| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | ±2.6% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| 05/05/2026 | ±2.3% | +3.6% | under-priced |
| 02/03/2026 | ±1.8% | -9.3% | under-priced |
| 08/05/2025 | ±1.9% | -11.9% | under-priced |
| 05/06/2025 | ±2.3% | -5.5% | under-priced |
| 02/04/2025 | ±1.9% | -3.3% | under-priced |
| 08/06/2024 | ±3.7% | +2.3% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2024 | ±1.9% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $9.39 | $2.7B | $540M |
| Q2 FY2026 | $9.20 | $2.5B | $536M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $6.62 | $2.3B | $445M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $7.77 | $2.4B | $609M |
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) reports in 77 days, with the next report estimated for 11/25/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.3% earnings move while the stock actually moved 4.7% on average — the market has been roughly fair on TDG's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 10.9% year-over-year, revenue up 22.5%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads TDG as a underweight at 17/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →