| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2026 | ±2.8% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| 05/04/2026 | ±3.0% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| 11/05/2025 | ±3.4% | +0.6% | over-priced |
| 08/05/2025 | ±4.3% | +1.2% | over-priced |
| 05/02/2025 | ±3.3% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 11/06/2024 | ±2.5% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| 08/05/2024 | ±5.0% | -2.5% | over-priced |
| 05/03/2024 | ±1.6% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $-0.54 | $16.6B | $-1.3B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $-1.72 | $16.3B | $-4.2B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.20 | $16.4B | $3.0B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.32 | $17.3B | $5.8B |
Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) reports in 79 days, with the next report estimated for 11/30/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.3% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MRK's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 130.7% year-over-year, revenue up 5.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MRK as a neutral at 51/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →