| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | ±2.7% | -7.7% | under-priced |
| October 28, 2025 | ±2.7% | +3.9% | under-priced |
| July 29, 2025 | ±2.0% | -8.7% | under-priced |
| April 29, 2025 | ±3.1% | +2.1% | over-priced |
| October 29, 2024 | ±2.1% | -4.0% | under-priced |
| July 30, 2024 | ±2.3% | +8.6% | under-priced |
| April 30, 2024 | ±2.6% | +1.4% | over-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±2.3% | +6.6% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.21 | $8.4B | $1.1B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.53 | $8.7B | $1.4B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.30 | $8.4B | $1.2B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $1.29 | $8.3B | $1.3B |
PayPal Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (PYPL) reports in 99 days, with the next report estimated for September 20, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.5% earnings move while the stock actually moved 5.4% on average — the market has tended to under-price PYPL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 6.2% year-over-year, revenue up 7.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads PYPL as a neutral at 40/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →