| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 23, 2025 | ±3.0% | +7.0% | under-priced |
| July 24, 2025 | ±2.0% | -4.9% | under-priced |
| April 24, 2025 | ±3.6% | -1.0% | over-priced |
| October 30, 2024 | ±3.0% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| July 25, 2024 | ±2.4% | +5.5% | under-priced |
| April 25, 2024 | ±2.6% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| October 26, 2023 | ±2.6% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| July 27, 2023 | ±2.7% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2025 | $3.68 | $30.4B | $1.2B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $3.53 | $32.2B | $1.1B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $2.28 | $29.9B | $663M |
| Q1 FY2025 | $-1.90 | $30.3B | $-652M |
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for April 21, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.7% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.6% on average — the market has been roughly fair on VLO's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 300.0% year-over-year, revenue down 1.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads VLO as a buy at 65/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →