| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | ±2.4% | -1.1% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2026 | ±2.1% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 02/12/2026 | ±1.7% | +7.7% | under-priced |
| 10/30/2025 | ±1.5% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 08/07/2025 | ±2.1% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| 05/01/2025 | ±1.7% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| 02/14/2025 | ±1.8% | -6.0% | under-priced |
| 11/07/2024 | ±1.8% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $3.33 | $3.1B | $557M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.18 | $2.7B | $366M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $3.4B | $649M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $3.33 | $3.0B | $562M |
MSI (MSI) reports in 7 days, with the next report estimated for 11/03/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±1.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.0% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MSI's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 9.5% year-over-year, revenue up 13.3%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MSI as a buy at 67/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →