| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2026 | ±3.4% | -14.5% | under-priced |
| April 23, 2026 | ±3.5% | -3.6% | under-priced |
| October 23, 2025 | ±3.2% | +2.3% | over-priced |
| July 24, 2025 | ±3.1% | -8.2% | under-priced |
| April 23, 2025 | ±6.0% | +5.4% | over-priced |
| October 24, 2024 | ±2.1% | +21.9% | under-priced |
| July 24, 2024 | ±4.8% | -12.3% | under-priced |
| April 24, 2024 | ±4.2% | +12.1% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.32 | $28.2B | $1.1B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.13 | $22.4B | $491M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.24 | $24.9B | $856M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.39 | $28.1B | $1.4B |
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock (TSLA) reports in 109 days, with the next report estimated for November 14, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 10.0% on average — the market has tended to under-price TSLA's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 3.0% year-over-year, revenue up 25.5%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TSLA as a sell at 36/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →