| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | ±2.1% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| October 27, 2025 | ±1.7% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| August 4, 2025 | ±1.9% | +1.8% | over-priced |
| May 5, 2025 | ±2.3% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| November 5, 2024 | ±1.9% | +1.3% | over-priced |
| August 5, 2024 | ±3.0% | -1.4% | over-priced |
| May 3, 2024 | ±1.7% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2023 | ±3.3% | -1.0% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $4.13 | $418M | $664M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $4.66 | $420M | $759M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $4.82 | $423M | $792M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $4.24 | $417M | $716M |
M&T Bank Corp. (MTB) reports in 97 days, with the next report estimated for September 18, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.3% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.0% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MTB's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 24.4% year-over-year, revenue up 5.3%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MTB as a buy at 65/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →