| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/28/2026 | ±3.6% | -1.7% | over-priced |
| 05/29/2026 | ±3.5% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| 11/26/2025 | ±4.3% | +3.7% | over-priced |
| 08/29/2025 | ±2.6% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| 05/30/2025 | ±2.9% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| 08/30/2024 | ±2.1% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| 05/31/2024 | ±1.9% | +4.2% | under-priced |
| 11/22/2023 | ±4.7% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2027 | $4.11 | $26.5B | $1.9B |
| Q1 FY2027 | $1.71 | $25.4B | $781M |
| Q4 FY2026 | $2.29 | $30.5B | $1.0B |
| Q3 FY2026 | $1.51 | $25.3B | $689M |
Target Corporation (TGT) reports in 100 days, with the next report estimated for 12/21/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced TGT's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 100.5% year-over-year, revenue up 5.3%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TGT as a buy at 60/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →