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QUANTLOGIX DAILY BRIEF
MONDAY · 08/10/2026 PRE-MARKET
S&P Futures
7,773
-0.05%
Nasdaq Futures
29,741
+0.01%
10Y Yield
4.65%
-0.85%
Macro Sentiment
52/100
Neutral
Signal Breadth
36%
bearish

Market Pulse

Major indices closed mixed-to-lower, with the S&P 500 off 0.06% to 7,753.11 and the Nasdaq down a sharper 0.32% as the VIX jumped 3.76% to 15.46. The Russell 2000 underperformed at -0.56%, signaling risk-off pressure below the mega-cap surface. Energy was the standout, up 4.66% as futures reacted to reports of an Iran/Hormuz deal, while Real Estate (-1.29%) and Utilities (-1.10%) lagged on rate sensitivity with the 10-year at 4.65%. Single-name action was dominated by micro-caps — JWEL (+158.06%) and STKH (+128.72%) on the tape's fringes, against SION's -91.18% collapse.

Overnight Futures

S&P FuturesS&P Futures · 7,773 · -0.05%-0.05%Nasdaq FuturesNasdaq Futures · 29,741 · +0.01%+0.01%Dow FuturesDow Futures · 53,996 · -0.12%-0.12%Russell 2000 FuturesRussell 2000 Futures · 3,024.6 · -0.01%-0.01%

Overnight Headlines

BBC BUSINESS11m ago
The firm says it will refocus on social media, which includes a plan to sell faster access to Trump's posts.
CNBC17m ago
Investors weighed signs of progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz against doubts that the U.S. and Iran can reach a broader resolution to the conflict.
SEEKING ALPHA20m ago
SUPV

Signal Standouts

The 5,305-name universe skews cautious: only 36.1% of signals are bullish (strong buy + buy) against a combined 22.1% sell-side reading, with neutral the single largest bucket at 2,216 names. Breadth was flat versus yesterday (0.0 pts), meaning today's index-level calm isn't being accompanied by any actual widening of participation — leadership remains concentrated in the same mega-cap names populating the strong-buy sample (AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN).

36%BULLISH
Strong Buy
466
Buy
1,451
Neutral
2,216
Sell
1,016
Strong Sell
156

Strong Buy standouts: AAPL · GOOGL · GOOG · MSFT · AMZN · SPCX · BRK.B · BRK.A · LLY · MU · JPM · V

Strong Sell standouts: NXPI · MDLN · RBLX · MKSI · NI · MAIR · NVMI · RTO · HUT · AAL · OKLO · CAVA

See full signals →

Earnings Ahead

Sort by date, EPS growth, or revenue growth.
TickerNext ReportInLast EPS YoYLast Rev YoY
MSFT 2026-09-12 32d +31.8% +17.7%
AVGO 2026-09-30 50d +85.4% +47.9%
WMT 2026-10-10 60d +19.6% +7.3%
NVDA 2026-10-24 74d +214.5% +85.2%
TSLA 2026-11-14 95d -3.0% +25.5%
AAPL 2026-11-21 102d +28.7% +16.4%

Sector Setup

Energy
BULLISH
Led all sectors at +4.66%, tracking headlines on a potential Iran/Hormuz resolution that would ease supply risk premia.
Health Care
BULLISH
Second-best sector at +1.67%, showing rotation into defensives even as broad indices slipped.
Real Estate
BEARISH
Worst performer at -1.29%, consistent with a 10-year yield sitting at 4.65% pressuring rate-sensitive equities.
Utilities
BEARISH
Down 1.10%, another rate-sensitive group underperforming alongside Real Estate.
Technology
BEARISH
Off 0.88% and dragging the Nasdaq to the day's weakest major-index print at -0.32%.
Financials
NEUTRAL
Modest +0.36% gain, tracking roughly in line with the flat S&P 500.

Economic Snapshot

Fed Funds Rate
3.63%YoY -16.2%
Unemployment Rate
4.1%YoY +0.0%
Inflation Rate (YoY)
3.73%
GDP Growth
1.5%YoY -40.0%
10-Year Treasury
4.65%YoY -0.4%
Consumer Sentiment
49.5YoY -18.5%

Catalyst Calendar

IPO calendar has some traffic — LYNX priced today, VOGX expected tomorrow (8/11), FOIL on 8/12, and Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII) on 8/13 — but the earnings calendar is empty for weeks, with MSFT the nearest major report 32 days out.

  • IPO VOGX — Vogenx Inc.
  • IPO MDRN — Modern Mining Technology Corp
  • IPO LYNX — Lyntris Inc
  • IPO FOIL — Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc.
  • IPO POCH — Poche Technology Co. Ltd
  • IPO RVII — Robinhood Ventures Fund II
  • IPO CAPI — Capstone 72 Inc.
  • IPO FIT — Fitness Fanatics Ltd.
  • IPO SUCH — Suchness Tech Ltd.
  • IPO HNUC — Holtec Nuclear Corp.

IPO Radar — Upcoming Listings & Pipeline News

Sort by listing date, days out, or offer range · amber = news-estimated date
TickerCompanyListing DateInOffer RangeExchange
LYNX Lyntris Inc 2026-08-10est. listed $0 XNYS
VOGX Vogenx Inc. 2026-08-11est. 1d $0 XNAS
FOIL Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. 2026-08-12est. 2d $0 XNYS
RVII Robinhood Ventures Fund II 2026-08-13est. 3d $25 XNYS
MDRN Modern Mining Technology Corp TBA $4.25 XASE
POCH Poche Technology Co. Ltd TBA $0 XNAS
CAPI Capstone 72 Inc. TBA $4 XNAS
FIT Fitness Fanatics Ltd. TBA $5 XNAS
SUCH Suchness Tech Ltd. TBA $6 XNAS
HNUC Holtec Nuclear Corp. TBA $0 XNAS

Full pipeline + S-1 tracker on IPO Radar · pre-IPO valuations and secondaries on Private Companies.

Private Markets & Pre-IPO Activity

Private-market activity stayed hot with six sizable rounds in the trailing week, topped by Firmus Technologies' $2B growth round led by Nvidia & Coatue at a $10.5B valuation and Hadrian's $1.37B Series D anchored by JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group. Sequoia Capital and Greenoaks are the most active leads with four deals apiece, while AMD's two deals total $10B — signaling strategic capital, not just VC, is chasing infrastructure and hardware-adjacent names right now.

DateCompanyEventAmountLead Investor
2026-08-10 Cambridge Aerospace · Defense Series C $300M led by DFJ Growth $300M DFJ Growth
2026-08-09 SiteVue AI · AI Seed $8M led by Penny Jar Capital & Overture $8M Penny Jar Capital & Overture
2026-08-08 SOURCE · Computers, Parts and Peripherals Series D $400M led by Situational Awareness $400M Situational Awareness
2026-08-07 Firmus Technologies · AI Growth Equity $2,000M led by Nvidia & Coatue $2.0B Nvidia & Coatue
2026-08-07 Lumilens · AI Series C $700M led by Atreides Management, Bain Capital Ventures, Meritech, Seligman Ventu $700M Atreides Management, Bain Capital Ventures, Meritech, Seligman Ventures & Spark Capital
2026-08-06 Hadrian · Defense / Industrials Series D $1,370M led by JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group (anchor) $1.4B JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group (anchor)
2026-08-04 Convex · Software Series B $57M led by Insight Partners $57M Insight Partners
2026-08-04 HappyRobot · Business/Productivity Software Series C $150M led by Prysm Capital $150M Prysm Capital

Track 2,128 pre-IPO names on Private Companies · browse 280+ investor profiles · live deal tape on Deal Signals.

Round Sizes — Recent Raises

Cambridge AerospacCambridge Aerospace · Series C $300M led by DFJ Growth · valuation $3.4B — open the company page$300MSiteVue AISiteVue AI · Seed $8M led by Penny Jar Capital & Overture — open the company page$8MSOURCESOURCE · Series D $400M led by Situational Awareness · valuation $1.1B — open the company page$400MFirmus TechnologieFirmus Technologies · Growth Equity $2,000M led by Nvidia & Coatue · valuation $10.5B — open the company page$2.0BLumilensLumilens · Series C $700M led by Atreides Management, Bain Capital Ventures, Meritech, Seli · valuation $5.5B — open the company page$700MHadrianHadrian · Series D $1,370M led by JPMorgan Strategic Investment Group (anchor) · valuation $7.9B — open the company page$1.4BConvexConvex · Series B $57M led by Insight Partners — open the company page$57MHappyRobotHappyRobot · Series C $150M led by Prysm Capital · valuation $1.2B — open the company page$150M

Bar = amount raised · click through to the company's pre-IPO page.

Where the money went — sector split

AI $2.7B: 2,707,500,000Defense / Industrials $1.4B: 1,370,000,000Computers, Parts and Peripherals $400M: 400,000,000Defense $300M: 300,000,000Business/Productivity Software $150M: 150,000,000Software $57M: 57,000,000

Most active lead investors (last 45 days)

Sequoia Capital · 4 deals · $2.4BGreenoaks · 4 deals · $570MSituational Awareness · 3 deals · $1.2BKhosla Ventures · 3 deals · $272MAMD · 2 deals · $10.0B

Trading Implications

Educational framework discussion of market conditions — not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Deep Dive

Why Flat Breadth Matters More Than a Flat Index

Today the S&P 500 barely moved (-0.06%), but that headline number masks what's happening underneath: only 36.1% of the 5,305-name universe carries a bullish signal, and that figure didn't budge from yesterday. When breadth stays flat during a quiet index day, it means the market isn't gaining new converts to the rally — the same concentrated group of mega-caps (AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN) is doing the work while a majority of names sit in neutral-to-bearish territory. This matters because narrow leadership is more fragile than broad leadership: if the handful of names carrying the index falter, there's no reserve of freshly-bullish stocks to absorb the shock. Traders watching breadth alongside price action get an early read on whether a rally has real depth or is riding on a small number of shoulders.

QuantLogix briefings are educational market commentary generated from live data, not investment advice. Signals are quantitative model outputs, not recommendations. Markets carry risk of loss.