| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | ±3.8% | +3.1% | over-priced |
| 05/11/2026 | ±3.4% | -1.8% | over-priced |
| 02/27/2026 | ±4.9% | +2.5% | over-priced |
| 11/05/2025 | ±3.5% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| 08/06/2025 | ±2.3% | -13.3% | under-priced |
| 05/07/2025 | ±2.4% | +3.6% | under-priced |
| 03/03/2025 | ±3.7% | -2.5% | over-priced |
| 11/12/2024 | ±3.8% | -7.7% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $-0.86 | $2.8B | $-273M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $-0.81 | $3.0B | $-258M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $3.0B | $-520M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.29 | $3.5B | $411M |
The Mosaic Company (MOS) reports in 7 days, with the next report estimated for 11/04/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.5% earnings move while the stock actually moved 4.5% on average — the market has been roughly fair on MOS's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 166.7% year-over-year, revenue down 6.0%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MOS as a buy at 60/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →