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QUANTLOGIX DAILY BRIEF
TUESDAY · 09/15/2026 PRE-MARKET
S&P Futures
7,692
-0.01%
Nasdaq Futures
29,455.75
+0.02%
10Y Yield
4.96%
+0.20%
Macro Sentiment
56/100
Neutral
Signal Breadth
21%
bearish

Market Pulse

Risk pulled back across the board: S&P 500 -0.48% at 7,620, Nasdaq -0.56% at 26,186, Dow -0.29% at 52,421, and Russell -0.40% at 2,892 — yet VIX drifted lower to 16.99 (-0.64%), a quiet unwind rather than a panic. Comm Services (+2.19%), Health Care (+1.45%), and Cons. Staples (+1.25%) led, while Technology (-1.81%), Industrials (-1.42%), and Utilities (-1.34%) lagged — a textbook defensive bid with the 10-year pinned at 4.96%. Single-name standouts: VEEA +80.4% on no obvious catalyst, MCRB +13.3% in health care strength; ENVA -21.9% and FTFT -21.1% led decliners. TSMC's cautious AI commentary and Wells Fargo's S&P 500 price-target cut framed the risk-off tone.

Index Board — Today's Close

S&P 500S&P 500 · 7,619.98 · -0.48% on the day-0.48%NASDAQ CompositeNASDAQ Composite · 26,186.41 · -0.56% on the day-0.56%Dow Jones IndustrialDow Jones Industrial Average · 52,421.2 · -0.29% on the day-0.29%Russell 2000Russell 2000 · 2,892.24 · -0.40% on the day-0.40%CBOE VolatilityCBOE Volatility Index · 16.99 · -0.64% on the day-0.64%

Change on the day for the major indices. VIX sits in the metric strip above — it reads inversely, so it is kept out of this scale.

Overnight Futures

S&P FuturesS&P Futures · 7,692 · -0.01%-0.01%Nasdaq FuturesNasdaq Futures · 29,455.75 · +0.02%+0.02%Dow FuturesDow Futures · 52,822 · -0.07%-0.07%Russell 2000 FuturesRussell 2000 Futures · 2,914.8 · -0.05%-0.05%

Overnight Headlines

SEEKING ALPHA3m ago
ETSY GOOG GOOGL
MARKETWATCH5m ago
In what may be a first since the early days of the war between the U.S. and Iran, a Wall Street firm is lowering rather than raising its S&P 500 year-end target.

Signal Standouts

Across 4,976 names the signal distribution is defensive: 20.5% bullish, with 1,116 sells and 39 strong sells against only 1,021 buys and 14 strong buys — but breadth is broadening (+1.6 pts vs. yesterday), meaning marginal participation is improving even as the absolute bullish share stays thin. That combination typically marks early stabilization rather than conviction; the leadership is rotating but hasn't yet earned broad participation.

21%BULLISH
Strong Buy
14
Buy
1,007
Neutral
2,800
Sell
1,116
Strong Sell
39
Signal breadth — last 27 sessions21%
2026-08-10low 19% · high 44%2026-09-15

Hover the line (or focus it and use ← →) to read any single session.

Strong Buy standouts: NEO · ANL · INDP · FXHO · BDSX · IVVD · EDRY · EAF · CRDF · MWC · WSHP · HYPD

Strong Sell standouts: FN · AAOI · CPA · EQPT · LEU · MZTI · IRON · DCO · LUNR · WHR · RARE · VCX

See full signals →

Earnings Ahead

Sort by date, EPS growth, or revenue growth.
TickerNext ReportInLast EPS YoYLast Rev YoY
MSFT 2026-10-26 41d +31.8% +17.7%
TSLA 2026-11-16 62d -3.0% +25.5%
AAPL 2026-11-23 69d +28.7% +16.4%
XOM 2026-11-24 70d +112.2% +42.3%
JPM 2026-11-30 75d +46.9% +27.7%
NVDA 2026-12-17 93d +127.8% +105.9%

Sector Setup

Comm. Svcs
BULLISH
Leading the tape at +2.19% with Etsy's AI-search upgrade and NYT's Buy upgrade providing single-name fuel.
Health Care
BULLISH
+1.45% with MCRB +13.3% exemplifying the bid for therapeutics and tools names.
Cons. Staples
NEUTRAL
+1.25% reflects a defensive flight but consumer sentiment at 55.2 (-10.5% YoY) caps any durable bullish thesis.
Technology
BEARISH
Worst-performing sector at -1.81% with TSMC's cautious AI commentary and Wells Fargo's index-target cut weighing on sentiment.
Industrials
BEARISH
-1.42% with GDP growth at just 1.5% (-40% YoY) undermining cyclical demand expectations.
Energy
BEARISH
-0.94% as materials and energy both soften alongside the broader cyclical pullback.

Economic Snapshot

Fed Funds Rate
3.63%YoY -16.2%
Unemployment Rate
4.1%YoY -4.7%
Inflation Rate (YoY)
3.35%
GDP Growth
1.5%YoY -40.0%
10-Year Treasury
4.96%YoY +6.9%
Consumer Sentiment
55.2YoY -10.5%

Year-over-year movement

Fed Funds RateFed Funds Rate: 3.63% · -16.2% year over year-16.17%Unemployment RateUnemployment Rate: 4.1% · -4.7% year over year-4.65%Inflation Rate (YoY)Inflation Rate (YoY): 3.35% · +0.0% year over year+0.00%GDP GrowthGDP Growth: 1.5% · -40.0% year over year-40.00%10-Year Treasury10-Year Treasury: 4.96% · +6.9% year over year+6.90%Consumer SentimentConsumer Sentiment: 55.2 · -10.5% year over year-10.53%

Catalyst Calendar

IPO calendar has activity — Orion180 Insurance Group (OIG) priced $15–17 on Nasdaq with a 9/18 date, plus pending listings for ASBH, BMB, and others. Earnings are distant: MSFT in 41 days, TSLA in 62, AAPL in 69 — no near-term corporate catalysts to derail or rescue the tape.

  • IPO ASBH — American Savings Bank N.A.
  • IPO BMB — Bamboo Insurance Services Inc.
  • IPO HFE — Hao Feng Group Ltd.
  • IPO OIG — Orion180 Insurance Group Inc. · 2026-09-18
  • IPO VCCG — V Capital Consulting Group Ltd
  • IPO JRWP — Jingrui Wang Pu Holdings Group Ltd.
  • IPO HNUC — Holtec Nuclear Corp.
  • IPO ADRX — ADARx Pharmaceuticals Inc.
  • IPO CMBY — Cumberland Farms Ltd.
  • IPO CGL — CGL Logistics Holdings Ltd

IPO Radar — Upcoming Listings & Pipeline News

Sort by listing date, days out, or offer range · amber = news-estimated date
TickerCompanyListing DateInOffer RangeExchange
HNUC Holtec Nuclear Corp. 2026-09-17est. 2d $15–$18 XNAS
OIG Orion180 Insurance Group Inc. 2026-09-18 3d $15–$17 XNAS
CMBY Cumberland Farms Ltd. wk of 2026-09-21est. 6d XNAS
ASBH American Savings Bank N.A. TBA $15–$17 XNYS
BMB Bamboo Insurance Services Inc. TBA $18–$20 XNYS
HFE Hao Feng Group Ltd. TBA $6.5 XASE
VCCG V Capital Consulting Group Ltd TBA $4 XNAS
JRWP Jingrui Wang Pu Holdings Group Ltd. TBA $4–$6 XNAS
ADRX ADARx Pharmaceuticals Inc. TBA XNAS
CGL CGL Logistics Holdings Ltd TBA $4 XNAS

Full pipeline + S-1 tracker on IPO Radar · pre-IPO valuations and secondaries on Private Companies.

Private Markets & Pre-IPO Activity

Private tape is active: Temporal closed a $550M Series E led by Lightspeed at a $12.55B valuation — the standout deal — while Cornelis Networks raised $205M (Series C, IAG Capital) and Kaiko took $53M from S&P Global in a Series B extension. Sequoia Capital and Andreessen Horowitz remain the most active lead investors with 5 deals each ($1.17B and $694M deployed respectively).

DateCompanyEventAmountLead Investor
2026-09-14 Temporal · Software Development Applications Series E $550M led by Lightspeed $550M Lightspeed
2026-09-14 Cornelis Networks · AI Series C $205M led by IAG Capital Partners $205M IAG Capital Partners
2026-09-14 Nuance Labs · AI Series A $50M led by Lightspeed Venture Partners $50M Lightspeed Venture Partners
2026-09-14 Kaiko · Fintech Series B extension $53M led by S&P Global $53M S&P Global
2026-09-14 Aron · AI Seed $6M led by Storm Ventures $6M Storm Ventures
2026-09-14 Flam · AI Series B $40M led by QED Investors $40M QED Investors
2026-09-14 Pave Finance · Fintech Series A $15M $15M
2026-09-11 Impossible Objects · Other Hardware Series B $40M led by Inflection Equity $40M Inflection Equity

Track 2,423 pre-IPO names on Private Companies · browse 280+ investor profiles · live deal tape on Deal Signals.

Round Sizes — Recent Raises

TemporalTemporal · Series E $550M led by Lightspeed · valuation $12.6B — open the company page$550MCornelis NetworksCornelis Networks · Series C $205M led by IAG Capital Partners — open the company page$205MNuance LabsNuance Labs · Series A $50M led by Lightspeed Venture Partners — open the company page$50MKaikoKaiko · Series B extension $53M led by S&P Global — open the company page$53MAronAron · Seed $6M led by Storm Ventures — open the company page$6MFlamFlam · Series B $40M led by QED Investors — open the company page$40MPave FinancePave Finance · Series A $15M · valuation $100M — open the company page$15MImpossible ObjectsImpossible Objects · Series B $40M led by Inflection Equity — open the company page$40M

Bar = amount raised · click through to the company's pre-IPO page.

Where the money went — sector split

Software Development Applications $550M: 550,000,000AI $301M: 301,000,000Fintech $68M: 68,000,000Other Hardware $40M: 40,000,000

Most active lead investors (last 45 days)

Sequoia Capital · 5 deals · $1.2BAndreessen Horowitz · 5 deals · $694MInsight Partners · 4 deals · $141MStorm Ventures · 4 deals · $26MAndreessen Horowitz / Accel / Founders Fund / General Catalyst / Avenir (co-led) · 2 deals · $4.0B

Trading Implications

Educational framework discussion of market conditions — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Deep Dive

Why defensive leadership with falling VIX isn't contradictory

A defensive rotation (Staples, Health Care outperforming while Tech and Industrials lag) with a declining VIX signals orderly sector rebalancing, not panic. Investors are de-risking within equity exposure — moving from beta-heavy cyclicals to lower-volatility defensives — rather than exiting the asset class entirely. This pattern typically emerges when rates are elevated but not accelerating (the 10-year is at 4.96%, up only 6.9% YoY) and macro data is soft-but-stable (GDP at 1.5%, unemployment at 4.1%). The tell to watch: if defensives keep leading AND VIX starts rising, that's the transition from rotation to genuine risk-off.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Signals are quantitative model outputs, not recommendations. Markets carry risk of loss.