| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/31/2026 | ±5.1% | -5.3% | under-priced |
| 05/01/2026 | ±5.7% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| 11/06/2025 | ±9.0% | +3.3% | over-priced |
| 08/01/2025 | ±5.7% | -6.6% | under-priced |
| 05/01/2025 | ±4.2% | -5.3% | under-priced |
| 11/07/2024 | ±4.4% | -3.0% | over-priced |
| 08/01/2024 | ±3.9% | -21.0% | under-priced |
| 05/02/2024 | ±3.8% | +12.7% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $-1.97 | $145M | $-782M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $-3.40 | $389M | $-1.3B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $-2.11 | $678M | $-826M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $-0.51 | $1.0B | $-200M |
Moderna, Inc. Common Stock (MRNA) reports in 73 days, with the next report estimated for 11/22/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±5.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 7.3% on average — the market has been roughly fair on MRNA's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 7.5% year-over-year, revenue up 2.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MRNA as a neutral at 57/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →