| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | ±3.4% | -1.8% | over-priced |
| November 5, 2025 | ±3.5% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2025 | ±2.3% | -13.3% | under-priced |
| May 7, 2025 | ±2.4% | +3.6% | under-priced |
| November 12, 2024 | ±3.8% | -7.7% | under-priced |
| August 7, 2024 | ±4.3% | -1.4% | over-priced |
| May 2, 2024 | ±3.2% | -5.1% | under-priced |
| November 8, 2023 | ±3.4% | +2.6% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $-0.81 | $3.0B | $-255M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $-1.63 | $3.0B | $-518M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.29 | $3.5B | $424M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $1.29 | $3.0B | $420M |
The Mosaic Company (MOS) reports in 103 days, with the next report estimated for September 24, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.3% earnings move while the stock actually moved 4.6% on average — the market has been roughly fair on MOS's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 208.0% year-over-year, revenue up 14.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MOS as a neutral at 43/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →