| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 28, 2026 | ±1.9% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| January 28, 2026 | ±2.4% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| July 29, 2025 | ±3.0% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| April 29, 2025 | ±3.0% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| July 30, 2024 | ±2.6% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| April 30, 2024 | ±1.9% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| January 30, 2024 | ±1.4% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| August 1, 2023 | ±1.4% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.45 | $9.5B | $511M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.26 | $9.9B | $293M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.12 | $9.6B | $133M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.49 | $9.5B | $559M |
Starbucks Corp (SBUX) reports in 113 days, with the next report estimated for October 4, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced SBUX's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 32.4% year-over-year, revenue up 8.8%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads SBUX as a buy at 58/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →