| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | ±2.2% | -0.0% | over-priced |
| November 3, 2025 | ±1.9% | -1.1% | over-priced |
| May 5, 2025 | ±2.3% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| November 4, 2024 | ±1.4% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| August 5, 2024 | ±1.9% | -2.8% | under-priced |
| May 6, 2024 | ±2.1% | +3.3% | under-priced |
| October 31, 2023 | ±1.7% | +1.9% | under-priced |
| August 1, 2023 | ±2.1% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $4.80 | $22.2B | $2.8B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $5.02 | $22.7B | $3.0B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $4.45 | $22.5B | $2.6B |
| Q1 FY2025 | $4.37 | $20.4B | $2.6B |
Progressive Corporation (PGR) reports in 119 days, with the next report estimated for October 10, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.0% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.4% on average — the market has been roughly fair on PGR's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 20.9% year-over-year, revenue up 12.5%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads PGR as a buy at 53/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →