2026-11-16 60d -3.0% +25.5%
AAPL 2026-11-23 67d +28.7% +16.4%
XOM 2026-11-24 69d +112.2% +42.3%
JPM 2026-11-30 74d +46.9% +27.7%
NVDA 2026-12-17 91d +127.8% +105.9%

Sector Setup

Energy
BULLISH
+2.17% leads all sectors despite headlines of easing crude on Saudi pipeline restart; Middle East tensions providing a bid.
Materials
BULLISH
+0.48% supported by a mining rally referenced in overseas headlines.
Health Care
NEUTRAL
-0.05%, effectively flat; defensive characteristics keeping it insulated from the risk-off drift.
Technology
NEUTRAL
-0.29% with Nasdaq -0.78% suggesting megacap drag, but the sector is mid-pack rather than leading the selloff.
Utilities
BEARISH
-1.20% selling off as the 10-year at 4.97% pressures rate-sensitive defensives.
Cons. Disc.
BEARISH
-1.75% worst-performing sector; risk-off sentiment hitting discretionary spending names hardest.

Economic Snapshot

Fed Funds Rate
3.63%YoY -16.2%
Unemployment Rate
4.1%YoY -4.7%
Inflation Rate (YoY)
3.35%
GDP Growth
1.5%YoY -40.0%
10-Year Treasury
4.97%YoY +6.7%
Consumer Sentiment
55.2YoY -10.5%

Year-over-year movement

Fed Funds RateFed Funds Rate: 3.63% · -16.2% year over year-16.17%Unemployment RateUnemployment Rate: 4.1% · -4.7% year over year-4.65%Inflation Rate (YoY)Inflation Rate (YoY): 3.35% · +0.0% year over year+0.00%GDP GrowthGDP Growth: 1.5% · -40.0% year over year-40.00%10-Year Treasury10-Year Treasury: 4.97% · +6.7% year over year+6.65%Consumer SentimentConsumer Sentiment: 55.2 · -10.5% year over year-10.53%

Catalyst Calendar

IPO calendar has near-term entries: Electra Therapeutics (ETRA) and Orion180 Insurance (OIG) both pricing September 18, Bamboo Insurance (BMB) on the 23rd. Earnings calendar is light — MSFT is the nearest major report at 39 days out, with no corporate events on today's docket.

  • IPO BMB — Bamboo Insurance Services Inc. · 2026-09-23
  • IPO ETRA — Electra Therapeutics Inc · 2026-09-18
  • IPO HFE — Hao Feng Group Ltd.
  • IPO ASBH — American Savings Bank N.A.
  • IPO OIG — Orion180 Insurance Group Inc. · 2026-09-18
  • IPO VCCG — V Capital Consulting Group Ltd
  • IPO JRWP — Jingrui Wang Pu Holdings Group Ltd.
  • IPO HNUC — Holtec Nuclear Corp.
  • IPO ADRX — ADARx Pharmaceuticals Inc.
  • IPO CGL — CGL Logistics Holdings Ltd

IPO Radar — Upcoming Listings & Pipeline News

Sort by listing date, days out, or offer range · amber = news-estimated date
TickerCompanyListing DateInOffer RangeExchange
HNUC Holtec Nuclear Corp. 2026-09-17est. 1d $15–$18 XNAS
ETRA Electra Therapeutics Inc 2026-09-18 2d $14–$16 XNAS
OIG Orion180 Insurance Group Inc. 2026-09-18 2d $15–$17 XNAS
BMB Bamboo Insurance Services Inc. 2026-09-23 7d $18–$20 XNYS
HFE Hao Feng Group Ltd. TBA $6.5 XASE
ASBH American Savings Bank N.A. TBA $15–$17 XNYS
VCCG V Capital Consulting Group Ltd TBA $4 XNAS
JRWP Jingrui Wang Pu Holdings Group Ltd. TBA $4–$6 XNAS
ADRX ADARx Pharmaceuticals Inc. TBA XNAS
CGL CGL Logistics Holdings Ltd TBA $4 XNAS

Listing-pipeline headlines

BLOOMBERG2h ago
Illycaffe CEO Cristina Scocchia discusses coffee prices and possible growth opportunities for the company. Speaking on Bloomberg Television, Scocchia also says an initial public of

Full pipeline + S-1 tracker on IPO Radar · pre-IPO valuations and secondaries on Private Companies.

Private Markets & Pre-IPO Activity

Temporal raised $550M Series E led by Lightspeed at a $12.55B valuation — the largest tracked deal — while Factory pulled in $200M at a $5B mark and Profound closed $180M Series D at $1.8B co-led by Sequoia and Kleiner Perkins. Sequoia tops the active lead-investor table with 6 deals totaling $2.17B deployed; Instinct is reportedly in talks at a $2.5B valuation but hasn't closed.

DateCompanyEventAmountLead Investor
2026-09-15 Factory · Developer Tools Growth round (series undisclosed) $200M $200M
2026-09-15 Profound · AI Series D $180M led by Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led) $180M Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led)
2026-09-15 Instinct · AI New round — IN TALKS, not closed
2026-09-15 TypeSafe AI · AI Seed $40M led by DCVC $40M DCVC
2026-09-14 Temporal · Software Development Applications Series E $550M led by Lightspeed $550M Lightspeed
2026-09-14 Cornelis Networks · AI Series C $205M led by IAG Capital Partners $205M IAG Capital Partners
2026-09-14 Nuance Labs · AI Series A $50M led by Lightspeed Venture Partners $50M Lightspeed Venture Partners
2026-09-14 Kaiko · Fintech Series B extension $53M led by S&P Global $53M S&P Global

Track 2,424 pre-IPO names on Private Companies · browse 280+ investor profiles · live deal tape on Deal Signals.

Round Sizes — Recent Raises

FactoryFactory · Growth round (series undisclosed) $200M · valuation $5.0B — open the company page$200MProfoundProfound · Series D $180M led by Sequoia Capital / Kleiner Perkins (co-led) · valuation $1.8B — open the company page$180MTypeSafe AITypeSafe AI · Seed $40M led by DCVC · valuation $200M — open the company page$40MTemporalTemporal · Series E $550M led by Lightspeed · valuation $12.6B — open the company page$550MCornelis NetworksCornelis Networks · Series C $205M led by IAG Capital Partners — open the company page$205MNuance LabsNuance Labs · Series A $50M led by Lightspeed Venture Partners — open the company page$50MKaikoKaiko · Series B extension $53M led by S&P Global — open the company page$53M

Bar = amount raised · click through to the company's pre-IPO page.

Where the money went — sector split

Software Development Applications $550M: 550,000,000AI $475M: 475,000,000Developer Tools $200M: 200,000,000Fintech $53M: 53,000,000

Most active lead investors (last 45 days)

Sequoia Capital · 6 deals · $2.2BAndreessen Horowitz · 5 deals · $694MInsight Partners · 4 deals · $141MStorm Ventures · 4 deals · $26MAndreessen Horowitz / Accel / Founders Fund / General Catalyst / Avenir (co-led) · 2 deals · $4.0B

Trading Implications

Educational framework discussion of market conditions — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Deep Dive

VIX declining during an equity selloff: what it signals

Today's tape delivered an unusual divergence: all four major indices closed lower (S&P -0.45%, Nasdaq -0.78%, Dow -0.63%, Russell -0.76%), yet VIX fell 2.09% to 16.84. Normally, falling equity prices and falling vol are inversely correlated — when equities drop, fear rises and VIX climbs. A declining VIX during a selloff typically signals that the options market views the decline as orderly and within expected ranges rather than a regime shift. Combined with green overnight futures (Nasdaq +0.53%, S&P +0.31%), the read is that participants are treating this as a pullback, not a trend change. The risk: if overnight strength fails to hold into the cash session and the 10-year remains at 4.97%, the VIX's complacency could reverse sharply as low-vol positioning unwinds.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Signals are quantitative model outputs, not recommendations. Markets carry risk of loss.