| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 29, 2026 | ±2.1% | +5.1% | under-priced |
| July 28, 2025 | ±2.4% | +2.2% | over-priced |
| April 25, 2025 | ±3.4% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| October 29, 2024 | ±2.1% | -4.4% | under-priced |
| July 31, 2024 | ±2.9% | -1.1% | over-priced |
| April 29, 2024 | ±3.0% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| November 3, 2023 | ±2.8% | -1.1% | over-priced |
| August 4, 2023 | ±2.4% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.51 | $32.5B | $219M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 FY2025 | $2.15 | $33.3B | $908M |
| Q1 FY2025 | $1.18 | $30.4B | $526M |
PHILLIPS 66 (PSX) reports in 114 days, with the next report estimated for October 5, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.8% on average — the market has systematically over-priced PSX's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 37.8% year-over-year, revenue down 8.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads PSX as a buy at 55/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →