| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | ±1.5% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| 05/04/2026 | ±1.7% | -1.9% | under-priced |
| 11/05/2025 | ±2.0% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| 08/07/2025 | ±2.0% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| 05/06/2025 | ±2.5% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| 11/05/2024 | ±1.8% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| 08/06/2024 | ±3.2% | +2.1% | over-priced |
| 05/01/2024 | ±2.2% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $1.35 | $7.7B | $2.2B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.18 | $7.3B | $1.9B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.27 | $7.4B | $2.1B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.22 | $7.3B | $2.0B |
U.S. Bancorp (USB) reports in 79 days, with the next report estimated for 11/30/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.1% on average — the market has systematically over-priced USB's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 21.6% year-over-year, revenue up 10.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads USB as a buy at 64/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →