| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | ±3.3% | +1.6% | over-priced |
| November 5, 2025 | ±2.4% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2025 | ±2.3% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| May 5, 2025 | ±1.9% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| November 5, 2024 | ±3.1% | +2.1% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2024 | ±2.6% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| May 6, 2024 | ±2.3% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| November 3, 2023 | ±2.1% | +3.4% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $67.76 | $1.9B | $198M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $121.22 | $2.7B | $364M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $112.33 | $2.6B | $343M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $108.54 | $2.6B | $334M |
NVR (NVR) reports in 98 days, with the next report estimated for September 19, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.5% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.2% on average — the market has systematically over-priced NVR's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 28.5% year-over-year, revenue down 21.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads NVR as a neutral at 41/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →