| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | ±4.8% | -2.2% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±3.9% | -3.8% | over-priced |
| August 7, 2025 | ±4.0% | -1.4% | over-priced |
| May 8, 2025 | ±4.2% | +6.1% | under-priced |
| November 7, 2024 | ±2.5% | +6.2% | under-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±6.1% | +4.0% | over-priced |
| May 10, 2024 | ±3.7% | -1.6% | over-priced |
| November 9, 2023 | ±4.5% | -2.6% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.08 | $689M | $40M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.38 | $847M | $187M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.23 | $739M | $116M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.18 | $694M | $90M |
The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) reports in 99 days, with the next report estimated for September 20, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 3.5% on average — the market has systematically over-priced TTD's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 20.0% year-over-year, revenue up 11.8%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TTD as a neutral at 48/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →