| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | ±3.3% | -2.5% | over-priced |
| November 5, 2025 | ±2.8% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2025 | ±2.7% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| May 7, 2025 | ±4.2% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2024 | ±3.6% | +7.0% | under-priced |
| August 7, 2024 | ±5.4% | +0.0% | over-priced |
| May 8, 2024 | ±2.6% | -1.1% | over-priced |
| November 1, 2023 | ±2.9% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.07 | $237M | $143M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $-8.59 | $212M | $123M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $5.27 | $203M | $121M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $5.05 | $188M | $116M |
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) reports in 98 days, with the next report estimated for September 19, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.4% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced TPL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 60.5% year-over-year, revenue up 20.8%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TPL as a buy at 52/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →