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📅 MSFT Earnings Preview
Microsoft Corp
Next report (est.)
09/14/2026
Countdown
2 days
EPS growth YoY
+31.8%
Revenue growth YoY
+17.7%
Options-implied earnings move
±1.1%
The at-the-money straddle prices a move to roughly $501.08 or $490.18 from $495.63 by 09/14/2026.
Implied vs actual — last 8 reports
ReportOptions impliedActual moveMarket was
04/29/2026 ±2.7% -1.1% over-priced
01/28/2026 ±2.9% +0.2% over-priced
10/29/2025 ±1.9% -0.1% over-priced
04/30/2025 ±2.3% +0.3% over-priced
10/30/2024 ±1.5% +0.1% over-priced
04/25/2024 ±1.7% -2.5% under-priced
01/30/2024 ±1.3% -0.3% over-priced
10/24/2023 ±2.1% +0.4% over-priced
Across these reports, options implied an average ±2.1% move vs an actual average of 0.6% — the stock stayed inside the implied band 88% of the time.
Fundamentals into the print
QuarterEPS (dil.)RevenueNet income
Q4 FY2026 $4.81 $90.0B $35.8B
Q3 FY2026 $4.27 $82.9B $31.8B
Q2 FY2026 $5.16 $81.3B $38.5B
Q1 FY2026 $3.72 $77.7B $27.7B
Analyst posture
Buy / Strong Buy
64
Hold
5
Sell
0
Stable: +0 net change 30d
Live 5-factor engine read: Buy · 71/100 Full scorecard →
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Microsoft Corp (MSFT) reports in 2 days, with the next report estimated for 09/14/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MSFT's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 31.8% year-over-year, revenue up 17.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MSFT as a buy at 71/100.

Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →