| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2026 | ±5.8% | +1.6% | over-priced |
| 05/08/2026 | ±4.8% | -4.0% | over-priced |
| 11/07/2025 | ±4.6% | +3.5% | over-priced |
| 08/08/2025 | ±6.2% | -1.7% | over-priced |
| 05/08/2025 | ±5.8% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| 11/08/2024 | ±6.7% | +4.5% | over-priced |
| 08/09/2024 | ±7.4% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| 05/10/2024 | ±5.3% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.76 | $4.0B | $305M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.87 | $5.6B | $1.0B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.54 | $4.6B | $233M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.75 | $5.0B | $652M |
Vistra Corp. (VST) reports in 81 days, with the next report estimated for 12/02/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±5.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.1% on average — the market has systematically over-priced VST's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 6.2% year-over-year, revenue down 5.5%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads VST as a neutral at 51/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →