| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 27, 2026 | ±4.5% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| October 24, 2025 | ±3.7% | +1.5% | over-priced |
| August 11, 2025 | ±2.0% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| May 12, 2025 | ±1.9% | +4.6% | under-priced |
| November 8, 2024 | ±5.1% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±5.8% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| May 10, 2024 | ±2.9% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| November 9, 2023 | ±2.2% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.78 | $5.2B | $400M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.82 | $4.4B | $265M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.74 | $4.8B | $404M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $2.01 | $4.6B | $301M |
Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD) reports in 86 days, with the next report estimated for September 7, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.5% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.2% on average — the market has systematically over-priced STLD's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 93.1% year-over-year, revenue up 19.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads STLD as a buy at 56/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →