| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/22/2026 | ±1.4% | +3.5% | under-priced |
| 07/23/2026 | ±2.3% | +4.0% | under-priced |
| 04/23/2026 | ±2.0% | +8.8% | under-priced |
| 02/06/2026 | ±2.5% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| 10/23/2025 | ±1.7% | -2.3% | under-priced |
| 07/24/2025 | ±1.9% | -4.5% | under-priced |
| 04/24/2025 | ±2.6% | -2.0% | over-priced |
| 02/07/2025 | ±1.9% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $3.49 | $7.2B | $2.1B |
| Q2 FY2026 | $3.36 | $6.9B | $2.0B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.87 | $6.2B | $1.7B |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $6.1B | $1.8B |
UNP (UNP) reports in 85 days, with the next report estimated for 01/21/2027. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.0% earnings move while the stock actually moved 3.3% on average — the market has been roughly fair on UNP's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 15.9% year-over-year, revenue up 15.3%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads UNP as a buy at 81/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →