| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | ±6.7% | +2.3% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±4.2% | -2.2% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2025 | ±5.1% | +1.9% | over-priced |
| May 6, 2025 | ±3.6% | -1.8% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2024 | ±2.2% | +11.2% | under-priced |
| August 5, 2024 | ±4.9% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| May 7, 2024 | ±3.0% | +2.6% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2023 | ±2.8% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.14 | $1.3B | $238M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.10 | $1.3B | $229M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.28 | $1.4B | $271M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $1.27 | $1.4B | $269M |
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) reports in 98 days, with the next report estimated for September 19, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.0% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced ODFL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 4.2% year-over-year, revenue down 2.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ODFL as a buy at 65/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →