| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | ±2.5% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| 05/06/2026 | ±4.6% | +1.9% | over-priced |
| 11/05/2025 | ±2.8% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| 08/06/2025 | ±2.6% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2025 | ±2.4% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| 11/06/2024 | ±1.5% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| 08/07/2024 | ±2.5% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| 05/03/2024 | ±1.6% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.71 | $22.8B | $604M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.02 | $21.2B | $864M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.10 | $24.5B | $1.8B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.55 | $21.4B | $1.3B |
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B (UPS) reports in 75 days, with the next report estimated for 11/26/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.7% on average — the market has systematically over-priced UPS's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 53.0% year-over-year, revenue up 7.6%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads UPS as a underweight at 32/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →