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📅 MPC Earnings Preview
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
Next report (est.)
September 18, 2026
Countdown
97 days
EPS growth YoY
+820.8%
Revenue growth YoY
+8.5%
Implied vs actual — last 8 reports
ReportOptions impliedActual moveMarket was
May 5, 2026 ±3.9% +3.2% over-priced
November 4, 2025 ±2.3% -6.1% under-priced
August 5, 2025 ±2.4% +0.6% over-priced
May 6, 2025 ±3.0% +0.8% over-priced
November 5, 2024 ±2.5% +3.2% under-priced
August 6, 2024 ±4.6% +5.5% under-priced
April 30, 2024 ±2.1% -9.4% under-priced
October 31, 2023 ±2.5% +3.0% under-priced
Across these reports, options implied an average ±2.9% move vs an actual average of 4.0% — the stock stayed inside the implied band 38% of the time.
Fundamentals into the print
QuarterEPS (dil.)RevenueNet income
Q1 FY2026 $1.73 $34.2B $851M
Q4 FY2025 $5.07 $32.6B $2.0B
Q3 FY2025 $4.51 $34.8B $1.9B
Q2 FY2025 $3.96 $33.8B $1.6B
Live 5-factor engine read: Buy · 60/100 Full scorecard →
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MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION (MPC) reports in 97 days, with the next report estimated for September 18, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 4.0% on average — the market has been roughly fair on MPC's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 820.8% year-over-year, revenue up 8.5%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MPC as a buy at 60/100.

Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →