| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | ±3.3% | -5.3% | under-priced |
| 07/17/2026 | ±2.9% | -7.3% | under-priced |
| 04/17/2026 | ±2.2% | -9.7% | under-priced |
| 01/23/2026 | ±3.2% | +3.1% | over-priced |
| 10/22/2025 | ±2.4% | -10.1% | under-priced |
| 07/18/2025 | ±2.2% | -5.1% | under-priced |
| 04/18/2025 | ±3.9% | +1.5% | over-priced |
| 01/27/2025 | ±5.4% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $0.87 | $12.9B | $3.7B |
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.80 | $12.6B | $3.4B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.23 | $12.2B | $5.3B |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $12.1B | $2.4B |
Netflix, Inc. Common Stock (NFLX) reports in 84 days, with the next report estimated for 01/20/2027. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 5.3% on average — the market has been roughly fair on NFLX's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 85.2% year-over-year, revenue up 11.8%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads NFLX as a underweight at 37/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →