| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | ±8.6% | -5.2% | over-priced |
| February 6, 2026 | ±9.6% | +11.4% | under-priced |
| November 7, 2025 | ±8.4% | -1.4% | over-priced |
| May 12, 2025 | ±5.5% | +4.8% | over-priced |
| February 25, 2025 | ±15.8% | -11.8% | over-priced |
| February 25, 2025 | ±15.8% | -11.8% | over-priced |
| May 6, 2024 | ±9.8% | +6.1% | over-priced |
| February 2, 2024 | ±7.1% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $0.72 | $10.2B | $483M |
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.60 | $12.7B | $401M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.26 | $5.0B | $168M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.31 | $5.8B | $195M |
Super Micro Computer, Inc. Common Stock (SMCI) reports in 77 days, with the next report estimated for August 29, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±10.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 6.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced SMCI's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 323.5% year-over-year, revenue up 122.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads SMCI as a neutral at 33/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →