| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | ±3.0% | -1.7% | over-priced |
| November 7, 2025 | ±2.6% | +2.2% | over-priced |
| August 8, 2025 | ±2.0% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| May 9, 2025 | ±1.7% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| November 8, 2024 | ±2.5% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±2.7% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| May 9, 2024 | ±1.1% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| November 8, 2023 | ±1.7% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.72 | $4.6B | $604M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.72 | $4.4B | $605M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.85 | $4.7B | $726M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.78 | $4.5B | $669M |
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) reports in 100 days, with the next report estimated for September 21, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.8% on average — the market has systematically over-priced ORLY's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 92.3% year-over-year, revenue up 10.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ORLY as a buy at 52/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →