| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 30, 2025 | ±1.9% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| July 30, 2025 | ±3.0% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| April 30, 2025 | ±2.8% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| October 29, 2024 | ±3.5% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| August 1, 2024 | ±1.9% | -2.0% | under-priced |
| April 23, 2024 | ±3.1% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| October 31, 2023 | ±2.8% | +1.2% | over-priced |
| July 25, 2023 | ±5.3% | -1.6% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.42 | $4.4B | $466M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.29 | $1.3B | $458M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $2.13 | $1.2B | $421M |
| Q1 FY2025 | $1.90 | $1.2B | $392M |
Northern Trust Corp (NTRS) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for April 28, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.0% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.8% on average — the market has systematically over-priced NTRS's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 7.1% year-over-year, revenue down 8.5%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads NTRS as a buy at 58/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →