| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30/2026 | ±2.5% | -9.3% | under-priced |
| 04/30/2026 | ±2.4% | +6.5% | under-priced |
| 02/25/2026 | ±1.8% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| 10/30/2025 | ±1.4% | -7.8% | under-priced |
| 07/30/2025 | ±1.4% | +3.6% | under-priced |
| 04/29/2025 | ±1.6% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| 02/26/2025 | ±2.1% | -2.0% | over-priced |
| 10/31/2024 | ±1.2% | +7.8% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $1.37 | $6.1B | $2.3B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.30 | $5.4B | $2.2B |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $5.8B | $1.1B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.41 | $6.1B | $2.4B |
MO (MO) reports in 2 days, with the next report estimated for 10/29/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±1.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 4.8% on average — the market has been roughly fair on MO's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 2.8% year-over-year, revenue up 0.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MO as a buy at 71/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →