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QUANTLOGIX DAILY BRIEF
FRIDAY · 09/11/2026 PRE-MARKET
S&P Futures
7,661
+0.82%
Nasdaq Futures
29,413.25
+0.95%
10Y Yield
4.83%
+0.63%
Macro Sentiment
56/100
Neutral
Signal Breadth
22%
bearish

Market Pulse

Broad sell-off across all four major indices as August CPI holding at 3.3% YoY locks in the case for a Fed hike rather than a cut. Russell 2000 led declines at -1.04%, with Technology (-1.41%) and Materials (-1.23%) the weakest sectors; only Comm. Svcs (+0.60%) and Cons. Staples (+0.05%) held green. VIX rose 0.85% to 16.6, still subdued but ticking higher into the close. Single-name action was dominated by micro-cap melt-ups — TNON +54.4%, ACVA +44.7% — while PMTS -16.9% and AEHL -16.5% led losers. Futures are bid overnight: S&P +0.82%, Nasdaq +0.95%, suggesting the cash session's risk-off move may partially reverse at the open.

Index Board — Today's Close

S&P 500S&P 500 · 7,591.7 · -0.58% on the day-0.58%NASDAQ CompositeNASDAQ Composite · 26,081.73 · -0.65% on the day-0.65%Dow Jones IndustrialDow Jones Industrial Average · 52,064.1 · -0.60% on the day-0.60%Russell 2000Russell 2000 · 2,890.95 · -1.04% on the day-1.04%CBOE VolatilityCBOE Volatility Index · 16.6 · +0.85% on the day+0.85%

Change on the day for the major indices. VIX sits in the metric strip above — it reads inversely, so it is kept out of this scale.

Overnight Futures

S&P FuturesS&P Futures · 7,661 · +0.82%+0.82%Nasdaq FuturesNasdaq Futures · 29,413.25 · +0.95%+0.95%Dow FuturesDow Futures · 52,562 · +0.90%+0.90%Russell 2000 FuturesRussell 2000 Futures · 2,920 · +0.92%+0.92%

Overnight Headlines

CNBC3m ago
The all-items consumer price index was expected to rise 0.4% in August, with core, excluding food and energy, showing a 0.2% gain, according to the Dow Jones consensus.
COINTELEGRAPH4m ago
Here’s what happened in crypto today
Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.
BBC BUSINESS7m ago
Prices in the US rose 3.4% in the 12 months to August, according to the latest official figures.

Signal Standouts

Bullish breadth sits at just 21.8% of the 4,874-name universe, down 6.3 points from yesterday — a meaningful narrowing that confirms the cash session's risk-off tone was broad, not idiosyncratic. With 2,819 names at neutral and the buy/strong-buy bucket at only 1,063 combined versus 992 in sell/strong-sell, participation is thinning toward the sidelines. Strong-buy samples skew toward small-cap energy and shipping (CRUS, SEDG, IMPP, ASO), while strong-sells cluster in AI/defense (OKLO, AVAV, VRT) and high-multiple quality (QLYS, FRPT, RH) — leadership is rotating, not expanding.

22%BULLISH
Strong Buy
27
Buy
1,036
Neutral
2,819
Sell
962
Strong Sell
30
Signal breadth — last 25 sessions22%
2026-08-10low 22% · high 44%2026-09-11

Hover the line (or focus it and use ← →) to read any single session.

Strong Buy standouts: CRUS · VEON · ASO · SEDG · BAND · SION · INDP · IMPP · CSTE · CTOR · MNOV · ACFN

Strong Sell standouts: VRT · AVAV · OKLO · ERAS · QLYS · FRPT · RH · BOBS · COAG · TMC · PRKS · BXBL

See full signals →

Earnings Ahead

Sort by date, EPS growth, or revenue growth.
TickerNext ReportInLast EPS YoYLast Rev YoY
MSFT 2026-09-12 today +31.8% +17.7%
AVGO 2026-09-30 18d +85.4% +47.9%
TSLA 2026-11-14 63d -3.0% +25.5%
AAPL 2026-11-21 70d +28.7% +16.4%
XOM 2026-11-24 73d +112.2% +42.3%
JPM 2026-11-29 78d +46.9% +27.7%

Sector Setup

Comm. Svcs
BULLISH
Only sector up meaningfully at +0.60%, defensive rotation into the tape's sole green zone.
Cons. Staples
NEUTRAL
Flat at +0.05%, holding ground but no real bid despite the risk-off tone.
Financials
NEUTRAL
Down -0.33%, middling the pack; 10-year at 4.83% and a potentially hawkish Fed is a mixed signal for net interest margins.
Health Care
BEARISH
-0.55% with FRPT and ERAS both in the strong-sell bucket, defensive flows aren't reaching this sector.
Energy
BEARISH
-0.58% as diesel passing $6/gallon feeds cost pressure without translating to equity bid; OKLO in strong-sells.
Technology
BEARISH
Worst-performing sector at -1.41%, with VRT and QLYS flagged strong-sell; MSFT earnings tomorrow is the swing event.

Economic Snapshot

Fed Funds Rate
3.63%YoY -16.2%
Unemployment Rate
4.1%YoY -4.7%
Inflation Rate (YoY)
3.3%
GDP Growth
1.5%YoY -40.0%
10-Year Treasury
4.83%YoY +1.9%
Consumer Sentiment
55.2YoY -10.5%

Year-over-year movement

Fed Funds RateFed Funds Rate: 3.63% · -16.2% year over year-16.17%Unemployment RateUnemployment Rate: 4.1% · -4.7% year over year-4.65%Inflation Rate (YoY)Inflation Rate (YoY): 3.3% · +0.0% year over year+0.00%GDP GrowthGDP Growth: 1.5% · -40.0% year over year-40.00%10-Year Treasury10-Year Treasury: 4.83% · +1.9% year over year+1.90%Consumer SentimentConsumer Sentiment: 55.2 · -10.5% year over year-10.53%

Catalyst Calendar

MSFT earnings land tomorrow (Sept 12), the only mega-cap catalyst on the immediate calendar and a key read on whether AI capex sentiment holds. IPO pipeline is active next week with Orion180 Insurance Group (OIG, $15–17 range on Nasdaq) and Holtec Nuclear (HNUC, $15–18, expected Sept 17) as the notable pricings.

  • IPO OIG — Orion180 Insurance Group Inc. · 2026-09-18
  • IPO ASBH — American Savings Bank N.A.
  • IPO JRWP — Jingrui Wang Pu Holdings Group Ltd.
  • IPO VCCG — V Capital Consulting Group Ltd
  • IPO HNUC — Holtec Nuclear Corp.
  • IPO ADRX — ADARx Pharmaceuticals Inc.
  • IPO CGL — CGL Logistics Holdings Ltd
  • IPO CMBY — Cumberland Farms Ltd.
  • IPO IVAI — Ives Ultra AI Opportunities Inc.
  • IPO LPNE — LiPower New Energy Holdings Ltd.

IPO Radar — Upcoming Listings & Pipeline News

Sort by listing date, days out, or offer range · amber = news-estimated date
TickerCompanyListing DateInOffer RangeExchange
HNUC Holtec Nuclear Corp. 2026-09-17est. 6d $15–$18 XNAS
OIG Orion180 Insurance Group Inc. 2026-09-18 7d $15–$17 XNAS
ASBH American Savings Bank N.A. TBA $15–$17 XNYS
JRWP Jingrui Wang Pu Holdings Group Ltd. TBA $4–$6 XNAS
VCCG V Capital Consulting Group Ltd TBA $4 XNAS
ADRX ADARx Pharmaceuticals Inc. TBA XNAS
CGL CGL Logistics Holdings Ltd TBA $4 XNAS
CMBY Cumberland Farms Ltd. TBA XNAS
IVAI Ives Ultra AI Opportunities Inc. TBA XNYS
LPNE LiPower New Energy Holdings Ltd. TBA $6 XNAS

Listing-pipeline headlines

MARKETWATCH1h ago
While concerns over AI safety are not likely to derail Anthropic’s IPO plans, experts expect more regulation and safety disclosures.

Full pipeline + S-1 tracker on IPO Radar · pre-IPO valuations and secondaries on Private Companies.

Private Markets & Pre-IPO Activity

AI infrastructure dominated the private tape yesterday: Positron AI closed a $875M Series C at a $5B valuation led by NEA and Valor Equity Partners, while HyperAccel has a $150M Series B pending from Korea Investment Partners. Sequoia Capital remains the most active lead with 6 deals totaling $2.17B deployed.

DateCompanyEventAmountLead Investor
2026-09-10 Positron AI · AI Series C $875M led by NEA, Atreides Management, Valor Equity Partners, Andra Capital, Semi $875M NEA, Atreides Management, Valor Equity Partners, Andra Capital, SemiAnalysis Capital, Jim Clark (co-leads)
2026-09-10 Graph AI · Enterprise Systems (Healthcare) Series A $13M led by Insight Partners $13M Insight Partners
2026-09-10 Wyre AI · Construction Technology Pre-seed and Seed $5M led by Ironspring Ventures $5M Ironspring Ventures
2026-09-10 Cherub · Fintech Pre-Seed $5M $5M
2026-09-10 HyperAccel · AI Series B (PENDING - not closed) $150M led by Korea Investment Partners; Company K Partners $150M Korea Investment Partners; Company K Partners
2026-09-10 Xapien · Financial Software Series B $56M led by Spectrum Equity $56M Spectrum Equity
2026-09-09 Harvey · Legal Tech Later Stage VC $550M led by Diffusion / Lightspeed Venture Partners (co-led) $550M Diffusion / Lightspeed Venture Partners (co-led)
2026-09-09 Listen Labs · Artificial Intelligence Series C (SIGNED THEN ABANDONED - never closed) $125M led by Menlo Ventures (set to lead) $125M Menlo Ventures (set to lead)

Track 2,380 pre-IPO names on Private Companies · browse 280+ investor profiles · live deal tape on Deal Signals.

Round Sizes — Recent Raises

Positron AIPositron AI · Series C $875M led by NEA, Atreides Management, Valor Equity Partners, Andra Cap · valuation $5.0B — open the company page$875MGraph AIGraph AI · Series A $13M led by Insight Partners — open the company page$13MWyre AIWyre AI · Pre-seed and Seed $5M led by Ironspring Ventures — open the company page$5MCherubCherub · Pre-Seed $5M — open the company page$5MHyperAccelHyperAccel · Series B (PENDING - not closed) $150M led by Korea Investment Partners; Company · valuation $137M — open the company page$150MXapienXapien · Series B $56M led by Spectrum Equity — open the company page$56MHarveyHarvey · Later Stage VC $550M led by Diffusion / Lightspeed Venture Partners (co-led) · valuation $15.5B — open the company page$550MListen LabsListen Labs · Series C (SIGNED THEN ABANDONED - never closed) $125M led by Menlo Ventures (set · valuation $500M — open the company page$125M

Bar = amount raised · click through to the company's pre-IPO page.

Where the money went — sector split

AI $1.0B: 1,024,680,000Legal Tech $550M: 550,000,000Artificial Intelligence $125M: 125,000,000Financial Software $56M: 56,000,000Enterprise Systems (Healthcare) $13M: 13,300,000Construction Technology $5M: 5,000,000

Most active lead investors (last 45 days)

Sequoia Capital · 6 deals · $2.2BAndreessen Horowitz · 5 deals · $694MGreenoaks · 4 deals · $570MInsight Partners · 4 deals · $141MSituational Awareness · 3 deals · $1.2B

Trading Implications

Educational framework discussion of market conditions — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Deep Dive

Breadth Narrowing as a Regime Warning

Today's 6.3-point drop in bullish breadth to 21.8% is the kind of move that matters more than the index-level drawdown. When breadth narrows this sharply — especially with 2,819 of 4,874 names sitting at neutral — it signals participants are de-risking into cash equivalents rather than rotating into new leadership. The strong-sell list confirms this: it's not just low-quality names (BOBS, ERAS) but also high-multiple quality (QLYS, FRPT, RH) and momentum darlings (OKLO, AVAV, VRT). A market that sells quality alongside speculative names is one where the risk-off move is structural, not selective. The overnight futures bid is the first test of whether this narrowing reverses or confirms.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Signals are quantitative model outputs, not recommendations. Markets carry risk of loss.