| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | ±2.5% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| November 3, 2025 | ±1.8% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| May 5, 2025 | ±2.9% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| November 4, 2024 | ±1.6% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| August 5, 2024 | ±3.2% | -3.9% | under-priced |
| May 3, 2024 | ±1.5% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| November 3, 2023 | ±2.1% | +3.8% | under-priced |
| August 3, 2023 | ±1.8% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.43 | $20.6B | $5.6B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.68 | $17.9B | $4.4B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.80 | $18.2B | $4.7B |
| Q1 FY2025 | $2.60 | $17.7B | $4.4B |
Morgan Stanley (MS) reports in 120 days, with the next report estimated for October 11, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.4% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MS's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 54.5% year-over-year, revenue up 26.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MS as a buy at 61/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →