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📅 TPL Earnings Preview
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
Next report (est.)
11/04/2026
Countdown
8 days
EPS growth YoY
-55.8%
Revenue growth YoY
+31.2%
Options-implied earnings move
±10.5%
The at-the-money straddle prices a move to roughly $368.61 or $298.31 from $333.46 by 11/20/2026.
Implied vs actual — last 8 reports
ReportOptions impliedActual moveMarket was
08/05/2026 ±4.1% -3.5% over-priced
05/06/2026 ±3.3% -2.5% over-priced
02/18/2026 ±5.0% +3.4% over-priced
11/05/2025 ±2.8% +0.5% over-priced
08/06/2025 ±2.7% -0.8% over-priced
05/07/2025 ±4.2% +0.7% over-priced
02/19/2025 ±2.8% -0.4% over-priced
11/06/2024 ±3.6% +7.0% under-priced
Across these reports, options implied an average ±3.6% move vs an actual average of 2.3% — the stock stayed inside the implied band 88% of the time.
Fundamentals into the print
QuarterEPS (dil.)RevenueNet income
Q2 FY2026 $2.23 $246M $154M
Q1 FY2026 $2.07 $237M $143M
Q4 FY2025 — $212M $123M
Q3 FY2025 $5.27 $203M $121M
Analyst posture
Buy / Strong Buy
5
Hold
1
Sell
1
Stable: -2 net change 30d
Live 5-factor engine read: Underweight · 32/100 Full scorecard →
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Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) reports in 8 days, with the next report estimated for 11/04/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.3% on average — the market has systematically over-priced TPL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 55.8% year-over-year, revenue up 31.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TPL as a underweight at 32/100.

Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →