Most platforms ask you to trust the signal. QuantLogix logs every signal the moment it fires and grades it against live market prices — so the accuracy below is measured, not marketed. Here's the verified win rate and average return, broken down by signal type and sector.
Every label is graded in its own direction: Buy-side signals win when the price rises; Sell-side signals are graded as a short from the signal price — a WIN means the price actually fell, and their average return is the short-side gain. So a strong engine wants HIGH win rates on every row. The long side has cleared that bar; the short side's weak numbers below are published as-is — that underperformance is why sell-side signals now carry an evidence gate that marks weak short cohorts advisory rather than actionable.
| Signal | Win rate | Avg return | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 46.1% | +1.01% | 2,318 |
| Buy | 41.4% | +0.46% | 4,108 |
| Sell | 42.2% | -0.30% | 3,095 |
| Strong Sell | 40.0% | -0.37% | 830 |
Which sectors the engine reads best, ranked by win rate (samples of at least 20).
| Sector | Signal | Win rate | Avg return | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Materials | Strong Sell | 61.8% | +3.88% | 34 |
| Energy | Strong Sell | 58.1% | +3.86% | 43 |
| Energy | Strong Buy | 56.9% | +1.88% | 153 |
| Materials | Sell | 55.6% | +2.06% | 99 |
| Technology | Strong Buy | 52.6% | +2.88% | 743 |
| Healthcare | Buy | 50.8% | +2.70% | 360 |
| Healthcare | Strong Buy | 49.6% | +1.44% | 232 |
| Consumer Staples | Buy | 47.9% | +1.13% | 73 |
| Technology | Buy | 47.4% | +2.04% | 775 |
| Other | Sell | 46.6% | -0.49% | 1,380 |
| Financials | Strong Sell | 46.3% | +0.16% | 80 |
| Industrials | Sell | 46.2% | +1.41% | 292 |
| Other | Strong Buy | 45.5% | +0.63% | 1,075 |
| Other | Buy | 45.4% | +0.04% | 1,934 |
| Financials | Sell | 44.8% | -0.22% | 560 |
| Industrials | Strong Sell | 44.1% | +0.33% | 93 |
| Utilities | Sell | 43.1% | +0.17% | 204 |
| Financials | Strong Buy | 42.0% | +0.33% | 352 |
| Financials | Buy | 41.2% | +0.42% | 684 |
| Energy | Buy | 41.2% | +0.24% | 228 |
| Other | Strong Sell | 41.2% | -0.40% | 405 |
| Energy | Sell | 40.4% | -0.71% | 146 |
| Communication | Buy | 40.0% | -0.41% | 95 |
| Communication | Sell | 37.5% | -0.24% | 80 |
| Industrials | Strong Buy | 37.2% | -0.79% | 180 |
| Industrials | Buy | 37.1% | -1.12% | 326 |
| Technology | Sell | 36.3% | -1.48% | 504 |
| Healthcare | Strong Sell | 36.2% | -1.19% | 69 |
| Consumer Staples | Sell | 36.1% | -0.15% | 61 |
| Utilities | Strong Buy | 33.3% | -2.46% | 45 |
| Utilities | Strong Sell | 33.3% | -0.66% | 36 |
| Healthcare | Sell | 33.2% | -0.96% | 217 |
| Materials | Buy | 32.4% | -1.09% | 139 |
| Consumer Staples | Strong Buy | 31.0% | -0.33% | 29 |
| Materials | Strong Buy | 28.8% | -1.17% | 59 |
| Utilities | Buy | 27.1% | -1.43% | 210 |
| Technology | Strong Sell | 26.7% | -3.46% | 150 |
| Communication | Strong Buy | 24.5% | -4.64% | 49 |
Measured from QuantLogix's immutable signal track record: every signal logged at issuance with entry, target, and stop, then resolved against live prices (WIN/LOSS only; open signals excluded). Win rate = wins ÷ resolved; buckets shown only at a sample of at least 20. Grading is direction-aware: Buy-side targets sit above entry, Sell-side targets below, and a Sell-side WIN means the price fell — its % return is computed as a short from the signal price, so a negative average on a sell row means those bearish calls genuinely lost. Defaults to the S&P 500 cohort. This is verified historical performance, for informational purposes only — past performance does not guarantee future results, and nothing here is investment advice. Full verified record →
The public, graded accuracy of the QuantLogix 5-factor signal engine: hit rate by signal type and horizon, sample sizes and confidence, built from every resolved signal in the archive rather than from selected examples.
Every signal is logged at issuance with its level geometry and resolved against live prices; a signal counts as correct when the market moved in the signed direction of the call before the stop or expiry. Statistics are computed over the full resolved population.
Yes — the resolved archive and QL Signal Truth receipts are public, and QL Rewind freezes each day's rankings into a hash-chained archive so past states can be re-read exactly.