| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 23, 2026 | ±3.5% | -3.6% | under-priced |
| October 23, 2025 | ±3.2% | +2.3% | over-priced |
| July 24, 2025 | ±3.1% | -8.2% | under-priced |
| April 23, 2025 | ±6.0% | +5.4% | over-priced |
| October 24, 2024 | ±2.1% | +21.9% | under-priced |
| July 24, 2024 | ±4.8% | -12.3% | under-priced |
| April 24, 2024 | ±4.2% | +12.1% | under-priced |
| October 23, 2023 | ±6.2% | +0.0% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.13 | $22.4B | $491M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.24 | $24.9B | $856M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.39 | $28.1B | $1.4B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.33 | $22.5B | $1.2B |
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock (TSLA) reports in 85 days, with the next report estimated for September 6, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 8.2% on average — the market has been roughly fair on TSLA's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 8.3% year-over-year, revenue up 15.8%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TSLA as a neutral at 47/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →