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QUANTLOGIX DAILY BRIEF
THURSDAY · 09/24/2026 PRE-MARKET
S&P Futures
7,731.5
-0.53%
Nasdaq Futures
30,464
-0.98%
10Y Yield
4.96%
+0.00%
Macro Sentiment
56/100
Neutral
Signal Breadth
19%
bearish

Market Pulse

Risk-off tape: the S&P 500 fell 0.75% to 7706, the Nasdaq dropped 1.13%, and the Russell 2000 lagged badly at -1.77% as the 10-year sits at 4.96%. VIX rose 5.01% to 15.94 but remains subdued in absolute terms. Energy (+0.95%) was the only sector in the green while Utilities (-1.92%) and Real Estate (-1.55%) led the downside — classic rate-sensitive pain. Single-name action was speculative: SRZN ripped +84.28% while ARTL collapsed -30.92%. Headlines skewed macro, with Barclays arguing for staying long stocks despite rising yields and jobless claims holding near historic lows at 197,000.

Index Board — Today's Close

S&P 500S&P 500 · 7,706.03 · -0.75% on the day-0.75%NASDAQ CompositeNASDAQ Composite · 26,936.04 · -1.13% on the day-1.13%Dow Jones IndustrialDow Jones Industrial Average · 51,511.59 · -0.68% on the day-0.68%Russell 2000Russell 2000 · 2,838.66 · -1.77% on the day-1.77%CBOE VolatilityCBOE Volatility Index · 15.94 · +5.01% on the day+5.01%

Change on the day for the major indices. VIX sits in the metric strip above — it reads inversely, so it is kept out of this scale.

Overnight Futures

S&P FuturesS&P Futures · 7,731.5 · -0.53%-0.53%Nasdaq FuturesNasdaq Futures · 30,464 · -0.98%-0.98%Dow FuturesDow Futures · 51,717 · -0.30%-0.30%Russell 2000 FuturesRussell 2000 Futures · 2,848.7 · -0.40%-0.40%

Overnight Headlines

MARKETWATCH3m ago
Strategists at the bank recommend exposure to U.S. technology, media, telecommunications and industrial stocks.
AXIOS6m ago
A district court judge ruled the White House violated the Fifth Amendment rights of CNN, MS NOW and Politico by banning them, and granted the plaintiffs a temporary restraining ord
BLOOMBERG6m ago
Applications for US unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level since July, edging down 1,000 to 197,000 in the week ended Sept. 19, according to Labor Department data released

Signal Standouts

Universe breadth is thin: just 18.7% of 4,491 names carry bullish signals, with 3,045 neutral and 604 in sell territory. Breadth slipped another 0.8 points versus yesterday, officially flat but directionally negative — leadership is already narrow and the Energy sector's lone-green session confirms it. In a rising-rate regime with 68% of the universe neutral, the signal distribution argues for caution on new longs until breadth inflects higher.

19%BULLISH
Strong Buy
13
Buy
829
Neutral
3,045
Sell
575
Strong Sell
29
Signal breadth — last 34 sessions19%
2026-08-10low 19% · high 44%2026-09-24

Hover the line (or focus it and use ← →) to read any single session.

Strong Buy standouts: MANE · KLIC · ALNT · VPG · TJGC · TRT · SPWH · FGNX · PDC · CFND · CLGN · LNKS

Strong Sell standouts: UBS · RL · FLUT · SNEX · ZG · Z · CAR · WGS · AMR · FMC · BRBR · HTZ

See full signals →

Earnings Ahead

Sort by date, EPS growth, or revenue growth.
TickerNext ReportInLast EPS YoYLast Rev YoY
MSFT 2026-10-26 32d +31.8% +17.7%
TSLA 2026-11-16 52d -3.0% +25.5%
AAPL 2026-11-23 60d +28.7% +16.4%
XOM 2026-11-24 60d +112.2% +42.3%
JPM 2026-11-30 67d +46.9% +27.7%
NVDA 2026-12-17 84d +127.8% +105.9%

Sector Setup

Energy
BULLISH
The only sector higher at +0.95%, offering the day's sole defensive-to-cyclical hiding spot.
Utilities
BEARISH
Worst sector at -1.92% as the 10-year at 4.96% pressures bond-proxy yield plays hardest.
Real Estate
BEARISH
Down 1.55%, second-worst on the tape, with rate sensitivity the clear driver.
Cons. Disc.
BEARISH
-1.50% alongside consumer sentiment at 55.2, down 10.5% YoY, flags the weak consumer.
Technology
NEUTRAL
-0.47% held up better than the Nasdaq's -1.13% overall, but breadth among tech names is not confirmed.
Industrials
NEUTRAL
Essentially flat at -0.10%, the second-best group and a sign of resilient non-rate exposure.

Economic Snapshot

Fed Funds Rate
3.63%YoY -16.2%
Unemployment Rate
4.1%YoY -4.7%
Inflation Rate (YoY)
3.35%
GDP Growth
1.5%YoY -40.0%
10-Year Treasury
4.96%YoY +4.0%
Consumer Sentiment
55.2YoY -10.5%

Year-over-year movement

Fed Funds RateFed Funds Rate: 3.63% · -16.2% year over year-16.17%Unemployment RateUnemployment Rate: 4.1% · -4.7% year over year-4.65%Inflation Rate (YoY)Inflation Rate (YoY): 3.35% · +0.0% year over year+0.00%GDP GrowthGDP Growth: 1.5% · -40.0% year over year-40.00%10-Year Treasury10-Year Treasury: 4.96% · +4.0% year over year+3.98%Consumer SentimentConsumer Sentiment: 55.2 · -10.5% year over year-10.53%

Catalyst Calendar

The event calendar is light: ADARx Pharmaceuticals (ADRX) prices tomorrow with a $15-$17 range, and AMRO priced today at $7.06, but no corporate events are on the board. Major earnings are weeks out — MSFT in 32 days is the nearest of the big six.

  • IPO STNF — Santa Ana Global Enterprises S.A.
  • IPO ACCV — Accelevation Holdings Corp. · 2026-09-30
  • IPO ADRX — ADARx Pharmaceuticals Inc. · 2026-09-25
  • IPO AMRO — Amaero Inc. · 2026-09-24
  • IPO IAM — Iambic Therapeutics Inc.
  • IPO FYH — Sprout Red International Ltd.
  • IPO OURA — Oura Inc. · 2026-09-30
  • IPO NSCL — Nscale Ltd.
  • IPO SKUB — Skubbs Holdings Ltd.
  • IPO VME — VME Companies Inc.

IPO Radar — Upcoming Listings & Pipeline News

Sort by listing date, days out, or offer range · amber = news-estimated date
TickerCompanyListing DateInOffer RangeExchange
IAM Iambic Therapeutics Inc. 2026-09-21est. listed XNAS
AMRO Amaero Inc. 2026-09-24 listed $7.06 XNAS
ADRX ADARx Pharmaceuticals Inc. 2026-09-25 1d $15–$17 XNAS
ACCV Accelevation Holdings Corp. 2026-09-30 6d $20–$24 XNAS
OURA Oura Inc. 2026-09-30 6d $40–$44 XNAS
STNF Santa Ana Global Enterprises S.A. TBA $13–$15 XASE
FYH Sprout Red International Ltd. TBA XNAS
NSCL Nscale Ltd. TBA XNYS
SKUB Skubbs Holdings Ltd. TBA $5 XNAS
VME VME Companies Inc. TBA XNAS

Listing-pipeline headlines

BLOOMBERG1h ago
David Bird, chief executive officer of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals Fze, discusses the firm's initial public offering in Nigeria, expansion plans and the outlook f

Full pipeline + S-1 tracker on IPO Radar · pre-IPO valuations and secondaries on Private Companies.

Private Markets & Pre-IPO Activity

The private tape stays hot: Crusoe Energy Systems raised a $3.9B Series F at a $30.9B valuation led by Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital, and Valor Equity Partners, and Rainmaker added a $100M Series B — while a16z leads the most active investors with 7 deals totaling $774M, and UAE-affiliated entities have deployed $6B across 2 deals. Late-stage AI/infrastructure capital is where the concentration sits.

DateCompanyEventAmountLead Investor
2026-09-22 Atum · Financial Software Undisclosed (stealth emergence) $14M $14M
2026-09-22 Baselayer · Fintech Series A $35M led by M13 $35M M13
2026-09-21 Rainmaker · Climate Series B $100M $100M
2026-09-21 Feldera · Database Software Series A led by Inovia Capital Inovia Capital
2026-09-21 Corridor · Insurtech Seed $25M led by Bain Capital Ventures $25M Bain Capital Ventures
2026-09-17 Crusoe Energy Systems · Energy Series F $3,900M led by Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital and Valor Equity Partners $3.9B Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital and Valor Equity Partners
2026-09-17 MIND · Cybersecurity Series B $72M led by Crosspoint Capital Partners $72M Crosspoint Capital Partners
2026-09-17 Watney Robotics · Robotics Series A $80M led by Valor Atreides AI Fund and Hummingbird Ventures $80M Valor Atreides AI Fund and Hummingbird Ventures

Track 2,523 pre-IPO names on Private Companies · browse 280+ investor profiles · live deal tape on Deal Signals.

Round Sizes — Recent Raises

AtumAtum · Undisclosed (stealth emergence) $14M — open the company page$14MBaselayerBaselayer · Series A $35M led by M13 — open the company page$35MRainmakerRainmaker · Series B $100M — open the company page$100MCorridorCorridor · Seed $25M led by Bain Capital Ventures — open the company page$25MCrusoe Energy SystCrusoe Energy Systems · Series F $3,900M led by Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital and Valor Equity P · valuation $30.9B — open the company page$3.9BMINDMIND · Series B $72M led by Crosspoint Capital Partners — open the company page$72MWatney RoboticsWatney Robotics · Series A $80M led by Valor Atreides AI Fund and Hummingbird Ventures — open the company page$80M

Bar = amount raised · click through to the company's pre-IPO page.

Where the money went — sector split

Energy $3.9B: 3,900,000,000Climate $100M: 100,000,000Robotics $80M: 80,000,000Cybersecurity $72M: 72,000,000Fintech $35M: 35,000,000Insurtech $25M: 25,000,000

Most active lead investors (last 45 days)

Andreessen Horowitz · 7 deals · $774MSequoia Capital · 4 deals · $170MUnited Arab Emirates and affiliated investment entities · 2 deals · $6.0BAndreessen Horowitz / Accel / Founders Fund / General Catalyst / Avenir (co-led) · 2 deals · $4.0BJane Street · 2 deals · $3.0B

Trading Implications

Educational framework discussion of market conditions — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Deep Dive

Why energy's green day in a red tape matters

When only one of eleven sectors closes positive on a broad index decline, that's a narrow tape — and the composition of the winner tells you the story. Energy's +0.95% against Utilities' -1.92% is a rate trade in disguise: with the 10-year at 4.96%, income-like sectors get repriced fastest while commodity-linked names can decouple on their own supply-demand math. Track the spread between the best and worst sector (today nearly 3 points) as a regime gauge — when it compresses, participation is broadening; when it widens further, leadership keeps thinning and index-level moves become increasingly dependent on a single sector's bid.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Signals are quantitative model outputs, not recommendations. Markets carry risk of loss.