| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | ±3.5% | -4.3% | under-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±4.0% | -1.8% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2025 | ±4.0% | -13.6% | under-priced |
| May 12, 2025 | ±3.0% | +26.2% | under-priced |
| November 8, 2024 | ±3.9% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±5.2% | +8.2% | under-priced |
| May 7, 2024 | ±3.1% | -5.8% | under-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±2.3% | +2.9% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.52 | $10.3B | $125M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.69 | $7.6B | $152M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $-0.62 | $6.7B | $-104M |
| Q1 FY2025 | $3.61 | $8.6B | $750M |
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) reports in 98 days, with the next report estimated for September 19, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 7.9% on average — the market has tended to under-price NRG's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 82.5% year-over-year, revenue up 50.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads NRG as a neutral at 42/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →