| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30/2026 | ±3.6% | +3.5% | over-priced |
| 04/30/2026 | ±2.4% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| 02/25/2026 | ±2.5% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| 10/23/2025 | ±3.0% | +7.0% | under-priced |
| 07/24/2025 | ±2.0% | -4.9% | under-priced |
| 04/24/2025 | ±3.6% | -1.0% | over-priced |
| 02/26/2025 | ±2.7% | -2.6% | over-priced |
| 10/30/2024 | ±3.0% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $12.62 | $44.5B | $3.7B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $4.22 | $32.4B | $1.3B |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $30.4B | $1.1B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $3.53 | $32.2B | $1.1B |
VLO (VLO) reports in 3 days, with the next report estimated for 10/30/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.5% on average — the market has systematically over-priced VLO's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 453.5% year-over-year, revenue up 48.8%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads VLO as a buy at 67/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →