| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | ±4.0% | -2.4% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±2.6% | -1.5% | over-priced |
| August 7, 2025 | ±2.6% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| May 8, 2025 | ±2.1% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| November 7, 2024 | ±2.6% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±3.7% | +3.6% | over-priced |
| May 9, 2024 | ±1.7% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| November 9, 2023 | ±2.2% | -2.2% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.31 | $3.6B | $165M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.43 | $3.9B | $1.1B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.49 | $3.7B | $259M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.81 | $4.4B | $430M |
Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) reports in 99 days, with the next report estimated for September 20, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.7% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.5% on average — the market has systematically over-priced TSCO's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 8.8% year-over-year, revenue up 3.6%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TSCO as a neutral at 45/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →