| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | ±2.5% | +1.9% | over-priced |
| November 5, 2025 | ±1.9% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2025 | ±2.0% | -4.8% | under-priced |
| May 8, 2025 | ±2.3% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2024 | ±1.7% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±2.8% | +6.8% | under-priced |
| May 8, 2024 | ±2.1% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| November 7, 2023 | ±2.1% | +1.2% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.12 | $1.6B | $250M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $-0.08 | $1.0B | $-2M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.47 | $1.1B | $107M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $1.17 | $1.3B | $273M |
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) reports in 98 days, with the next report estimated for September 19, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.1% on average — the market has systematically over-priced TKO's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 62.3% year-over-year, revenue up 25.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TKO as a buy at 57/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →