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📅 MSFT Earnings Preview
Microsoft Corporation Common Stock
Next report (est.)
10/28/2026
Countdown
1 days
EPS growth YoY
+0.0%
Revenue growth YoY
+17.7%
Options-implied earnings move
±5.2%
The at-the-money straddle prices a move to roughly $560.48 or $504.73 from $532.60 by 10/30/2026.
Implied vs actual — last 8 reports
ReportOptions impliedActual moveMarket was
07/29/2026 ±3.1% -0.7% over-priced
04/29/2026 ±2.7% -1.1% over-priced
01/28/2026 ±2.9% +0.2% over-priced
10/29/2025 ±1.9% -0.1% over-priced
07/30/2025 ±1.3% +0.1% over-priced
04/30/2025 ±2.3% +0.3% over-priced
01/29/2025 ±3.0% -1.1% over-priced
10/30/2024 ±1.5% +0.1% over-priced
Across these reports, options implied an average ±2.3% move vs an actual average of 0.5% — the stock stayed inside the implied band 100% of the time.
Fundamentals into the print
QuarterEPS (dil.)RevenueNet income
Q4 FY2026 — $90.0B $35.8B
Q3 FY2026 $4.27 $82.9B $31.8B
Q2 FY2026 $5.16 $81.3B $38.5B
Q1 FY2026 $3.72 $77.7B $27.7B
Analyst posture
Buy / Strong Buy
62
Hold
3
Sell
0
Downward revisions — 84 net (vs 87 prior)
Live 5-factor engine read: Buy · 90/100 Full scorecard →
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Microsoft Corporation Common Stock (MSFT) reports in 1 day, with the next report estimated for 10/28/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.3% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.5% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MSFT's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 0.0% year-over-year, revenue up 17.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MSFT as a buy at 90/100.

Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →