| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2026 | ±2.5% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| 05/08/2026 | ±3.0% | -1.7% | over-priced |
| 02/27/2026 | ±2.8% | +2.8% | under-priced |
| 11/07/2025 | ±2.6% | +2.2% | over-priced |
| 08/08/2025 | ±2.0% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 05/09/2025 | ±1.7% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 02/28/2025 | ±1.7% | +1.5% | over-priced |
| 11/08/2024 | ±2.5% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.86 | $4.9B | $715M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.72 | $4.6B | $604M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $4.4B | $605M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.85 | $4.7B | $726M |
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. Common Stock (ORLY) reports in 10 days, with the next report estimated for 11/06/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.4% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.1% on average — the market has systematically over-priced ORLY's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 10.3% year-over-year, revenue up 8.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ORLY as a buy at 85/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →