| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 29, 2026 | ±2.7% | -1.1% | over-priced |
| January 28, 2026 | ±2.9% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| October 29, 2025 | ±1.9% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| April 30, 2025 | ±2.3% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| October 30, 2024 | ±1.5% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| April 25, 2024 | ±1.7% | -2.5% | under-priced |
| January 30, 2024 | ±1.3% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| October 24, 2023 | ±2.1% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $4.27 | $82.9B | $31.8B |
| Q2 FY2026 | $5.16 | $81.3B | $38.5B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.72 | $77.7B | $27.7B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $3.65 | $76.4B | $27.2B |
Microsoft Corp (MSFT) reports in 91 days, with the next report estimated for September 12, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MSFT's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 23.4% year-over-year, revenue up 18.3%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MSFT as a buy at 51/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →