| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 28, 2025 | ±2.9% | -8.5% | under-priced |
| July 29, 2025 | ±2.0% | -5.0% | under-priced |
| April 29, 2025 | ±4.4% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| October 29, 2024 | ±2.3% | +3.2% | under-priced |
| July 25, 2024 | ±3.0% | -7.6% | under-priced |
| April 25, 2024 | ±2.7% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| October 26, 2023 | ±2.6% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| July 27, 2023 | ±2.7% | +8.7% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.78 | $4.3B | $762M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $5.74 | $5.1B | $1.6B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $4.41 | $4.5B | $1.2B |
| Q1 FY2025 | $2.70 | $4.0B | $736M |
Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for April 26, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 4.3% on average — the market has been roughly fair on RCL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 34.0% year-over-year, revenue down 12.8%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads RCL as a buy at 64/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →