| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/22/2026 | ±4.0% | -3.1% | over-priced |
| 07/23/2026 | ±3.4% | -14.5% | under-priced |
| 04/23/2026 | ±3.5% | -3.6% | under-priced |
| 01/29/2026 | ±2.6% | -3.5% | under-priced |
| 10/23/2025 | ±3.2% | +2.3% | over-priced |
| 07/24/2025 | ±3.1% | -8.2% | under-priced |
| 04/23/2025 | ±6.0% | +5.4% | over-priced |
| 01/30/2025 | ±3.6% | +2.9% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $0.22 | $28.0B | $787M |
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.32 | $28.2B | $1.1B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.13 | $22.4B | $477M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $24.9B | $840M |
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock (TSLA) reports in 85 days, with the next report estimated for 01/21/2027. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.7% earnings move while the stock actually moved 5.4% on average — the market has been roughly fair on TSLA's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 43.6% year-over-year, revenue down 0.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TSLA as a buy at 90/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →