| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | ±5.3% | +4.0% | over-priced |
| 07/16/2026 | ±3.6% | -1.8% | over-priced |
| 04/22/2026 | ±5.4% | -5.6% | under-priced |
| 02/12/2026 | ±4.6% | -4.1% | over-priced |
| 10/16/2025 | ±5.4% | -5.6% | under-priced |
| 07/17/2025 | ±6.0% | +3.1% | over-priced |
| 04/16/2025 | ±10.9% | -0.0% | over-priced |
| 02/27/2025 | ±5.6% | -5.4% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $3.14 | $17.9B | $1.0B |
| Q2 FY2026 | $2.46 | $17.7B | $805M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.14 | $14.6B | $699M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $15.4B | $1.0B |
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (UAL) reports in 85 days, with the next report estimated for 01/21/2027. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±5.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 3.7% on average — the market has systematically over-priced UAL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 8.3% year-over-year, revenue up 17.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads UAL as a neutral at 54/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →