| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | ±4.1% | -3.5% | over-priced |
| 05/06/2026 | ±3.3% | -2.5% | over-priced |
| 11/05/2025 | ±2.8% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| 08/06/2025 | ±2.7% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2025 | ±4.2% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| 11/06/2024 | ±3.6% | +7.0% | under-priced |
| 08/07/2024 | ±5.4% | +0.0% | over-priced |
| 05/08/2024 | ±2.6% | -1.1% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $2.23 | $246M | $154M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.07 | $237M | $143M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $-8.59 | $212M | $123M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $5.27 | $203M | $121M |
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) reports in 75 days, with the next report estimated for 11/26/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.0% on average — the market has systematically over-priced TPL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 55.8% year-over-year, revenue up 31.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TPL as a neutral at 54/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →