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This Week in Pre-IPO

Week of August 10, 2026 – August 16, 2026

6 new IPO deep dives: Deel, Strava, Airwallex, ShipBob, Telegram, Lambda.

1 · New deep dives

Deel
Deel IPO 2026 — $17.3B Valuation, $1.5B+ ARR, and the Rippling Litigation Overhang

Deel at a $17.3B Series E valuation with ARR past $1.5B (roughly 2x in 18 months) and reported profitability since late 2025. Full institutional deep dive: the EOR model and its gross-vs-net revenue trap, owned-entity moat, the Rippling corporate-espionage li…

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Strava
Strava — The $2.2B Pre-IPO Deep Dive

Strava confirmed its confidential S-1 on February 2, 2026 — the only company-confirmed filer in the consumer-health IPO wave alongside Oura (~$11B) and Whoop ($10.1B). ARR approaching $500M (company-stated) against a $2.2B May 2025 mark works out to ~4.5–5.3×…

DUOLSPOTGRMNPTON
Airwallex
Airwallex — The $11B Pre-IPO Deep Dive

$11B Series H (June 2026, Addition-led, +38% in six months) on $1.3B annualized revenue growing 74% and $287B of annualized transaction volume up more than 120% — a derived ~0.45% take rate that is compressing as the mix moves upmarket. Around it, every listi…

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ShipBob
ShipBob — The $4B Target vs the $1.3B Mark

ShipBob's last priced round was a $2.0B Series F in May 2022 at $36.74/share; secondary indications sat near $23.96 in July 2026 — a ~35% haircut implying roughly $1.3B. No S-1 exists on EDGAR. Full breakdown: the 60+ centre network and its real cost levers, …

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Telegram
Telegram — The $30B+ Pre-IPO Deep Dive

H1 2025 revenue up 65% to $870M — and a swing from a $334M profit to a $220M net loss, with more than $450M of the company's own Toncoin sold in the same period. A billion monthly users served by roughly 60 employees, financed almost entirely by debt at a 9% …

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Lambda
Lambda — The $9B Pre-IPO Deep Dive

$9.0B Forge secondary mark (June 2026) vs a $5.9B Series E, ~$760M annualized revenue growing ~80%, a multibillion-dollar Microsoft agreement, and a convertible priced 20% below an IPO that is not yet on file. Full breakdown: the hardware-to-cloud pivot, the …

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2 · Filing watch

Roster names whose status is at or past a filing — ordered by last mark. Statuses are as recorded on the roster; a confidential draft is reported, not visible on EDGAR.

CompanyStatusYearLast mark
Anthropicfiled2027$1T
Sheinfiled2026$50B
Rippleexpected2026$19.1B
Discordfiled2026$15B
Switchfiled_confidentially2026$11B
Krakenexpected2026$10.9B
Grafana Labsexpected2026$9.5B
Bolt (Mobility)imminent$8.8B
Blockchain.comfiled2026$7B
StravaConfidentially filed for IPO2026$2.2B
MotiveFiled S-1 December 2025, NYSE:MTVE2026$2.1B
Turofiled$1.3B

3 · The IPO tape

Recent major-exchange debuts: return since offer price and the engine’s live read.

Recent IPOs tracked
30
Avg return since offer
+14.0%
Engine reads Buy / Sell
11 / 5

Best since offer

  • APMD Apnimed Inc. +98.4% · engine Strong Buy
  • IMC IMC Rare Earths Ltd. +62.0% · engine Neutral
  • DPC DPC Holdings PLC +51.8% · engine Neutral
  • BRVE Braveheart Bio Inc. +50.2% · engine Buy
  • TCGX TCGX Acquisition Corp. +48.7% · engine Neutral

Worst since offer

  • DSC DSC Holdings Ltd. -57.6% · engine Buy
  • FISN Deep Fission Inc. -46.0% · engine Neutral
  • SNSC SunScout Holding Ltd -38.6% · engine Neutral
  • ITG ITG Inc. -18.9% · engine Sell
  • STDN Standard Nuclear Inc. -11.3% · engine Buy

4 · Engine vs Street

Record since 2026-08-19
1–1
Open calls
62
Engine win rate
50%

No calls were graded this week.

Every call is on the record before it resolves — see the full ledger.

Every number above is on the site, dated and graded. Track the pre-IPO roster, filings and secondary marks on the Private Companies dashboard.

Open Private Companies →