| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/31/2026 | ±6.1% | -3.3% | over-priced |
| 05/01/2026 | ±4.2% | +2.7% | over-priced |
| 11/07/2025 | ±3.4% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| 08/07/2025 | ±3.4% | +2.7% | over-priced |
| 05/09/2025 | ±3.5% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| 11/08/2024 | ±2.3% | -2.0% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.17 | $8.0B | $88M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.12 | $7.7B | $63M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.19 | $7.6B | $98M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.47 | $8.0B | $245M |
Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) reports in 69 days, with the next report estimated for 11/20/2026. Across the last 6 reports, options priced an average ±3.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced SW's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 440.0% year-over-year, revenue up 1.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads SW as a buy at 64/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →